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Daily Synopsis of the New York market close

Date Issued – 18th October 2024


Preview

This newsletter brings you in-depth insights into Netflix’s Q3 performance, Bridgewater’s remarkable fund returns, Samsung’s delayed ASML deliveries, Swiss sanctions investigations, and Berkshire Hathaway’s continued divestment from Bank of America. Let’s explore these critical market updates:

Netflix Beats Subscriber Growth Expectations in Q3

Netflix exceeded expectations in Q3 2024, adding 5.1 million new streaming subscribers, surpassing Wall Street’s forecast by 1 million. This strong growth brought Netflix’s total global subscriber base to 247.15 million, reflecting a 10.8% increase year-over-year. Revenues rose by 7.8% to $8.54 billion, while earnings per share hit $3.73, also beating expectations. Netflix’s success can be attributed to its ad-supported tier, which continues to gain traction, and its strategy to monetize password-sharing. Furthermore, Netflix’s expansion into international markets has bolstered its subscriber growth, allowing it to compete more effectively in a crowded streaming market. The company remains optimistic about its future, particularly as it continues to invest in content production and diversify revenue streams.

Investment Insight: Netflix’s impressive subscriber growth highlights its resilience against fierce competition in the streaming industry. Investors should consider the impact of its ad-supported tier and content investments as long-term growth drivers.

Market Price: Netflix (NFLX): $408.50

Bridgewater’s All Weather Plus Fund Posts Strong Returns

Bridgewater’s All Weather Plus strategy has delivered impressive results, recording a 19% return before fees in September, bringing its total gain for the first nine months of 2024 to 31%. The systematic All Weather multi-asset portfolio contributed 8% to the returns, while active management added another 10.8%, driven by gains in both equities and bonds. Bridgewater’s strong performance showcases its ability to navigate volatile markets and capitalize on opportunities across multiple asset classes. The firm has also increased its onshore assets in China to over 40 billion yuan ($5.6 billion) earlier this year. Bridgewater’s portfolio remains “moderately” long on short-term bonds, as it expects policymakers to remain supportive of global economic growth.

Investment Insight: Bridgewater’s strong performance this year highlights the benefits of a diversified, multi-asset approach. Investors looking for a hedge against market volatility might find Bridgewater’s strategy appealing, particularly in a challenging economic environment.

Samsung Delays ASML Deliveries Amid Lack of Customers for Texas Plant

Samsung Electronics has postponed taking deliveries of advanced chipmaking equipment from ASML for its new $17 billion factory in Taylor, Texas. This delay stems from the fact that Samsung has yet to secure major customers for the plant, casting uncertainty over the project’s timeline. Additionally, Samsung has paused orders with other suppliers, prompting some to withdraw staff from the construction site. The delay marks a setback for Samsung’s ambitions to expand its contract chip manufacturing business, which is dominated by Taiwan’s TSMC. The situation also underscores the growing divide between Samsung and competitors like TSMC and SK Hynix, who are ramping up production of advanced chips to meet the soaring demand driven by AI applications. ASML, the world’s largest supplier of chipmaking equipment, recently lowered its 2025 sales forecast due to weakened demand outside of the AI sector.

Investment Insight: Samsung’s delays in equipment deliveries highlight the challenges faced by chipmakers, especially in securing key customers for major projects. Investors should watch how this impacts both Samsung’s expansion plans and ASML’s revenue forecasts as the semiconductor industry adjusts to shifting demand.

Market Price: ASML (ASML): €570.00

Swiss Authorities Probe Firms Evading Russian Sanctions

Swiss regulators have launched investigations into several firms suspected of circumventing international sanctions against Russia. These companies are believed to have used complex corporate structures to evade restrictions, particularly those related to trade and financial dealings. Switzerland, which has long been a global financial hub, is under increasing pressure to ensure that companies operating within its borders fully comply with the sanctions imposed on Russia after its invasion of Ukraine. The investigations could lead to severe penalties for firms found in violation of these restrictions, underscoring the challenges of enforcing global sanctions in complex international markets.

Investment Insight: Investors should be mindful of the regulatory and reputational risks associated with firms operating in sanction-sensitive markets. The outcomes of these investigations could have significant implications for businesses with exposure to Russia or markets under similar sanctions.

Berkshire Hathaway Reduces Bank of America Stake Further

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has continued to reduce its stake in Bank of America, selling a substantial portion of its shares in Q3 2024. Although Berkshire remains one of the largest shareholders in the bank, this move marks a continued shift away from financial stocks. The decision to trim its stake comes amid rising interest rates and regulatory pressures in the banking sector. Berkshire’s broader portfolio adjustments reflect its increasing focus on other sectors, such as energy and consumer goods, where it sees more growth potential. While Bank of America remains a solid performer, the financial sector faces challenges in adapting to the current economic environment.

Investment Insight: Berkshire’s decision to reduce its exposure to Bank of America could be an indicator of concerns about the future of the banking sector in a high-interest-rate environment. Investors should carefully consider how rising rates and increased regulation may affect financial stocks in the near future.

Market Price: Bank of America (BAC): $28.45

Conclusion

Today’s market developments span critical areas such as technology, finance, and regulatory shifts. Staying informed about these trends will help guide your investment strategy in the weeks ahead. As always, our team is available to provide further insights or discuss portfolio adjustments.

Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $400 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.