Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – April 11, 2025
Date Issued – 11th April 2025
Preview
Markets remain volatile as key global developments shape investor sentiment. Chinese stocks extended their rally, with stimulus hopes outweighing intensifying U.S.-China trade tensions. Meanwhile, Zillow’s ban on off-market listings has reignited debates over transparency versus seller flexibility in real estate. Gold surged past $3,200/oz, hitting a record high on safe-haven flows amid dollar weakness, while oil prices are poised for a second weekly decline on trade war concerns and slowing demand forecasts. The euro climbed to a three-year high as investors fled U.S. assets, driven by tariff uncertainties and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Chinese Stocks Rally on Stimulus Hopes Despite Trade Tensions
Chinese equities extended gains for a fourth consecutive session, driven by optimism around potential stimulus measures and signs of flexibility in U.S.-China trade negotiations. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose as much as 2.7%, while the onshore CSI 300 Index added 0.4%, outperforming broader Asian markets. Investors are betting on Beijing introducing growth-support measures following key leadership meetings, bolstered by U.S. President Donald Trump’s indications of possible tariff exemptions. However, escalating trade tensions remain a headwind, with Chinese authorities imposing an 84% tariff on U.S. imports in response to Trump’s 145% levy, underscoring the fragility of bilateral relations.
Investment Insight: While short-term gains in Chinese markets reflect optimism over stimulus and trade flexibility, the broader outlook remains precarious amid intensifying U.S.-China tensions. Investors should approach Chinese equities with caution, focusing on sectors likely to benefit from domestic policy support rather than relying on external trade resolutions. Diversification across Asian markets may mitigate risks tied to prolonged volatility in Sino-American relations.
Zillow Bans Off-Market Listings, Fueling Industry Tensions
Zillow announced it will prohibit homes marketed privately to select buyers from appearing on its platform, escalating a long-standing industry debate over “pocket listings.” The move aligns with the National Association of Realtors’ (NAR) updated Clear Cooperation Policy, which requires properties to be listed on multiple listing services (MLS) within a day of public marketing. Zillow’s ban, effective next month, will target properties promoted exclusively on platforms like Instagram or single brokerage websites. While Zillow and fair housing advocates argue the policy enhances transparency and maximizes seller returns, some luxury market brokers criticize the restriction, citing reduced seller flexibility. The decision underscores a growing divide between promoting transparency and preserving niche marketing strategies.
Investment Insight: Zillow’s policy shift reflects the increasing push for transparency in real estate transactions, potentially reshaping buyer access and seller strategies. For investors, this could level the playing field by broadening visibility into property markets, especially in competitive urban and luxury sectors. However, the ban may also limit opportunities to access exclusive deals, particularly for institutional investors leveraging off-market listings. Staying informed about evolving listing policies will be crucial for navigating real estate investments going forward.
Gold Breaks $3,200 Barrier Amid Dollar Weakness and Safe-Haven Demand
Gold surged past the $3,200/oz milestone for the first time, climbing 1% to a record $3,219.84 earlier in Friday’s session before retreating slightly. A weakening U.S. dollar, down 0.5% against major currencies, and escalating U.S.-China trade tensions spurred the rally, as investors sought refuge in safe-haven assets. Gold has gained 5% this week, supported by central bank demand, expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, and geopolitical uncertainty. Analysts see $3,500 as the next target but caution that the path may be volatile. Other precious metals saw mixed movements, with silver up 0.1% and platinum down 0.3%.
Investment Insight: Gold’s record-breaking rally underscores its resilience as a hedge against currency risk and global instability. For investors, the metal remains a key portfolio diversifier amid heightened trade tensions, a falling dollar, and dovish monetary policies. While further upside is likely, tactical allocations to gold-backed ETFs or mining stocks can help mitigate potential volatility. Monitor central bank moves and inflation data closely, as they will play a pivotal role in shaping gold’s trajectory.

Oil Prices Face Second Weekly Decline Amid Trade War Fears
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday, with Brent crude rising 1.4% to $64.23 per barrel and WTI gaining 1.5% to $60.95. However, both benchmarks are set to post their second consecutive weekly loss, with Brent down 2.1% and WTI off 1.8% for the week. Escalating U.S.-China trade tensions, highlighted by new tariffs and retaliatory measures, are fueling concerns about a global economic slowdown that could dent oil demand. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) lowered its global growth and oil demand forecasts, while analysts from BMI and ANZ predict further price pressure as trade disputes threaten economic stability. Attention now shifts to the OPEC+ meeting in May, as any signal of additional supply growth could prompt further selloffs.
Investment Insight: Investor caution is warranted as oil markets navigate rising geopolitical risks and trade-driven demand uncertainty. While OPEC+ intervention could stabilize prices, the risk of prolonged economic weakness suggests a cautious approach to energy investments. Consider diversifying exposure to oil with hedges in other commodities or sectors less sensitive to trade disruptions, and closely monitor policy announcements from the upcoming OPEC+ meeting.
Euro Hits 3-Year High as Investors Shift Away from US Assets
The euro surged to a three-year high against the US dollar, reaching 1.1387 during Friday’s Asian session, as investors dumped US assets amid tariff-driven economic uncertainty. The US Dollar Index dropped below 100 for the first time since July 2023, with haven currencies such as the Swiss franc and Japanese yen also strengthening. Cooler-than-expected US inflation data and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts added pressure to the dollar. Meanwhile, US Treasuries saw significant sell-offs, pushing yields on 10- and 30-year government bonds higher, reflecting rising risk premiums. While Wall Street extended its selloff, European markets are poised to open higher, buoyed by the euro’s strength.
Investment Insight: The euro’s rally signals a broader shift toward non-dollar assets as trade tensions and economic risks weigh on the US outlook. For investors, this presents opportunities in European equities and bonds, which may benefit from capital inflows amid dollar weakness. However, with higher safe-haven demand driving currencies like the yen and Swiss franc, currency risk management will be essential. Monitor Fed policy signals and geopolitical developments closely, as these will shape future currency and capital flow dynamics.
Conclusion
Global markets are navigating a turbulent landscape shaped by trade tensions, policy shifts, and economic uncertainty. Chinese equities continue to rally on stimulus optimism, but geopolitical risks loom large. Gold’s record-breaking surge highlights investor moves toward safe havens, while oil markets face pressure from slowing demand and prolonged trade disputes. Zillow’s real estate policy changes reflect broader shifts toward transparency, and the euro’s rise underscores weakening confidence in U.S. assets. As volatility persists, investors should remain strategic, balancing risk exposure with diversification across asset classes and geographies, while closely monitoring central bank actions and geopolitical developments.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- April 11th, 2025: US PPI
- April 16th, 2025: Industrial Production
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – April 10, 2025
Date Issued – 10th April 2025
Preview
Markets staged a dramatic rebound this week as President Trump paused broad-based tariffs, fueling a 10% surge in the S&P 500—its biggest one-day gain since 2008—though fragility in bonds and policy uncertainty linger. Fast Retailing raised its profit outlook after a 33% jump in Q2 earnings, but tariff risks cloud the outlook. March CPI data is expected to show inflation easing to 2.5%, possibly the last such print before new trade measures reverse the trend. TSMC’s Q1 revenue soared 42%, driven by AI demand, outpacing forecasts despite geopolitical risks. Meanwhile, Chinese and Hong Kong equities climbed on stimulus hopes, even as Sino-U.S. tensions escalated with tit-for-tat tariffs.
Markets Surge After Tariff Reversal, But Fragility Remains
After a week of historic volatility, U.S. equities staged a dramatic comeback as President Trump’s partial rollback of sweeping new tariffs ignited a relief rally. The S&P 500 surged nearly 10% on Wednesday—its biggest one-day gain since 2008—following a sharp downturn that had pushed it to the brink of a bear market. The Cboe Volatility Index spiked to pandemic-era highs earlier in the week, reflecting deep investor unease. The turnaround came as Trump paused duties on most trading partners while maintaining pressure on China, signaling a potential revival of the so-called “Trump put.” However, the bond market remains jittery, with Treasury yields spiking amid forced liquidations, underscoring systemic fragility and the economic uncertainty stemming from erratic trade policy.
Investment Insight
The week’s extreme market swings reaffirm the heightened sensitivity of risk assets to policy volatility. While the rally suggests renewed investor faith in policy support, the lack of clarity on trade direction and the fragility in bond markets warn against complacency. Investors should remain defensively positioned, favoring liquidity and sectoral resilience, while monitoring policy cues as potential catalysts for both risk and recovery.
