Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 12, 2025
Date Issued – 12th March 2025
Preview
Global markets steadied as President Trump’s remarks downplaying recession fears and signaling economic growth initiatives buoyed sentiment. Asian stocks traded narrowly, with US and European futures rising, aided by optimism over a proposed 30-day Ukraine-Russia truce. However, inflation, Fed policy, and trade tensions, including Trump’s tariffs and EU retaliation, continue to weigh on outlooks.
Meanwhile, China’s retail investors are driving a tech-led stock rally, with equity mutual fund inflows surging to their highest since 2021, though elevated valuations pose risks. Tesla shares, down 52% from December highs, remain under pressure from weak demand and growing investor skepticism, despite a brief rebound following Trump’s purchase of a Model S.
In a surprise move, Musk’s SpaceX and Ambani’s Reliance Jio announced a Starlink deal targeting India’s growing satellite internet market, pending regulatory approval. Oil prices also climbed as the US cut global surplus forecasts, though geopolitical tensions and demand concerns keep markets volatile.
Stock Selloff Eases as Trump Comments Buoy Markets
Global markets steadied following remarks by President Donald Trump that downplayed recession fears and signaled economic growth initiatives. Asian stocks traded in a narrow range, while US and European futures climbed. Relief over a proposed 30-day truce between Ukraine and Russia added to the market’s optimism. However, concerns linger over inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and heightened volatility.
Trump’s tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, coupled with retaliatory measures from the EU, remain a key headwind for global trade, with US equities nearing correction territory. Meanwhile, Cathay Pacific reported stronger-than-expected profits, though trade conflicts cloud its cargo outlook.
Investment Insight
While Trump’s reassurances offered temporary relief, persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions suggest continued market volatility. Investors should maintain a cautious approach, focusing on defensive sectors and monitoring inflation data closely for signs of sustained pressure.
China’s Retail Investors Fuel Stock Market Rally
China’s retail investors are pouring into equity mutual funds, with inflows reaching 56.4 billion yuan ($7.8 billion) in the first two months of 2025—a fivefold increase year-on-year and the highest since 2021. Buoyed by optimism over domestic tech breakthroughs and bullish signals from Beijing’s National People’s Congress, Chinese equities have outperformed global peers, with the STAR50 Index climbing over 9% and Hong Kong’s tech gauge soaring nearly 25%.
However, interest in mixed-allocation and bond-focused funds has waned, signaling a clear shift toward riskier assets amid rising confidence in China’s tech-driven growth.
Investment Insight
China’s tech sector rally underscores the importance of tracking innovation-driven markets. While the gains may lure investors, elevated valuations and geopolitical risks could temper long-term returns. Diversifying exposure across sectors may mitigate volatility.
Tesla’s Freefall Shakes Even Its Most Loyal Fans
Tesla shares have plunged 52% from their December highs, with even its staunchest supporters stepping back amid mounting concerns over weak sales, poor sentiment, and Elon Musk’s growing political distractions. The stock, the S&P 500’s worst performer this year, briefly rebounded 3.8% after President Trump purchased a Tesla Model S in a show of support.
However, Wall Street analysts continue to downgrade price targets, citing deteriorating global demand and overvaluation. Retail investors remain a rare source of support, but doubt is creeping into even the most bullish corners. With no major catalysts in sight, Tesla remains vulnerable to further declines.
Investment Insight
Tesla’s volatility highlights the risks of overreliance on sentiment-driven stocks. While its steep valuation could fuel a sharp recovery, investors should stay cautious and prioritize long-term fundamentals over short-term trading opportunities. Consider diversifying into less volatile sectors.
Market price: Tesla Inc (TSLA): USD 230.58

Musk and Ambani Forge Surprise Starlink Internet Deal in India
In a surprising turn, Elon Musk’s SpaceX and Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance Jio have partnered to bring Starlink satellite internet to India. The agreement allows Jio to stock Starlink equipment in thousands of retail outlets, providing Starlink with a direct distribution network. This deal follows months of disputes between the billionaires over spectrum allocation, with India siding with Musk’s preferred approach.
The collaboration helps Jio expand offerings in underserved areas while giving Starlink a low-cost market entry. The partnership is conditional on regulatory approval, as India’s satellite internet market is projected to grow 36% annually to $1.9 billion by 2030.
Investment Insight
The Starlink-Jio deal highlights the growing potential of India’s satellite internet market. Investors should watch for regulatory developments and the competitive dynamics between telecom incumbents and satellite disruptors. Early movers in this space could see significant long-term gains.
