
Date Issued – 28th October 2025
Courtesy of the Research Department at Balfour Capital Group
Key Points
- Saudi Arabia Accelerates Post-Oil Transition: The kingdom is channeling resources into AI, tourism, and sports, with over half its economy now decoupled from oil revenues as it targets sustainable, diversified growth.
- Google and NextEra Revive Nuclear Power for AI: The companies will restart Iowa’s Duane Arnold nuclear plant by 2029 to meet surging AI-driven electricity demand, underscoring a broader tech shift toward reliable, carbon-free energy.
- Tech Megacaps to Dictate Market Direction: Earnings from Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft this week will determine near-term equity momentum, with investors watching cloud, AI, and consumer trends for guidance.
- Gold Retreats on Trade Optimism: Bullion fell over 2% to $3,900 per ounce as easing U.S.-China trade tensions reduced safe-haven demand, while markets awaited the Fed’s rate decision for signals on monetary policy trajectory.
Saudi Arabia Accelerates Economic Diversification with Bold Bet on AI
Saudi Arabia is intensifying its drive to reduce oil dependency by investing heavily in artificial intelligence, tourism, and sports. Investment Minister Khalid Al Falih said that more than half of the kingdom’s economy is now “completely decoupled” from oil, with 40% of government revenue stemming from non-oil sources.
Despite a 24% decline in oil revenue in the first half of 2025, Saudi Arabia continues to expand its Public Investment Fund (PIF), now nearing $1 trillion in capital, and plans to become a major AI hub through large-scale data centers and infrastructure development.
The tourism sector—now 5% of GDP—is projected to reach 10% by 2030 as the kingdom opens new resorts, airlines, and airports to attract international visitors.
Big Tech Turns to Nuclear to Feed AI Power Demands
Google and NextEra Energy plan to restart Iowa’s Duane Arnold nuclear plant by 2029, positioning nuclear power as critical infrastructure for the AI era.
The 615-megawatt facility, shuttered in 2020, would provide Google with round-the-clock carbon-free electricity for its expanding cloud and AI data centers while supplying excess power to Iowa’s grid.
U.S. electricity demand hit a record in 2024 as AI buildout accelerated, prompting tech firms to lock in long-duration, low-carbon baseload rather than rely solely on renewables.
Similar nuclear partnerships from Microsoft and Oracle suggest a structural shift: AI capacity growth is increasingly tied to energy security, not just compute scale.
Tech Giants’ Earnings Poised to Set Market Tone for Q4
Jim Cramer emphasized that this week’s earnings reports from Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft will determine the market’s direction for the remainder of the year.
Together with peers Nvidia and Tesla, these megacaps now make up nearly 35% of the S&P 500’s weighting, meaning any collective weakness could stall the broader rally.
Cramer highlighted expectations for strong cloud performance from Google and Microsoft, ad momentum from Meta, and robust iPhone 17 and AWS updates from Apple and Amazon.
With investors increasingly linking AI adoption to profitability, results across these firms will serve as a key sentiment gauge for U.S. equities heading into year-end.
Gold Slides as Trade Optimism Dims Safe-Haven Demand
Gold prices dropped more than 2% to a three-week low, slipping to around $3,900 per ounce, as optimism surrounding U.S.-China trade talks reduced safe-haven demand and boosted risk assets.
President Trump’s upbeat comments on a potential trade deal and several new economic agreements in Asia spurred equity markets, weighing on bullion’s appeal.
Investors are now focused on the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, where another rate cut is widely anticipated.
Despite gold’s 53% year-to-date rally and record highs earlier in October, analysts from Citi and Capital Economics have trimmed short-term price forecasts, signaling expectations of further normalization if geopolitical risk recedes.
Conclusion
Global markets are entering a pivotal week shaped by shifting trade dynamics, corporate earnings, and energy transitions.
Progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations and Saudi Arabia’s accelerating diversification away from oil signal structural changes in global growth drivers.
Meanwhile, Google’s nuclear partnership underscores how AI’s energy demands are redefining industrial strategy.
Investors are closely watching mega-cap tech earnings, which could determine short-term market direction, while gold’s retreat highlights easing risk aversion.
With central banks poised to maintain accommodative policies, the focus now turns to how fiscal and corporate decisions align with the next phase of global economic recalibration.
Investment Insights
- Energy Transition Opportunities: Saudi Arabia’s accelerated diversification and Google’s nuclear revival signal long-term investment potential in clean energy infrastructure, AI data ecosystems, and industrial modernization.
- Earnings as Market Catalyst: Short-term equity performance will hinge on the results and guidance from tech giants. Strong cloud and AI revenues could reinforce growth sentiment; weak margins may trigger a correction.
- Commodities Repricing: Gold’s retreat amid easing trade tensions suggests investors are rotating back toward risk assets — a reminder to rebalance between defensive and growth exposures.
- Macro Watchpoints: Progress in U.S.-China negotiations and the Fed’s upcoming rate decision remain critical for positioning in equities, currencies, and commodities.
Economic Calendar
| Date | Event | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|
| October 29, 2025 | Federal Reserve Rate Decision | Markets expect a 25 bp cut amid cooling labor data; outcome will steer credit conditions, bond yields, and equity valuations. |
| October 30, 2025 | Trump–Xi Meeting (APEC, South Korea) | Potential reset in U.S.–China trade tensions with implications for tariffs, rare-earth supply chains, and global growth sentiment. |
| October 31, 2025 | U.S. Personal Income & Spending / Employment Cost Index | Monitors household demand and wage pressures—both critical for the Fed’s inflation outlook and for consumer-sensitive sectors. |
| November 1, 2025 | Deadline for U.S. 100% Tariffs on Chinese Goods | Could trigger a major escalation in the trade war; delay or reversal would relieve pressure on global supply chains and manufacturing equities. |
Disclaimer: This newsletter provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.