Fast Retailing Lifts Outlook as Uniqlo Profit Surges, Eyes Tariff Risks
Fast Retailing, the parent of Uniqlo, posted a 33% year-on-year jump in second-quarter operating profit to ¥146.7 billion ($999.9 million), well above analyst expectations, buoyed by strong global sales ahead of fresh U.S. tariff threats. The Japanese retailer raised its full-year profit forecast to ¥545 billion, citing robust overseas demand, particularly in North America and Europe, even as China—its largest overseas market—continues to slow. The upbeat earnings come amid rising macro uncertainty after President Trump’s sweeping tariff plan, which includes a 24% duty on Japanese goods, was temporarily paused. With over 2,500 stores globally and a supply chain rooted in Asia, Fast Retailing’s outlook remains vulnerable to geopolitics despite short-term momentum.
Investment Insight
Fast Retailing’s strong quarter and upgraded forecast highlight the strength of its global brand and operational scale. Yet the company’s exposure to U.S. trade policy and Asian manufacturing underscores rising execution risk. Investors should watch for profit margin pressures if tariffs materialize and assess the company’s ability to diversify sourcing and sustain growth in Western markets amid geopolitical headwinds.
March CPI May Mark Inflation Lull as Tariffs Threaten Fresh Pressures
The March Consumer Price Index (CPI), expected to show continued moderation in inflation, could be the final report reflecting easing price pressures before new tariffs reignite upward momentum. Forecasts point to headline inflation cooling to 2.5% year-over-year, down from 2.8% in February, with core CPI slipping slightly to 3.0%. However, economists warn that the data may already be outdated amid President Trump’s escalating trade measures, including a 125% tariff on Chinese goods and baseline duties on most countries. While the Fed remains cautious, the evolving tariff landscape is poised to complicate its inflation fight, potentially stalling the disinflationary trend seen in early 2025.
Investment Insight
March CPI may offer a short-lived reprieve for inflation watchers. With fresh tariffs likely to magnify cost pressures in the months ahead, especially in core components like goods and services, investors should prepare for renewed inflation volatility. Market expectations for near-term Fed rate cuts may need recalibration, reinforcing the case for inflation-resilient assets and a cautious approach to duration risk in fixed income portfolios.

TSMC Posts 42% Revenue Surge on AI Demand, Beats Forecasts
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) reported a 42% year-on-year jump in first-quarter revenue to T$839.3 billion ($25.6 billion), slightly ahead of analyst estimates and its own guidance. The world’s top contract chipmaker continues to capitalize on surging demand for AI-related chips, offsetting the post-pandemic slowdown in consumer electronics. Despite a one-time impact from a January earthquake, revenue remained resilient. TSMC shares rebounded 9.9% following President Trump’s temporary suspension of new tariffs, though year-to-date losses remain steep at nearly 20%. Investors now await full Q1 earnings and forward guidance on April 17 amid growing geopolitical and trade uncertainties.
Investment Insight
TSMC’s robust top-line growth underscores its pivotal role in the AI supply chain and its resilience to cyclical headwinds in broader tech. However, with tariff risks still looming and Taiwan’s strategic position in global trade under scrutiny, investors should monitor geopolitical developments closely. The stock’s recent rebound may offer selective entry points, but long-term positioning should account for both AI-driven upside and policy-driven volatility.
Market price: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TPE: 2330): TWD 863.00
Markets Eye Stimulus as U.S.-China Trade Tensions Escalate
Investor sentiment in Asia turned cautiously optimistic despite U.S. President Trump’s escalation of tariffs on Chinese imports to 125%, with Beijing swiftly retaliating by lifting its own duties to 84%. While the tariff standoff between the world’s two largest economies intensified, equity markets in China and Hong Kong posted gains, buoyed by hopes of domestic stimulus and signs of state-backed buying. Analysts noted that China’s reduced export dependence on the U.S. and policy preparedness have limited downside risks for Chinese equities. However, the broader investment landscape remains volatile as trade negotiations remain strained and the long-term economic impact of tariffs grows more pronounced.
Investment Insight
The resilience of Chinese and Hong Kong equities amid rising tariffs reflects investor confidence in Beijing’s ability to cushion economic shocks through targeted stimulus and policy levers. Yet, the durability of this rebound hinges on the trajectory of U.S.-China negotiations. Investors should brace for headline-driven volatility and focus on structurally sound sectors—such as high-growth internet and undervalued SOEs—while maintaining a balanced exposure given the heightened geopolitical risk.
Conclusion
This week’s whirlwind of market moves underscores the delicate balance between policy shifts and investor sentiment. While equities rallied on tariff pauses and strong corporate earnings, underlying risks remain—from inflation re-acceleration to geopolitical flashpoints. As trade tensions between the U.S. and China deepen and macro uncertainties mount, markets may stay headline-driven and volatile. Investors are repositioning around resilience: AI beneficiaries like TSMC, defensive plays amid sticky inflation, and sectors poised to weather policy shocks. With central banks in wait-and-see mode and stimulus expected in Asia, the path forward hinges on diplomacy, data, and the durability of global economic momentum.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- April 10th, 2025: US CPI
- April 11th, 2025: US PPI
- April 16th, 2025: Industrial Production
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – April 9, 2025
Date Issued – 9th April 2025
Preview
Global markets slid as U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods took effect, dragging European indices down more than 2% and pushing Japan’s Nikkei 225 4% lower. U.S. Treasuries faced a sharp selloff, with the 10-year yield jumping to 4.41%, while haven assets like gold and the yen saw mixed responses amid liquidity concerns. Japan ruled out using its $1.27 trillion in U.S. Treasury holdings as a retaliatory tool, emphasizing their role in currency intervention preparedness. Meanwhile, gold erased earlier gains to finish flat at $2,982.92 an ounce, reflecting volatility-driven selling despite its year-to-date rally. Investors are advised to focus on diversification, shorter-duration bonds, and defensive assets as uncertainty around trade policy and economic growth persists.
Markets Slide as Tariffs Deepen Global Uncertainty
European markets opened sharply lower, with the Euro STOXX 50 falling 2.4% and major indices across Germany, France, and the UK following suit, as President Trump’s sweeping tariffs on Chinese goods came into effect. Asian markets mirrored the downturn, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 slumping 4% and South Korea’s Kospi dropping 1.7%, while China allowed further weakening of the Yuan to offset trade pressures. US stock futures pointed to declines, with the S&P 500 down 2.56%, as investor sentiment soured. Risk-off flows buoyed haven assets like gold, which climbed above $3,018 per ounce, while oil prices extended losses, with Brent crude down nearly 4% to $60.41 per barrel.
Investment Insight: Ongoing tariff escalations have heightened global market volatility, with cyclical sectors like autos and industrials hit particularly hard. Investors may consider pivoting toward defensive plays, including precious metals and currencies like the yen and Swiss franc, while maintaining caution around equities until greater clarity emerges on US trade policy. The prolonged uncertainty underscores the importance of diversification and a focus on quality assets with robust balance sheets.
Bond Market Rout Raises Liquidity Concerns Amid Global Turmoil
U.S. Treasuries faced a sharp selloff as yields on the 10-year note surged to 4.41%, marking a 16-basis-point rise during Asian trading and a 50-basis-point leap since Monday. The 30-year yield spiked above 5%, the largest three-day increase since 1981, driven by forced liquidations from hedge funds unwinding leveraged “basis trades.” The volatility extended to global bond markets, with Japan’s 30-year bond yield hitting a 21-year high. Analysts warn that growing liquidity concerns, coupled with fears of foreign selling.
Investment Insight: The speed and scale of the Treasury selloff highlight rising liquidity risks in global markets, signaling potential stress in leveraged positions. Investors should monitor central bank responses closely, as intervention could stabilize volatility. Near-term strategies may include reducing exposure to long-duration bonds and pivoting toward cash or shorter-term instruments to mitigate risk. Additionally, diversification across currencies and geographies remains critical as uncertainty around trade flows and safe-haven dynamics grows.
Japan Dismisses Using U.S. Treasury Holdings as Tariff Countermeasure
Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato ruled out leveraging Japan’s $1.27 trillion in foreign reserves, largely composed of U.S. Treasuries, to counter President Trump’s tariffs on Japanese imports. Speaking in parliament, Kato emphasized that Japan’s Treasury holdings are managed to prepare for potential exchange-rate interventions, not as a diplomatic tool. While some lawmakers suggested selling U.S. Treasuries as retaliation, Kato warned such actions would effectively amount to yen.