Oil Prices Climb as US Cuts Global Surplus Forecasts
Oil prices rose, with Brent crude nearing $70 a barrel and WTI approaching $67, after the US Energy Information Administration slashed its global oversupply forecasts for 2025 and beyond. The revised outlook, which follows similar moves by the IEA, reflects expectations of reduced flows from Iran and Venezuela.
Despite the gains, market sentiment remains fragile amid ongoing tariff uncertainty, US growth concerns, and rising inventories. Geopolitical tensions also persist, with Yemen’s Houthis resuming attacks on Israeli ships and Ukraine agreeing to a 30-day truce with Russia.
Investment Insight
Crude oil’s rebound highlights supply-side adjustments, but volatility driven by geopolitical risks and demand concerns persists. Investors should remain cautious, focusing on energy equities with strong fundamentals and hedging against further price swings.
Conclusion
Global markets remain in a delicate balance as optimism from geopolitical developments and economic signals is tempered by persistent risks. President Trump’s reassurances provided temporary relief, but inflation, Fed policy, and trade tensions continue to dominate investor concerns.
China’s tech-driven rally highlights opportunities in innovation-focused markets, while Tesla’s struggles underscore the dangers of sentiment-driven investments. The Starlink-Jio partnership signals growth potential in India’s satellite internet sector, while oil’s rebound reflects tightening supply dynamics amid geopolitical uncertainty.
Investors should navigate cautiously, focusing on diversification and sectors with strong fundamentals to weather ongoing volatility and capitalize on emerging opportunities.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- March 12th, 2025: US CPI, Japan PPI
- March 13th, 2025: US PPI, initial jobless claims; Eurozone industrial production
- March 14th, 2025: France CPI, Germany CPI, UK industrial production
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 11, 2025
Date Issued – 11th March 2025
Preview
Global markets showed signs of stabilization as US equity futures rebounded after Monday’s selloff, with Asian equities trimming losses and optimism around Chinese AI growth boosting Hong Kong stocks. China’s record two-year bond sale this week will test market sentiment amid rising yields and tight liquidity. In South Korea, new FX rules aim to attract foreign inflows, though analysts say structural reforms are needed for long-term stability. Meanwhile, Japan’s slower Q4 growth complicates BOJ rate decisions, while the Panama Canal explores an LPG pipeline to meet rising Asian energy demand. Investors should stay cautious, diversify, and watch for selective opportunities.
Asia Stock Selloff Eases, Futures Recover
A global stock selloff moderated during Asian trading hours, with US equity futures, Treasury yields, and cryptocurrencies rebounding from earlier declines. The S&P 500 index futures rose 0.3% after steep losses, while Nasdaq 100 and European futures also advanced. Asian equities fell to a five-week low, but Hong Kong and Chinese stocks trimmed losses amid hopes for government stimulus. Mainland Chinese investors continued buying Hong Kong stocks, buoyed by optimism around AI-driven growth. Meanwhile, US markets suffered sharp losses Monday, with the S&P 500 down 2.7% and megacaps like Tesla plunging 15%. Investors remain cautious, citing geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, and hawkish central bank policies.
Investment Insight: The selloff signals a shift to risk-averse sentiment, but opportunities may exist in oversold Asian markets like Hong Kong and China. Diversification and selective entry into resilient sectors are key as global uncertainty persists.
China Plans Record Two-Year Bond Sale Amid Market Turmoil
China’s debt market faces mounting pressure as the government prepares to auction a record 167 billion yuan ($23 billion) in two-year bonds this Friday. The move comes during a worsening bond selloff, driven by the People’s Bank of China’s (PBOC) reluctance to ease monetary policy, tight liquidity, and optimism in Chinese equities. Yields on two-year bonds have surged 50 basis points this year, hitting their highest since October, raising concerns about weak demand and further losses. The auction will serve as a key market sentiment indicator, as China’s annual new government bond issuance climbs to a record 11.86 trillion yuan amid rising fiscal deficits.
Investment Insight: Rising yields signal heightened risk in China’s fixed-income market. Investors should monitor auction results closely as a barometer of sentiment, while remaining cautious of further bond market volatility. Diversification across asset classes may help mitigate risk.
