
Date Issued – 10th February 2026
Courtesy of the Research Department at Balfour Capital Group
Key Points
- Taiwan Pushes Back on U.S. Chip Relocation Goals: Taiwan rejected Washington’s ambition to relocate 40% of advanced chip production to the U.S., highlighting geopolitical and operational limits to rapid semiconductor reshoring.
- SoftBank Shares Surge on AI Optimism: SoftBank jumped over 10% after its telecom unit raised its outlook and Arm’s performance reinforced investor confidence in AI-driven chip demand.
- Tesla Executive Departure Raises Strategic Questions: Long-time Tesla executive Raj Jegannathan announced his departure after 13 years, prompting scrutiny over leadership transitions at the EV maker.
February Economic Calendar
| Date | Event | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10 | Fed Chair Testimony (Day 1) | Markets will closely parse Powell’s comments for guidance on inflation persistence and the future path of interest rates. |
| Feb 11 | U.S. CPI Inflation (Jan) | A critical inflation print that will shape expectations for rate cuts and risk-asset positioning. |
| Feb 13 | U.S. Retail Sales (Jan) | Key insight into consumer resilience amid tighter financial conditions. |
Taiwan Pushes Back Against U.S. Chip Supply Shift
Taiwan pushed back firmly against U.S. calls to relocate up to 40% of advanced semiconductor production to American soil, describing the target as unrealistic given the complexity, cost, and ecosystem concentration of chip manufacturing. Taiwanese officials emphasized that while diversification of supply chains is ongoing, the island’s dominance in advanced chip fabrication remains structurally entrenched.
The response underscores growing tension between geopolitical ambitions and industrial realities as Washington seeks to reduce dependence on Asian semiconductor supply. Markets interpreted the stance as confirmation that near-term global chip supply dynamics will remain heavily Taiwan-centric, reinforcing the strategic importance of regional stability for technology and AI-driven sectors.
SoftBank Rallies as Arm Reinforces AI Narrative
SoftBank Group shares surged more than 10% after its telecom subsidiary raised its earnings outlook, while continued strength at Arm Holdings bolstered the group’s AI investment thesis. Arm’s chip architecture remains central to AI data-centre expansion and next-generation computing, reinforcing SoftBank’s positioning as a long-term beneficiary of AI infrastructure growth.
Investor sentiment improved sharply as the results validated SoftBank’s strategic pivot toward AI-linked assets following years of volatility. The move reflects renewed confidence in selective tech conglomerates with clear exposure to structural growth trends rather than speculative innovation.
Tesla Executive Exit After 13 Years
Tesla announced that Raj Jegannathan, a senior executive with over a decade of tenure, will depart the company after 13 years. While the automaker did not cite immediate operational concerns, the exit adds to investor focus on leadership continuity as Tesla navigates intensifying EV competition, margin pressure, and global regulatory challenges.
Markets reacted cautiously, viewing the departure as part of a broader maturation phase for Tesla rather than a disruption. Nonetheless, executive turnover remains a key variable for investors assessing long-term strategic execution and innovation capacity.
Conclusion
Today’s developments highlight the intersection of geopolitics, AI-driven growth, and corporate transition across global markets. Taiwan’s resistance to rapid semiconductor reshoring underscores the limits of political ambition in reshaping complex supply chains, while SoftBank’s rally reflects renewed confidence in AI infrastructure plays anchored by Arm’s strategic relevance.
Meanwhile, Tesla’s executive departure brings leadership focus back into view amid an increasingly competitive EV landscape. Collectively, these themes reinforce a market environment driven by structural technology trends, geopolitical realities, and execution risk.
Investment Insights
- Semiconductor Supply Chains Remain Concentrated: Taiwan’s stance suggests advanced chip production will remain regionally concentrated, supporting valuations of dominant foundry ecosystems.
- AI Infrastructure Continues to Attract Capital: SoftBank and Arm demonstrate that credible AI exposure with proven earnings power remains highly attractive to institutional investors.
- Leadership Transitions Matter in Mature Growth Stories: Tesla’s executive exit highlights the importance of governance and succession planning as high-growth companies enter more competitive phases.
- Geopolitics as a Market Variable: U.S.–Asia technology policy will remain a source of volatility and opportunity across semiconductors and AI-linked equities.
Disclaimer: This newsletter provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.