Investment Insight: Japan’s commitment to maintaining its U.S. Treasury holdings underscores the global reliance on Treasuries as a reserve asset despite escalating trade tensions. For investors, this highlights the resilience of U.S. debt markets against geopolitical shocks. However, sustained trade disputes and potential retaliatory measures elsewhere could introduce volatility, warranting a focus on diversifying fixed-income portfolios and monitoring shifts in global reserve strategies.
Gold Flatlines as Tariff Anxiety Tempers Haven Demand
Gold erased earlier gains of 1.3% to finish flat at $2,982.92 per ounce as markets digested news that the US is moving forward with 104% tariffs on Chinese goods. Despite its haven status, gold has faced headwinds from liquidity-driven selling amid heightened volatility in equities and bonds. Still, bullion remains up more than 13% year-to-date, benefiting from fears of stagflation as inflation risks persist alongside slowing growth. Other metals saw mixed movements, with silver slipping and platinum edging higher.
Investment Insight: Gold’s muted performance amid tariff-driven volatility highlights its vulnerability to liquidity crunches, even as it remains a favored hedge against stagflationary pressures. Investors should maintain exposure to gold as a long-term portfolio diversifier, particularly with economic disruption and inflation risks on the horizon. However, near-term price movements could remain choppy as markets react to evolving trade dynamics and macroeconomic signals.

Volkswagen’s EV Sales Surge in Europe Amid Growing Demand
Volkswagen more than doubled its European battery-electric vehicle (BEV) deliveries in Q1 2025, reaching over 150,000 units compared to 74,400 in the same period last year. Total orders for Volkswagen vehicles, including both electric and combustion models, rose 29% in Western Europe, reflecting surging demand driven by stricter EU emissions regulations and new EV model launches. The growth comes as BEVs outperform the broader European auto market, where total car sales have declined.
Investment Insight: Volkswagen’s strong EV sales growth highlights a pivotal shift in the European automotive market toward electrification. For investors, this underscores the competitive advantage of automakers with robust EV pipelines amid tightening emissions standards. The trend also signals opportunities in supporting sectors like battery production and EV infrastructure, as demand for sustainable mobility continues to accelerate.
Conclusion
Global markets are navigating heightened uncertainty as trade tensions, recession fears, and policy responses dominate investor sentiment. While rebounds in Japanese equities and oil prices offer brief relief, downside risks persist across equities, commodities, and currency markets. Defensive positioning remains critical, with opportunities emerging in less trade-sensitive sectors and regions. As central banks and governments intervene to stabilize markets, monitoring liquidity conditions and diplomatic developments will be key to anticipating shifts. Investors should remain cautious, prioritizing diversification and quality assets to weather continued volatility and capitalize on potential recovery scenarios in the coming weeks.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- April 10th, 2025: US CPI
- April 11th, 2025: US PPI
- April 16th, 2025: Industrial Production
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – April 8, 2025
Date Issued – 8th April 2025
Preview
Global markets remain volatile as escalating U.S.-China trade tensions weigh on sentiment. China pledged to retaliate against U.S. tariff hikes, propping up markets with stimulus and yuan devaluation, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index rebounded 2.87%. The S&P 500 narrowly avoided a bear market after dropping 21% intraday, while hedge funds reduced net leverage to historical lows amid mounting losses. Japanese equities surged 6% on hopes of a U.S.-Japan trade deal and a weaker yen, though risks linger. Oil prices rose 1% following last week’s sharp selloff, but analysts warn of persistent demand concerns tied to recession fears. Investors are advised to adopt defensive strategies, focusing on resilient sectors and monitoring geopolitical developments.
China Escalates Trade War Amid Market Support Measures
China has vowed to retaliate against the latest U.S. tariff threats, intensifying the trade standoff between the world’s two largest economies. Beijing signaled its determination to shield markets, with central bank actions weakening the yuan to boost exports and state-linked funds injecting record inflows into equities. Despite a rebound in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (+2.87%), the yuan hit a two-month low offshore as fears of decoupling grow. President Trump’s escalating tariffs, now reaching a cumulative rate of 104%, have dimmed hopes for a near-term resolution, with both sides adopting increasingly entrenched positions. Beijing is pivoting towards domestic consumption and stimulus to offset external pressures, while Hong Kong looks to diversify trade relations amid its own tariff challenges.
Investment Insight
Investors should brace for prolonged volatility in China-related assets as trade tensions intensify. While Beijing’s market interventions may stabilize equities in the short term, the weaker yuan and heavy reliance on stimulus suggest longer-term risks. Diversification into emerging markets with lower trade exposure to the U.S. or sectors tied to domestic Chinese consumption could mitigate downside risks.
S&P 500 Teeters on Bear Market Amid Tariff Uncertainty
The S&P 500 briefly fell into bear market territory on Monday, dropping 21% from its February high of 6,144 before recovering to close at 5,062, narrowly avoiding an official bear market designation. The tech-heavy Nasdaq-100, however, officially entered a bear market on Friday. Investor sentiment remains fragile as markets react to mixed signals from the White House regarding the longevity of tariffs. Monday’s 4.7% intraday decline highlights the mounting pressure on equities, with analysts noting this could become the second-fastest bear market in history after the 2020 pandemic crash.
Investment Insight
The risk of continued market volatility underscores the importance of a defensive approach. Investors should consider rotating into sectors that are less sensitive to trade headwinds, such as healthcare and utilities, while maintaining liquidity to capitalize on potential buying opportunities during market dislocations.
Hedge Funds Cut Risk as Markets Plunge on Trade War Fears
Global hedge funds tracked by Morgan Stanley reported mounting losses last week, with year-to-date performance turning negative (-3%) as markets reeled from escalating U.S.-China trade tensions. The S&P 500 and FTSE fell over 10% and 6%, respectively, while oil hit a four-year low, reflecting fears of a global recession. Hedge funds sharply reduced net leverage, with U.S. long-short funds dropping to 37%, near historical lows. Export-driven Asian markets bore the brunt of the selloff, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index suffering its steepest decline since 1997. Analysts warn of heightened volatility amid tariff uncertainty, suggesting further downside risk for equities.
Investment Insight
Amid significant deleveraging by hedge funds and ongoing market volatility, a risk-off strategy remains prudent. Investors should prioritize defensive sectors like consumer staples and fixed income while maintaining a cautious stance on export-reliant markets. Monitoring liquidity conditions and hedge fund positioning could offer early signals of market stabilization.
Japanese Stocks Surge on Tariff Deal Hopes and Yen Weakness
Japanese equities rallied sharply on Tuesday, with the Topix jumping 6.3% and the Nikkei 225 gaining 6%, marking their largest single-day increases since August. Optimism surrounding a potential U.S.-Japan tariff deal, sparked by a call between Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba and President Trump, fueled the rebound. Exporters led the rally, buoyed by a weaker yen, as Hitachi surged 14% and Toyota rose 7.2%. Banking stocks also outperformed, with Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group climbing 13% intraday. Despite the gains, both indices remain down over 7% since the tariff announcement on April 2, underscoring lingering trade-related risks.
Investment Insight
The rebound in Japanese equities highlights the market’s sensitivity to trade developments and currency movements. Investors should stay attuned to further U.S.-Japan negotiations while considering sectors like exporters and financials that benefit from yen weakness and improving trade sentiment. However, caution is warranted as the broader trade environment remains uncertain, suggesting the importance of diversification within Asia-Pacific portfolios.

Oil Prices Rebound 1% Amid Volatile Markets and Tariff Concerns
Oil prices rose about 1% on Tuesday, with Brent crude at $64.87 per barrel and WTI at $61.37, recovering slightly from a near four-year low following last week’s 14%-15% slump driven by U.S.-China tariff tensions. The relief rally was supported by steadier equity markets, though analysts warn of persistent downside risks as escalating trade conflicts threaten global growth and energy demand. ING and other market watchers caution that further tariff escalation, including President Trump’s proposed 50% levy on Chinese goods, could deepen recession fears and weigh on crude prices. Inventory data later this week will provide additional clues on demand trends.
Investment Insight
With oil prices remaining vulnerable to trade-driven demand shocks, investors should carefully monitor geopolitical developments and economic indicators for clarity on global energy trends. A defensive approach in energy markets, focusing on high-quality producers with strong balance sheets, can help mitigate downside risks during periods of heightened volatility.