South Korea’s New FX Rules Highlight Need for Structural Reform
South Korea has introduced measures to boost foreign currency inflows, including raising FX derivatives’ hedging limits, easing “Kimchi” bond regulations, and streamlining tax paperwork for foreign investors. While these changes may provide short-term market stability, analysts warn they won’t address deeper imbalances in Korea’s financial system. The won was Asia’s worst-performing currency in 2024, falling over 12% against the dollar, with foreign investors cutting their stock holdings as the Kospi dropped 9.6%. Experts argue that structural reforms, including stronger industrial and corporate policies, are critical for attracting sustainable foreign investment.
Investment Insight: The new measures offer limited relief for Korea’s markets. Investors should remain cautious about the won and consider broader macroeconomic trends before increasing exposure to Korean assets. Long-term opportunities may depend on meaningful structural reforms.

Japan’s Economy Shows Slower Growth Amid Consumer Weakness
Japan’s economy expanded at a revised 2.2% annualized rate in Q4 2024, down from an earlier estimate of 2.8%, as consumer spending and private demand underperformed. Real GDP rose 0.6% quarter-on-quarter, slightly lower than initial figures, while exports grew 1.0%. The country continues its moderate recovery despite lingering deflation risks, which have been tempered by recent wage increases. Policymakers face challenges as the slower-than-expected growth complicates the Bank of Japan’s potential interest rate hikes. Trade uncertainties, including U.S. tariffs under President Donald Trump, remain a concern for export-reliant Japanese industries, prompting high-level diplomatic talks in Washington.
Investment Insight: Japan’s slower growth, coupled with the BOJ’s cautious stance on rate hikes, signals potential opportunities in government bonds as yields rise. However, export-reliant sectors may face headwinds due to trade tensions. Investors should keep an eye on wage trends and inflation data, which are key to Japan’s policy direction.
Panama Canal Explores LPG Pipeline to Meet Asian Demand
The Panama Canal is considering building a pipeline to transport liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) across its trade passage, with Japan identified as a key market for U.S.-sourced gas. Canal administrator Ricaurte Vasquez revealed plans for infrastructure capable of moving up to one million barrels per day, aiming to diversify operations after droughts disrupted shipping traffic. This development comes amid geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Panama, further complicated by a U.S.-led acquisition of nearby port assets. A decision on the pipeline is expected within 12 months, as the canal allocates $8 billion to infrastructure projects over the next decade.
Investment Insight: The Panama Canal’s potential pipeline underscores growing energy demand in Asia. Investors should monitor developments for opportunities in infrastructure and energy sectors tied to U.S. exports and Asian markets.
Conclusion
Markets are navigating a challenging global landscape, with cautious optimism emerging after recent selloffs. Key developments, such as China’s record bond sale, South Korea’s FX reforms, and Japan’s slower growth, highlight the need for careful monitoring of policy shifts and economic trends. The Panama Canal’s potential pipeline underscores the growing demand for infrastructure investments tied to energy and trade. As uncertainties persist, investors should focus on diversification, resilient sectors like AI and infrastructure, and opportunities in oversold markets. Staying attuned to geopolitical and macroeconomic changes will be crucial in identifying areas of growth and managing risk effectively.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- March 11th, 2025: Japan GDP, household spending; US job openings
- March 12th, 2025: US CPI, Japan PPI
- March 13th, 2025: US PPI, initial jobless claims; Eurozone industrial production
- March 14th, 2025: France CPI, Germany CPI, UK industrial production
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 10, 2025
Date Issued – 10th March 2025
Preview
Asian markets brace for a weak open amid global economic uncertainty, with US equities and Treasury yields under pressure as the Fed may cut rates by May. Foxconn unveiled “FoxBrain,” its first large language model, aiming to enhance manufacturing with AI while boosting Nvidia’s GPU demand. Japan’s 10-year bond yield hit a 15-year high on BOJ rate hike expectations, signaling tighter monetary policy. Meanwhile, China launched a $138 billion high-tech fund to drive AI and emerging industries, alongside measures to boost domestic consumption. Trade tensions escalated as China imposed tariffs on US farm goods, further straining relations with the US.
Asian Equities Poised for Weak Open Amid Economic Concerns
Asian markets are set for a subdued start as risk sentiment faltered globally. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.5%, while Treasury yields declined as investors sought safer assets. The US economy faces growing uncertainty, with tariffs, rising unemployment, and weak Chinese economic data contributing to a cautious outlook. Short-dated Treasuries rallied on expectations the Fed might cut rates by May to counter economic headwinds. Meanwhile, European futures pointed to gains, supported by fiscal policy shifts in Germany.
Investment Insight: Global markets are grappling with heightened uncertainty, favoring defensive assets like short-term Treasuries. Investors may consider diversifying portfolios with safe-haven assets and maintaining a cautious stance on riskier equities.
Foxconn Unveils First Large Language Model, “FoxBrain”
Foxconn has launched its first large language model, “FoxBrain,” which aims to enhance manufacturing and supply chain management. Built using Meta’s Llama 3.1 architecture and trained on 120 Nvidia H100 GPUs in just four weeks, the model is optimized for traditional Chinese and Taiwanese language styles. While slightly behind China’s DeepSeek distillation model, FoxBrain achieves near-world-class performance. Initially designed for internal use, its capabilities include data analysis, decision-making, and code generation. Foxconn plans to collaborate with partners, expand applications, and promote AI across industries. Further details will be revealed at Nvidia’s GTC conference.
Investment Insight: Foxconn’s venture into AI-powered manufacturing could streamline operations and bolster its competitive edge. Nvidia’s integral role in training FoxBrain also highlights the growing demand for high-performance GPUs, reinforcing its position in the AI hardware market.
Japan 10-Year Yield Hits 2008 High Amid BOJ Rate Hike Expectations
Japan’s 10-year government bond yield surged to 1.575%, its highest level since 2008, fueled by the fastest base pay gains in over three decades and expectations of further Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hikes. While the BOJ is likely to hold rates steady at its May meeting, market pricing suggests an 85% chance of a hike by July and certainty by September. Sluggish demand at a recent five-year debt auction reflects growing sentiment that yields will continue climbing. JPMorgan raised its year-end forecast for Japan’s 10-year yield to 1.7%, with some predicting it could reach 2%.
Investment Insight: Rising Japanese yields signal tightening monetary policy, providing opportunities in JGBs but potentially pressuring equity markets. Investors should monitor BOJ decisions closely, as further hikes could reshape the global fixed-income landscape.

China Launches $138 Billion High-Tech Fund to Drive AI and Emerging Industries
China announced a state-backed “venture capital guidance fund” to boost innovation in AI, quantum technology, and hydrogen energy storage. The fund, expected to attract nearly 1 trillion yuan ($138 billion) over 20 years, aims to bolster economic growth and counteract US tech restrictions. DeepSeek’s recent AI breakthrough, achieving cutting-edge performance on less powerful chips, highlights China’s rapid progress despite challenges. Premier Li Qiang also outlined plans to foster emerging industries like 6G and bio-manufacturing while ramping up domestic consumption through infrastructure investment and consumer subsidies.
Investment Insight: China’s heightened focus on tech innovation and domestic consumption signals growth potential in AI, quantum computing, and infrastructure sectors. Investors should watch for opportunities in these industries as China navigates external pressures and regulatory easing for private enterprises.
China’s Retaliatory Tariffs on US Farm Goods Take Effect Amid Trade Tensions
China imposed tariffs of up to 15% on US agricultural goods, including beef, poultry, and grains, while suspending soybean imports from three US entities and halting log purchases. This response follows the Trump administration’s decision to double tariffs on Chinese exports. Beijing’s calibrated measures allow room for negotiations but aim to mitigate domestic impact by sourcing goods elsewhere. These developments come as China targets 5% economic growth despite trade uncertainties, a property crisis, and deflation pressures. Premier Li Qiang has pledged fiscal expansion to counter the challenges.
Investment Insight: Agricultural markets face volatility as China shifts sourcing away from the US. Investors should monitor alternative suppliers, such as Brazil, where agricultural exports may see increased demand.