Conclusion
Global markets are navigating heightened uncertainty as trade tensions, recession fears, and policy responses dominate investor sentiment. While rebounds in Japanese equities and oil prices offer brief relief, downside risks persist across equities, commodities, and currency markets. Defensive positioning remains critical, with opportunities emerging in less trade-sensitive sectors and regions. As central banks and governments intervene to stabilize markets, monitoring liquidity conditions and diplomatic developments will be key to anticipating shifts. Investors should remain cautious, prioritizing diversification and quality assets to weather continued volatility and capitalize on potential recovery scenarios in the coming weeks.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- April 10th, 2025: US CPI
- April 11th, 2025: US PPI
- April 16th, 2025: Industrial Production
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – April 7, 2025
Date Issued – 7th April 2025
Preview
Global markets face intensifying turmoil as U.S. tariffs and China’s retaliation disrupt equities, cryptocurrencies, and economic forecasts. The Federal Reserve remains cautious, citing uncertainty from trade tensions and inflation risks, while JPMorgan projects a 0.3% GDP contraction for 2025. Asian markets plunged, with Japan’s Nikkei dropping 8% and Taiwan’s Taiex falling 9.7%, as the impact of tariffs ripples across export-driven economies. Bitcoin slipped below $80,000, mirroring sharp selloffs in equities, as global market capitalization shed $8.2 trillion. Meanwhile, LG Energy Solution’s Q1 profit surged 138% on U.S. subsidies, though underlying losses reflect cooling EV demand. Investors are advised to brace for volatility, explore defensive sectors, and monitor opportunities in domestic-focused markets and alternative assets.
Fed Stays on Sidelines Amid Economic Uncertainty
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled a cautious approach to monetary policy, citing elevated uncertainty due to conflicting economic signals, including President Trump’s unexpected tariff hikes and their potential inflationary impact. Despite strong March job growth, Powell indicated the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates soon, emphasizing the risks of premature action. Markets remain jittery as tariffs are expected to drive inflation higher while curbing growth; JPMorgan now forecasts a 0.3% GDP contraction for 2025. Powell underscored the Fed’s commitment to deliberate action, contrasting the current situation with past crises that demanded immediate responses.
Investment Insight
Investors should brace for heightened volatility as the Fed adopts a wait-and-see stance amid tariff-driven economic disruptions. With inflation risks rising and growth forecasts dimming, portfolio hedges against stagflation—such as commodities or inflation-protected securities—may offer strategic value. Avoid heavy bets on rate cuts in the near term, as the Fed appears focused on maintaining optionality.
China Rallies Domestic Resilience Amid Escalating Trade War
China responded to President Trump’s sweeping tariff hikes with a call for calm and a detailed plan to counter economic fallout. The Communist Party’s People’s Daily emphasized resilience, pledging domestic stimulus measures such as rate cuts, increased liquidity, and fiscal expansion to bolster growth. While the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index plunged 10.8% and the yuan weakened, Beijing signaled readiness for further retaliation if needed. Analysts warn of escalating risks to global growth, with China’s strategy shifting toward fostering domestic demand and diversifying trade partnerships. Negotiations remain possible, but the trade war continues to weigh heavily on markets.
Investment Insight
Investors should prepare for prolonged volatility as China prioritizes domestic stimulus over immediate trade resolutions. Consider exposure to sectors tied to Chinese domestic consumption, which Beijing aims to strengthen, while exercising caution around export-reliant industries vulnerable to US tariffs. The yuan’s potential devaluation and increased fiscal measures may also create opportunities in Chinese government bonds and consumer-driven equities.
LG Energy Solution Posts 138% Profit Surge Amid Industry Headwinds
LG Energy Solution (LGES) reported a 138% rise in Q1 operating profit to 374.7 billion won, surpassing expectations of 29 billion won. The surge was driven by tax credits from the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). However, excluding these credits, the company faced an operating loss of 83 billion won ($56.52 million), reflecting the impact of declining EV demand. LGES, a key supplier to General Motors and Tesla, highlighted ongoing challenges in the electric vehicle market despite supportive policy tailwinds.
Investment Insight
The sharp contrast between LGES’s headline profit and its underlying loss underscores the market’s dependency on government incentives. Investors should monitor policy developments like the IRA for near-term support but remain cautious about the structural challenges posed by softening EV demand. Diversified exposure to battery materials or renewable energy infrastructure may provide more balanced opportunities in the sector.

Bitcoin Slips Below $80,000 Amid Market Turmoil
Bitcoin fell under $80,000 on Sunday, losing over 3% in two hours, as U.S. tariffs triggered widespread selloffs across global markets. Ethereum dropped nearly 8%, and the GMCI 30 Index of top cryptocurrencies declined over 6% in one day, extending its year-to-date losses to 32%. The crypto slump mirrored sharp pullbacks in equities, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq shedding nearly 6% last week, as global market capitalization plunged by $8.2 trillion. Analysts warn of heightened volatility ahead, with Bitcoin potentially poised for a major move depending on broader market sentiment.
Investment Insight
Amid escalating market uncertainty, Bitcoin’s safe-haven narrative faces pressure as both crypto and equities decline. Investors should monitor Bitcoin’s price action alongside Wall Street’s volatility index (VIX), as compressed crypto volatility could signal an upcoming breakout. Diversifying into lesser-correlated assets or stablecoins may offer protection, while long-term holders could see buying opportunities if Bitcoin stabilizes near key technical levels.
Asian Markets Plunge Amid Escalating Trade War
Asian markets tumbled Monday as President Trump’s sweeping tariffs and China’s forceful retaliation deepened global market turmoil. Japan’s Nikkei fell over 8% shortly after opening, while the Shanghai Composite and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dropped 6.7% and 9%, respectively. Taiwan’s Taiex plummeted 9.7%, with major exporters like TSMC and Foxconn hitting circuit breakers. The sell-off follows a $5.4 trillion wipeout in global equities, with U.S. futures signaling further losses. Economists warn of worsening economic damage, as trade tensions between the U.S. and key Asian economies escalate, stoking fears of a global slowdown.
Investment Insight
With Asian markets under pressure, investors should focus on defensive sectors and consider reducing exposure to export-reliant stocks in regions heavily impacted by U.S. tariffs. Diversifying into non-correlated assets, such as gold or cash equivalents, may help navigate volatility. In the medium term, watch for potential buying opportunities in undervalued equities once the trade landscape stabilizes.
Conclusion
Markets remain fragile as escalating U.S.-China trade tensions, volatile crypto movements, and mixed corporate earnings weigh on investor sentiment. The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance highlights the uncertainty surrounding inflation and growth, while Asian markets and Bitcoin’s slump underscore the global ripple effects of tariffs. Despite LG Energy Solution’s profit surge, underlying challenges in the EV market reflect broader headwinds. Investors face a landscape marked by heightened volatility and shifting dynamics. Staying defensive, diversifying portfolios, and monitoring policy developments will be critical as markets navigate the fallout from trade disruptions and search for stability in the weeks ahead.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- April 10th, 2025: US CPI
- April 11th, 2025: US PPI
- April 16th, 2025: Industrial Production
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – April 4, 2025
Date Issued – 3rd April 2025
Preview
Markets are reeling as escalating U.S. tariffs ripple through global financial systems. European shares suffered their steepest weekly loss since 2022, while J.P. Morgan raised global recession odds to 60%, citing trade disruptions and weakened business sentiment. Oil plunged below $70 per barrel, driven by surprise OPEC+ output hikes and recession fears, while the euro neared a six-month high as investors bet on central bank rate cuts. Australian pension funds faced a cyberattack compromising 20,000+ accounts, highlighting security vulnerabilities in financial infrastructure. Amid growing uncertainty, safe-haven assets like gold and U.S. Treasuries are gaining favor, while defensive equities and resilient sectors present opportunities in an increasingly volatile environment.
Cyberattacks Target Australia’s Pension Funds, Impacting Thousands of Accounts
Australia’s largest pension funds, managing a combined A$4.2 trillion in retirement savings, have been hit by a series of coordinated cyberattacks, compromising over 20,000 accounts. Major funds, including AustralianSuper, Rest, and Hostplus, confirmed breaches, with some members losing up to A$500,000. AustralianSuper, the biggest fund managing A$365 billion, reported 600 compromised accounts, while Rest’s attack affected 1% of its members. Government agencies and regulators are coordinating a response as cybersecurity concerns mount. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese called the attacks part of a growing trend, with breaches occurring every six minutes. The incidents highlight vulnerabilities in Australia’s financial infrastructure, despite an A$587 million cybersecurity strategy launched in 2023.
Investment Insight: Cybersecurity risks are a growing threat to financial institutions, underscoring the importance of robust risk management in portfolio strategies. Investors should monitor companies with exposure to cybersecurity solutions, as demand for defensive technologies is likely to accelerate. Funds holding significant positions in vulnerable sectors, such as financial services, may face reputational and operational risks, making diversification essential.
European Shares Slide as Tariffs Stoke Recession Fears
European markets ended the week sharply lower, with the STOXX 600 index dropping 0.9% on Friday and posting a 4.4% weekly loss—the steepest since June 2022. Investor sentiment soured after U.S. President Donald Trump imposed sweeping 20% tariffs on European imports, heightening global recession concerns. European banks, particularly vulnerable to economic downturns, led sector losses with a 3.8% decline. Meanwhile, Germany’s industrial orders stagnated in February, signaling a sluggish recovery for Europe’s largest economy. Market participants now await the U.S. March jobs report for further clues on global economic health.
Investment Insight: Heightened trade tensions and recession fears underscore the need for defensive positioning in portfolios. Investors should consider increasing exposure to less cyclical sectors, such as healthcare and utilities, while monitoring opportunities in undervalued European equities if central banks respond with rate cuts. Additionally, companies with resilient supply chains or limited exposure to U.S.-EU trade may offer relative stability in this volatile environment.
J.P. Morgan Raises Global Recession Risk to 60% Amid U.S. Tariff Escalation
J.P. Morgan has increased its global recession odds to 60%, up from 40%, citing fallout from President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff measures. The U.S. imposed a 10% baseline tariff on all imports, with higher duties targeting specific nations, raising concerns about retaliatory trade actions, weakened business sentiment, and supply chain disruptions. J.P. Morgan strategists, led by Bruce Kasman, noted that U.S. trade policy has become less business-friendly than anticipated, exacerbating global economic risks. Wall Street firms, including Barclays and Deutsche Bank, echoed these warnings. While J.P. Morgan expects the Federal Reserve to implement two 25-basis-point rate cuts this year, investor expectations point to four, signaling a growing demand for monetary easing to offset economic pressures.
Investment Insight: Rising recession risks and trade policy uncertainty call for a cautious investment approach. Investors should prioritize high-quality assets, including government bonds and defensive equities, to navigate market volatility. Additionally, sectors with limited exposure to global trade, such as technology and consumer staples, may offer relative resilience. With central banks poised for rate cuts, income-focused strategies in dividend-yielding stocks and corporate bonds could also provide opportunities in this challenging environment.

Oil Prices Plunge on Tariff Escalation and Surprise OPEC+ Supply Hike
Oil markets faced their steepest selloff since 2022, with Brent crude dropping below $70 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate falling to $66. President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs, coupled with OPEC+’s unexpected decision to triple its planned May output hike, sent shockwaves across markets. Analysts view the OPEC+ decision as a deliberate move to discipline members exceeding quotas. While falling oil prices may ease inflationary pressures, they also reflect mounting concerns about global economic growth amid recession fears. Goldman Sachs cut its Brent forecast by $5 to $66 for December, warning of sustained volatility as recession risks rise.
Investment Insight: The oil market’s sharp downturn highlights the need for caution in energy sector investments. Investors should focus on integrated oil majors with diversified revenue streams and strong balance sheets, which are better positioned to weather price declines. Additionally, the broader economic uncertainty makes defensive sectors like utilities and healthcare attractive alternatives. For those seeking opportunities in commodities, a focus on gold or other safe-haven assets may provide stability in a volatile macroeconomic environment.
Euro Nears Six-Month High as U.S. Tariffs Shake Global Currency Markets
The euro edged closer to a six-month high on Friday, buoyed by its largest daily gain in nearly three years as investors assessed the fallout from U.S. tariffs. The dollar index rebounded slightly after plunging 1.9% on Thursday, its worst day since November 2022, while the safe-haven yen strengthened and risk-sensitive currencies like the Australian and New Zealand dollars tumbled. The Australian dollar fell 1.36% to $0.6241, reflecting concerns over the impact of tariffs on China, Australia’s largest trading partner. Meanwhile, market participants priced in multiple central bank rate cuts, with the European Central Bank expected to deliver three cuts by year-end and the Federal Reserve four.
Investment Insight: Currency markets are signaling heightened volatility amid escalating trade tensions and recession fears. For investors, this presents opportunities in safe-haven assets such as gold and U.S. Treasuries, which remain supported by risk aversion. Diversification into currencies less exposed to trade disputes, such as the Swiss franc or Japanese yen, may also provide stability. For equity investors, companies with limited exposure to global trade or those positioned in resilient sectors like technology or consumer staples may offer relative protection in uncertain economic conditions.
Conclusion
Global markets face mounting pressure as trade tensions, recession fears, and market volatility dominate headlines. U.S. tariffs are reshaping economic forecasts, with central banks expected to respond with aggressive rate cuts. Oil’s sharp decline and the euro’s rally underscore the fragile balance between inflation concerns and growth risks. Cybersecurity vulnerabilities and rising geopolitical uncertainty further compound challenges for investors. In this environment, strategic asset allocation is critical, with a focus on safe-haven assets, defensive equities, and sectors resilient to trade disruptions. As markets adjust to these shifting dynamics, maintaining a diversified portfolio remains key to navigating the uncertainty ahead.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- April 4th, 2025: US Employment Report, Fed Chair Jerome Powell to Speak
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – April 3, 2025
Date Issued – 3rd April 2025
Preview
Asian markets tumbled as President Trump’s sweeping tariffs sparked fears of a global trade war, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 falling 2.8% to an eight-month low. Bitcoin slid 0.8% to $83,421, reflecting risk-off sentiment, while gold surged to record highs. Ray Dalio warned that tariffs could prepare economies for geopolitical conflicts but risk inflation and stagflation. BlackRock’s $22.8 billion ports deal faces scrutiny in Panama, potentially delaying its completion amid legal and geopolitical tensions. Meanwhile, Mitsubishi announced a $27 billion investment plan over three years, targeting long-term growth and shareholder returns, supported by majority stakeholder Berkshire Hathaway.
Asian Markets Sink as U.S. Tariffs Trigger Global Trade Concerns
Asian equities plunged on Thursday following President Donald Trump’s announcement of sweeping tariffs on imports, including a 10% universal levy and higher reciprocal duties on countries with significant trade barriers. Japan’s Nikkei 225 led the selloff, dropping 2.8% to an eight-month low, while the broader TOPIX index fell 3.1%.
Export-driven economies like China, Japan, and Vietnam face significant pressure, with new tariffs as high as 54% on Chinese imports and 25% on foreign-made autos. Broader Asian markets followed suit, with the Hang Seng down 1.8%, South Korea’s KOSPI losing 1.2%, and Australia’s ASX 200 slipping 1.1%.
Meanwhile, China’s services PMI data offered a slight silver lining, exceeding expectations at 51.9, though it did little to stem market declines.
Investment Insight
Heightened trade tensions are likely to exacerbate volatility in global markets, with export-heavy sectors in Asia facing earnings risks. Investors should consider rotating into defensive plays, such as domestic-focused sectors and dividend-yielding assets, while exercising caution with companies directly exposed to U.S.-bound exports, particularly in the auto and technology industries.

Bitcoin Slides to $83.4K Amid Risk-Off Mood Following Trump Tariffs
Bitcoin dropped 0.8% to $83,421.50 on Thursday as global markets reacted to the announcement of sweeping U.S. tariffs. President Trump’s policy includes a 10% universal import tariff and steep reciprocal duties on key trading partners, with China facing a combined 54% tariff. The risk-off sentiment drove investors away from volatile assets like cryptocurrencies, favoring safe-haven assets such as gold, which hit record highs.
Crypto-related stocks also tumbled, with Coinbase falling 7.5% and Bitcoin miners Marathon Digital and Riot Platforms sliding over 7%. Among altcoins, Ethereum fell 1.2% to $1,832.57, while Solana and Polygon lost 3.2% and 3.5%, respectively.
Investment Insight
Bitcoin’s decline highlights its correlation with broader market risk, challenging its reputation as a hedge during uncertainty. Investors should approach cryptocurrencies cautiously in the current risk-averse environment, considering diversification into traditional safe-haven assets or defensive equities to mitigate volatility.
Ray Dalio: Tariffs Signal Strategic Preparation Amid Rising Global Conflict Risk
Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, emphasized that tariffs serve a dual purpose beyond generating tax revenue—they can reduce foreign reliance and prepare economies for potential global conflicts. In a LinkedIn post coinciding with the Trump administration’s new reciprocal tariffs, Dalio argued that import taxes help mitigate supply chain dependencies, making domestic industries more resilient, albeit less efficient.
He warned, however, that tariffs often lead to domestic inflation and global stagflation. Consistent with his longstanding concerns, Dalio reiterated that the world is heading toward heightened geopolitical strife and that the U.S. must urgently address its unsustainable debt-to-GDP ratio, now at 120%. Without action, Dalio cautioned, the U.S. risks a financial “heart attack.”
Investment Insight
Dalio’s commentary underscores the importance of diversification and risk management as geopolitical tensions escalate. Investors should monitor sectors poised to benefit from domestic supply chain strengthening, while remaining cautious of inflationary pressures. Defensive plays in energy, agriculture, and critical manufacturing may offer opportunities in an increasingly protectionist global economy.
Could Panama Derail BlackRock’s $22.8 Billion Ports Deal?
BlackRock’s $22.8 billion acquisition of CK Hutchison’s global port assets, including two major Panama Canal ports, faces potential delays as Panama audits the 25-year port concession granted to CK Hutchison. The Panama Ports Company operates the Balboa and Cristobal ports, critical trade hubs. Panama’s Comptroller General is investigating alleged irregularities in the concession renewal, raising questions about its constitutionality.
If the Supreme Court invalidates the contract, the concession could be revoked, jeopardizing the deal and risking international arbitration. Meanwhile, U.S.-China tensions loom large, with critics in Beijing calling the deal a betrayal of Chinese interests, while the U.S. sees it as bolstering its strategic position near the canal.
Investment Insight
BlackRock’s push into global infrastructure aligns with its strategic vision, but geopolitical and legal risks could complicate the deal and delay returns. Investors should watch for potential fallout from Panama’s audit and the U.S.-China trade conflict. Diversification across infrastructure and other asset classes may help mitigate exposure to geopolitical headwinds.
Mitsubishi Unveils $27 Billion Investment Plan to Drive Growth
Mitsubishi Corp announced plans to invest 4 trillion yen ($27 billion) over the next three years as part of its new growth strategy, targeting net profit of 1.2 trillion yen by the 2027/28 financial year. The Japanese trading giant will allocate 1 trillion yen for sustaining capital expenditures and over 3 trillion for growth investments.
Mitsubishi also reaffirmed its commitment to progressive dividends and flexible share buybacks, including plans to repurchase up to 1 trillion yen of shares through March 2026. Despite forecasting a net profit decline to 700 billion yen for the current fiscal year, the company announced a 10-yen dividend increase to 110 yen per share. Majority shareholder Berkshire Hathaway, with a 9.67% stake, stands to benefit from these moves.
Investment Insight
Mitsubishi’s ambitious investment plan signals confidence in long-term growth, despite near-term profit pressures. Investors should monitor its allocation strategy and execution, particularly in growth sectors like energy and infrastructure. Share buybacks and dividend increases suggest a shareholder-friendly approach, making Mitsubishi an attractive option for income-focused investors amidst Warren Buffett’s endorsement.
Conclusion
Global markets are grappling with heightened volatility as U.S. tariffs raise fears of a trade war, impacting equities, cryptocurrencies, and commodities alike. With Bitcoin reflecting broader risk-off sentiment and Ray Dalio highlighting tariffs’ far-reaching economic implications, investors face growing uncertainty. BlackRock’s Panama ports deal underscores the geopolitical stakes, while Mitsubishi’s bold $27 billion investment plan offers a reminder of long-term growth opportunities amid short-term headwinds.
Staying diversified and focusing on defensive assets, domestic growth sectors, and shareholder-friendly companies could be key strategies as markets navigate escalating geopolitical and economic challenges.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- April 3rd, 2025: Initial Jobless Claims, US Trade deficit
- April 4th, 2025: US Employment Report, Fed Chair Jerome Powell to Speak
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – April 2, 2025
Date Issued – 2nd April 2025
Preview
Markets remain on edge as U.S. tariff uncertainty looms, pressuring Asian stocks and commodities like oil, which steadied below $75 per barrel ahead of President Trump’s announcement. Tesla’s Q1 delivery figures, expected to decline sharply to 390,000 units, highlight challenges from CEO Elon Musk’s political controversies and growing competition, particularly from China’s BYD. Meanwhile, Johnson & Johnson shares plunged 7.6% after a judge rejected its $8.9 billion talc settlement plan, raising legal risks. Schroders faces strategic crossroads as shifting investor preferences toward passive and private funds weigh on its traditional active management model, prompting a £150m cost-cutting overhaul. Investors should brace for heightened volatility while seeking opportunities in resilient sectors and emerging market leaders.
Markets on Edge as Tariff Uncertainty Looms
Asian stocks traded cautiously on Wednesday amid heightened nerves over U.S. President Donald Trump’s impending tariff announcement, expected to intensify global trade tensions. While Japan’s Nikkei managed a 0.25% gain after earlier losses, South Korea’s benchmark fell 0.6%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng remained flat. European futures pointed to a subdued open, while Wall Street showed mixed results overnight, with the Dow slipping slightly and the Nasdaq rising. Gold, a safe-haven asset, hovered near record highs at $3,116.96 per ounce, reflecting investor unease. U.S. economic data added to the gloom, with manufacturing contracting in March, inflation pressures rising, and job openings declining. Meanwhile, Treasury yields fell, signaling a cautious stance in bond markets.
Investment Insight: With escalating tariff risks and signs of economic strain, investors should brace for prolonged volatility. Safe-haven assets like gold remain attractive amid uncertainty, but a focus on high-quality equities in less trade-sensitive sectors may offer resilience. Monitoring policy developments and second-half growth projections will be critical for navigating the shifting landscape.
Oil Rally Stalls Ahead of US Tariff Announcement
Oil prices steadied on Wednesday as traders awaited U.S. President Donald Trump’s highly anticipated tariff measures, which could have far-reaching economic implications. Brent crude traded below $75 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate remained just above $71. Market sentiment has turned cautious after last month’s robust rally, as concerns grow over potential global demand disruptions from new tariffs. Adding to the uncertainty, U.S. crude inventories surged by 6 million barrels last week, raising fears of a supply glut amid ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Russia and Iran. With OPEC and its allies increasing production this month, traders are scaling back risk exposure ahead of Trump’s announcement.
Investment Insight: Oil markets face conflicting forces, with rising inventories and trade uncertainties weighing on prices, while geopolitical risks and production constraints could limit downside risks. Investors should focus on energy companies with strong balance sheets and diversified revenue streams to weather potential volatility. Additionally, a cautious approach to crude futures may be prudent until clearer demand signals emerge following U.S. tariff decisions.

Tesla’s Q1 Deliveries in Focus Amid Mounting Headwinds
Tesla is set to report its first-quarter delivery figures on Wednesday, with analysts forecasting a significant decline to 390,000 units, down from an earlier estimate of 460,000. The EV giant faces headwinds from CEO Elon Musk’s political controversies, intensified competition from Chinese automakers, and slowing demand in key markets. European sales fell 49% year-on-year, while deliveries in China dropped 49% in February. Despite stronger U.S. sales and limited exposure to Trump’s proposed auto tariffs, Tesla’s share price has plunged 36% this year, erasing $460 billion in market value. Analysts remain cautious, citing BYD’s rapid growth and technological advancements as key challenges to Tesla’s market dominance.
Investment Insight: Tesla’s declining deliveries and intensifying competition signal a challenging road ahead for the EV leader. Investors should closely monitor Tesla’s ability to innovate and maintain its market share, particularly in China and Europe. Diversifying exposure to emerging EV market leaders, such as BYD, may provide a strategic hedge against Tesla’s volatility.
Market price: Tesla Inc (TSLA): USD 268.46
Johnson & Johnson Plunges After Judge Rejects Talc Settlement
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) shares tumbled 7.6% on Tuesday, leading S&P 500 decliners, after a judge rejected the company’s proposed settlement of thousands of talc-related liability claims. The failed $8.9 billion settlement, which relied on a “prepackaged bankruptcy” plan for a subsidiary, marks J&J’s third unsuccessful attempt to resolve the litigation. The stock closed at $153.25, slipping below key technical levels, including the 50- and 200-week moving averages. Despite the sharp drop, J&J shares remain up 6% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500’s 4% decline. Investors now turn to critical support levels around $147 and $137, with resistance at $167 and $180.
Investment Insight: Johnson & Johnson’s legal setbacks compound downside risks, as the stock remains under pressure within a descending channel. Investors should monitor support levels for potential entry points but maintain caution as further legal challenges could weigh on sentiment. For long-term investors, J&J’s robust dividend yield and defensive healthcare positioning may provide a degree of resilience, but short-term volatility is likely as litigation uncertainties persist.
Market price: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): USD 153.25
Schroders Faces Strategic Crossroads Amid Industry Shift
Historic fund manager Schroders is grappling with declining relevance as the investment landscape shifts toward low-cost passive funds and private capital. Despite growing assets under management to £780bn, the firm’s traditional active stock-picking model is under pressure, with outflows in public markets and slowing growth in private capital. The firm’s share price remains 45% below its 2021 peak, eroding the wealth of the Schroder family, which owns 44% of the business. CEO Richard Oldfield has unveiled a £150m cost-cutting plan, signaling a pivot toward efficiency and rethinking its private capital strategy. Yet questions linger over whether Schroders can succeed in both public and private markets or if a more radical restructuring, such as pivoting fully to wealth management, will be necessary.
Investment Insight: Schroders’ struggle underscores the challenges facing traditional asset managers as market dynamics evolve. For investors, the firm’s success hinges on its ability to drive inflows in private capital and streamline operations. While the wealth management arm, anchored by Cazenove Capital, offers a potential growth path, uncertainty remains. Investors may consider Schroders a high-risk, long-term turnaround play, while exploring opportunities in more agile competitors in the passive fund and private capital spaces.
Conclusion
Global markets are grappling with heightened uncertainty as geopolitical risks, legal challenges, and evolving industry dynamics weigh on sentiment. From Tesla’s delivery struggles and Johnson & Johnson’s legal setbacks to Schroders’ strategic pivot, investors face a complex landscape requiring careful navigation. Safe-haven assets like gold and defensive sectors offer resilience, while opportunities in private capital and emerging market leaders could provide growth. As tariff announcements loom, the focus shifts to policy developments and economic indicators for clarity. Staying diversified and strategically positioned will be key to weathering the volatility and capitalizing on opportunities in an increasingly uncertain environment.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- April 3rd, 2025: Initial Jobless Claims, US Trade deficit
- April 4th, 2025: US Employment Report, Fed Chair Jerome Powell to Speak
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – April 1, 2025
Date Issued – 1st April 2025
Preview
Global markets remain volatile as tariff uncertainties and weakening economic growth weigh on sentiment. Asian markets rebounded Tuesday, led by a 1.8% gain in South Korea’s Kospi, though fears over U.S. “Liberation Day” tariffs loom. European stocks saw their first monthly decline of 2025, with the Stoxx 600 down 3.8% in March amid sharp losses in luxury goods and autos. The S&P 500 ended its worst quarter in three years, dropping 5.75% in March, as Big Tech faltered and recession risks climbed to 35%, according to Goldman Sachs. Meanwhile, LG Energy Solution plans a $2 billion acquisition of a Michigan EV battery plant, signaling confidence in U.S. battery demand despite regulatory uncertainties. Defensive strategies, diversification, and monitoring policy developments remain critical for navigating the challenging environment.
Asian Markets Rebound Amid Wall Street’s Gains, Tariff Fears Loom
Asian stocks climbed on Tuesday, buoyed by Wall Street’s overnight recovery, though uncertainty surrounding the U.S.’s impending “Liberation Day” tariffs kept markets on edge. South Korea’s Kospi led regional gains, up 1.8%, followed by Taiwan’s Taiex, which surged 2.6%. Japan’s Nikkei eked out a 0.1% gain despite worsening business sentiment among manufacturers. Meanwhile, gold prices hit $3,172.80 per ounce as investors sought safety amid inflation and recession concerns. Analysts anticipate President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs could average 15%, with Goldman Sachs raising the probability of a U.S. recession to 35%. U.S. crude oil edged higher to $71.65 per barrel, while the dollar weakened against the yen.
Investment Insight
Volatility in global markets underscores the importance of diversification. Investors should watch for tariff developments, as harsher-than-expected measures could dampen growth and stoke inflation fears. Defensive assets like gold and consumer staples may offer stability, while resilient sectors such as energy and financials could benefit from rising commodity prices and elevated rates. However, cautious positioning remains key as recession risks climb.
Chip Grants at a Crossroads as US Pushes for Bigger Investments
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick is raising the stakes for semiconductor companies seeking federal support under the 2022 Chips Act by urging them to significantly expand their U.S. investments. Lutnick’s efforts mirror Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.’s (TSMC) recent commitment to $165 billion in U.S. projects. While the Chips Act initially allocated $52 billion in subsidies, Lutnick is leveraging the program to secure tens of billions more in private-sector commitments without increasing federal spending. However, delays in subsidy disbursement and uncertainty surrounding future grants are causing unease among manufacturers like Wolfspeed (WOLF) and Micron (MU). Meanwhile, a proposed expansion of the program’s 25% tax credit could offer broader incentives but requires congressional approval.
Investment Insight
As the U.S. semiconductor policy evolves, investors should monitor companies with significant exposure to Chips Act funding, such as TSMC, Intel (INTC), and Texas Instruments (TXN). Delays in grant payments may pose short-term headwinds, but expanded tax credits could incentivize further domestic investment, creating long-term growth opportunities. The geopolitical emphasis on reshoring chip production underscores the sector’s strategic relevance, making leading-edge manufacturers a compelling long-term play amidst potential market volatility.
S&P 500 Suffers Worst Quarter in 3 Years as Tariff Uncertainty and Weak Growth Persist
The S&P 500 closed its first quarter of 2025 down 5.75% in March, marking its worst three-month performance in three years, driven by mounting risks including President Trump’s looming “Liberation Day” tariffs. Tariff fears have compounded existing challenges such as declining consumer spending, weakening economic growth, and inflationary pressures, leaving investors cautious. Big Tech, once a market leader, has seen a stark pullback, with the “Magnificent Seven” posting their worst collective performance in over two years. Analysts at Goldman Sachs now forecast U.S. economic growth at a mere 0.2% annualized rate for Q1, alongside a 35% chance of a recession within the next year. As consumer and CEO confidence plummet, strategists are bracing for continued choppiness in equity markets and a potential bottom later this summer.
Investment Insight
Investors should approach the current market with caution, prioritizing defensive strategies and high-quality assets. With uncertainty surrounding tariffs and economic growth, sectors such as consumer staples, healthcare, and utilities may offer relative stability. Meanwhile, equity valuations, while off their peaks, remain vulnerable to earnings downgrades amid weakening business and consumer sentiment. For long-term positioning, Big Tech and AI-driven companies could regain footing once macroeconomic conditions stabilize, but near-term risks warrant a wait-and-see approach. Patience and diversification remain key as markets navigate a high-risk environment.
European Markets Slide as US Tariff Threats Rattle Investors
European stock markets suffered their first monthly decline of 2025, with the Stoxx 600 falling 3.8% in March, as investors braced for U.S. President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs. Germany’s DAX dropped 2.38%, while France’s CAC 40 slid 4.09%, weighed down by sharp losses in consumer cyclicals, autos, and healthcare. Luxury brands like LVMH and Hermès tumbled 18% and 12%, respectively, while automakers such as BMW and Stellantis fell 12% and 17%. U.S. tariff plans, including a 25% levy on automobiles and potential duties on medical products and semiconductors, raised fears of a broader economic slowdown. Meanwhile, the euro strengthened 4.25% against the dollar in March, supported by optimism over EU fiscal initiatives, while U.S. Treasury yields remained flat amid recession concerns.
Investment Insight
The escalating U.S.-EU trade tensions warrant caution for investors exposed to European export-heavy sectors like luxury goods, autos, and healthcare. While the euro’s rally signals relative strength in the European economy, higher bond yields and looming tariffs could weigh further on equities. Defensive sectors such as utilities and staples may offer stability in the near term, while opportunities in U.S. Treasuries could appeal to risk-averse investors seeking safe-haven assets amid global volatility. Diversification across geographies and sectors remains critical as trade and inflation risks persist.

LG Energy Solution to Acquire Michigan Battery Venture for $2 Billion
South Korea’s LG Energy Solution announced plans to acquire the Michigan EV battery plant assets of its joint venture with General Motors for $2 billion, with the deal expected to close by May 31, pending due diligence. This move follows GM’s December announcement to exit the plant amid uncertainty surrounding EV tax credits and future battery production under the Trump administration. Despite the shift, LG and GM continue to collaborate on battery ventures in Ohio and Tennessee, while Toyota plans to transfer its battery orders to the Michigan facility.
Investment Insight
The acquisition underscores LG Energy Solution’s commitment to expanding its U.S. battery footprint despite policy uncertainty. For investors, this signals continued growth in EV battery demand, particularly as automakers like Toyota adapt their supply chains. However, GM’s reduced EV ambitions highlight risks tied to shifting regulatory frameworks. Investors should monitor how policy developments and tax incentives impact the broader EV supply chain, as well as opportunities in battery technology innovators.
Market price: LG Energy Solution Ltd (KRX: 373220): KRW 328,000
Conclusion
As global markets face heightened uncertainty, investors are navigating a complex landscape shaped by recession risks, tariff fears, and shifting economic conditions. The U.S. “Liberation Day” tariffs remain a pivotal factor, with potential ripple effects across equities, trade, and consumer sentiment. While defensive assets like gold and utilities offer stability, growth-oriented sectors face near-term headwinds. Corporate actions, such as LG Energy Solution’s strategic acquisition, highlight opportunities in resilient industries like EV batteries. Diversification and cautious positioning are essential as markets remain volatile. Staying attuned to policy shifts and macroeconomic developments will be key to identifying long-term investment opportunities.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- April 1st, 2025: S&P Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing PMI
- April 3rd, 2025: Initial Jobless Claims, US Trade Deficit
- April 4th, 2025: US Employment Report, Fed Chair Jerome Powell to Speak
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 31, 2025
Date Issued – 31st March 2025
Preview
Global markets extended their slide as trade tensions escalated, with Asian equities leading declines and safe-haven demand driving gold to a record $3,115 per ounce. Oil prices fluctuated amid uncertainty over potential U.S. sanctions on Russian crude, while China’s major banks announced a $72 billion recapitalization to support lending and economic recovery. TSMC reaffirmed its commitment to Taiwan with a new advanced chip fab, even as it expands globally with a $100 billion U.S. investment. Investors remain defensive, favoring gold, Treasuries, and selective opportunities in Europe and China, as geopolitical and macro uncertainties continue to rattle sentiment.
Global Markets Slide as Trade War Risks Intensify
Global equities extended their selloff for a fourth consecutive day amid escalating concerns over US tariffs and their economic impact. Asian markets led the decline, with Japan’s Nikkei-225 tumbling to a six-month low, while US and European equity futures also pointed downward. Safe-haven assets rallied, with gold hitting a record $3,115.97 per ounce and US Treasury yields falling. Investors are de-risking portfolios ahead of President Trump’s proposed “reciprocal tariffs” set to be unveiled this week, which analysts fear could weigh heavily on global growth. Meanwhile, oil prices fell on speculation about potential secondary tariffs on Russian crude exports. Amid the uncertainty, Goldman Sachs predicts three rate cuts from both the Federal Reserve and the ECB this year, as trade tensions continue to erode economic momentum.
Investment Insight
With heightened volatility and escalating trade tensions, this remains a defensive market. Investors may consider increasing allocations to safe-haven assets like gold and US Treasuries, which are benefiting from risk-off sentiment. Additionally, opportunities in Europe, where fiscal expansion potential exists, and China, which reported expanding factory activity, offer diversification amid US-centric uncertainties. Staying nimble and hedging against downside risk will be key in navigating these turbulent markets.
China’s Big Banks Raise $72 Billion to Support Economic Recovery
China’s four largest state-owned banks announced plans to raise a combined 520 billion yuan ($71.6 billion) through private placements, with the Finance Ministry playing a key role as a major investor. The capital infusion aims to strengthen the banks’ core Tier-1 capital, enabling them to boost lending and support the real economy amid a slowdown. Bank of China, China Construction Bank, Bank of Communications, and Postal Savings Bank of China will each raise between 105 billion and 165 billion yuan, with the Finance Ministry set to become the controlling shareholder of Bank of Communications. Shares of these banks rose following the announcement, signaling investor confidence in Beijing’s efforts to shore up the financial sector. However, profitability pressures persist as slowing growth, a troubled property market, and potential interest rate reductions weigh on margins.
Investment Insight
China’s recapitalization of its major banks highlights Beijing’s commitment to stabilizing the economy, but the initiative underscores broader economic challenges. Investors should monitor how effectively these funds translate into increased lending and economic activity. While Chinese bank stocks may find short-term support from this move, long-term profitability remains uncertain amid structural headwinds. Diversifying exposure to sectors less tied to credit risk, such as technology or consumer staples, may offer a safer path for those looking to invest in China.
Oil Fluctuates as Markets React to Trump’s Russia Tariff Threats
Oil prices swung amid uncertainty over President Trump’s threat of secondary tariffs on Russian crude if President Putin does not agree to a Ukraine ceasefire. Brent crude held steady below $73 a barrel, while WTI hovered near $69. Trump’s mixed signals—expressing both anger at Putin and doubt that penalties will be necessary—added to market volatility. Russia’s role as a top global oil producer means any sanctions could disrupt crude flows, particularly to key buyers like China and India. Meanwhile, broader bearish sentiment persists as OPEC+ prepares to increase production and rising supply weighs on the market.
Investment Insight
Oil markets face heightened geopolitical risk, with potential sanctions on Russian crude adding an unpredictable layer of volatility. Investors should monitor developments closely, as any disruption to Russian oil flows could tighten global supply and boost prices in the near term. However, OPEC+ supply increases and demand concerns may cap gains, making this a market for selective, short-term plays rather than long-term bets. Diversifying energy exposure with a focus on natural gas or renewables could also mitigate risk.

TSMC Reaffirms Commitment to Taiwan with New Advanced Chip Fab
TSMC inaugurated a new fab in Kaohsiung, Taiwan, reaffirming its commitment to the island even as it advances global expansion plans, including a $100 billion investment in the U.S. The facility, set to begin volume production of 2-nanometer chips in the second half of 2025, will create 7,000 tech jobs and strengthen Taiwan’s position as a global semiconductor hub. While concerns linger about the impact of TSMC’s overseas investments on Taiwan’s economy, executives reiterated that the company’s “most important foundations” will stay on the island. Taiwan Premier Cho Jung-tai praised TSMC as a key pillar of the nation’s economy, often referred to as the “sacred mountain protecting the country.”
Investment Insight
TSMC’s dual strategy of domestic expansion and international diversification highlights its effort to balance geopolitical risks and supply chain resilience. Investors should view the company’s U.S. expansion as a move to solidify relationships with key customers like Apple and Nvidia while reducing exposure to Taiwan-specific risks. However, TSMC’s advanced domestic capabilities, such as its 2-nanometer production, ensure it retains technological leadership. The company remains a cornerstone of the global semiconductor industry, making it a strong long-term investment despite near-term geopolitical pressures.
Market price: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd. (TPE: 2330): TWD 910.00
Gold Surges Past $3,100 as Trade Tensions Fuel Haven Demand
Gold surged to a record high, climbing as much as 0.9% to $3,115 per ounce, as escalating trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty bolstered demand for safe-haven assets. The metal has gained 18% year-to-date, supported by central bank buying and strong inflows into bullion-backed ETFs. President Trump’s recent 25% tariff on auto imports and the anticipation of reciprocal tariffs this week have intensified risk-off sentiment, driving gold’s rally. Major banks, including Goldman Sachs, have raised their year-end price forecasts for gold, with Goldman now targeting $3,300 an ounce. Other precious metals, including silver and platinum, also advanced, while the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index edged lower.
Investment Insight
Gold’s sustained rally underscores its value as a hedge against rising geopolitical and macroeconomic risks. With central bank demand remaining robust and interest rate cuts still on the table, the metal’s upward momentum appears durable. Investors seeking safe-haven exposure should consider adding gold to portfolios, either through physical holdings, ETFs, or mining stocks. However, with prices already at record highs, caution is warranted to avoid overexposure in the event of a pullback.
Conclusion
Global markets face heightened volatility as trade tensions, geopolitical risks, and economic uncertainties dominate investor sentiment. Safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries are surging, while oil markets remain unpredictable amid potential sanctions on Russian crude. China’s major banks are boosting capital to support growth, and TSMC is balancing domestic expansion with global diversification. As central banks weigh rate cuts and fiscal policies evolve, investors are urged to stay defensive, focus on diversification, and monitor key developments closely. Maintaining flexibility and hedges will be essential as markets navigate a turbulent landscape shaped by macro and geopolitical challenges.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- April 1st, 2025: S&P Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing PMI
- April 3rd, 2025: Initial Jobless Claims, US Trade Deficit
- April 4th, 2025: US Employment Report, Fed Chair Jerome Powell to Speak
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.