Conclusion
Global markets are navigating heightened uncertainty, from economic pressures in the US and Japan to escalating trade tensions between China and the US. Foxconn’s AI advancements and China’s ambitious high-tech fund highlight the growing focus on innovation to drive economic growth. Meanwhile, Japan’s rising bond yields and China’s fiscal expansion underline the shifting monetary and trade policies shaping the global landscape. As risks mount, investors may find opportunities in defensive assets, emerging technologies, and alternative markets like Brazil’s agriculture sector. Staying attuned to policy shifts and geopolitical developments will be key to navigating the evolving investment climate.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
March 10th, 2025: Germany industrial production
March 11th, 2025: Japan GDP, household spending; US job openings
March 12th, 2025: US CPI, Japan PPI
March 13th, 2025: US PPI, initial jobless claims; Eurozone industrial production
March 14th, 2025: France CPI, Germany CPI, UK industrial production
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 7, 2025
Date Issued – 7th March 2025
Preview
Global markets are on edge as geopolitical and policy uncertainties weigh heavily. Asian and European stocks mirrored US declines, while Bitcoin slid 5.7% following details of a new US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve ahead of the White House crypto summit. China’s energy imports fell amid oversupply and slowing demand, and its metals imports also weakened, reflecting lower industrial activity. Oil is set for its steepest weekly drop since October due to tariff uncertainty and rising OPEC+ output. Meanwhile, antimony prices surged nearly 300% as defense demand soars, exposing a critical supply gap. Investors face heightened volatility across sectors and should adopt a cautious, diversified approach while monitoring regulatory developments and macroeconomic signals.
Asian and European Stocks Follow US Declines
Asian stocks dropped sharply, mirroring declines in US markets, as geopolitical uncertainty and shifting US tariff policies under President Trump roiled investor confidence. Japan’s Nikkei-225 fell over 2%, while European futures retreated and the S&P 500 struggled to stabilize. The dollar index extended its losing streak to a fifth session, and Bitcoin dropped 5.7% after underwhelming details of a US strategic reserve plan. Despite Trump delaying tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods under NAFTA, markets remained jittery amid unclear policy directions.
In the US, nonfarm payroll data and comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell are awaited for clues on the economy’s trajectory. Meanwhile, Treasury yields edged higher, and oil is set for its steepest weekly decline since October, while gold rose as a safe haven.
Investment Insight: Heightened volatility driven by geopolitical and policy uncertainties suggests a cautious approach. Diversify into defensive sectors like utilities or gold while monitoring labor market data and central bank signals for interest rate expectations.
China’s Energy Imports Decline Amid Supply Glut and Weak Demand
China’s energy imports fell sharply in early 2025, with crude oil imports dropping 5% year-over-year and natural gas imports down 7.7%. The decline follows last year’s record shipments of coal and gas, which left an oversupply in the market. A mild winter, faltering industrial demand, and a slowing economy further dampened energy consumption. Liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports hit a five-year low, as traders redirected cargoes to higher-priced European markets. Meanwhile, coal imports rose modestly by 2.1% but remain below peak levels due to oversupply.
Metals imports also weakened, with copper falling 7.2% and iron ore down 8.4%, reflecting lower industrial demand and disruptions in Australian supply. Elevated port inventories and China’s plans to cut steel output are expected to further suppress import levels.
Investment Insight: China’s slowing energy and metals demand signals potential headwinds for commodity markets. Investors should monitor China’s industrial activity closely and consider exposure to markets benefiting from higher European LNG prices or alternative energy sources.
Antimony Shortage Deepens as Defense Demand Soars
A global shortage of antimony, a key metal in munitions, threatens to escalate as the US and Europe replenish depleted stockpiles used in Ukraine. Prices have surged nearly 300% in the past year, driven by China’s export restrictions and heightened demand from defense industries. Antimony, essential for bullet cores, explosives, and flame retardants, faces a production gap of about 40,000 tons annually.
China and Russia dominate 87% of global supply, but new Western sources are emerging. Australia’s Larvotto Resources plans to open a major antimony mine next year, potentially supplying 7% of global demand. Meanwhile, the US Defense Department has backed a domestic mine project in Idaho to reduce reliance on foreign sources.
Investment Insight: Rising antimony prices and geopolitical tensions present opportunities in defense-related supply chains and Western mining ventures. Investors should watch for projects aimed at reducing dependence on Chinese and Russian materials.

Trump Establishes Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Ahead of Crypto Summit
President Donald Trump signed an executive order to create a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, making the US one of the first nations to stockpile Bitcoin as a strategic asset. The reserve will include Bitcoin confiscated through criminal and civil forfeiture, currently estimated at 200,000 BTC, worth roughly $17.5 billion. A new US Digital Asset Stockpile will also manage other cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and Cardano.
The move comes ahead of the first-ever White House crypto summit, marking a stark departure from the Biden administration’s tougher stance on crypto regulation. Critics have raised concerns about the volatility of cryptocurrencies and the potential conflict of interest for policymakers, while supporters of the initiative argue it positions the US as a leader in digital asset innovation.
Investment Insight: Trump’s pro-crypto policies could signal long-term support for digital assets. Investors should monitor regulatory developments, especially regarding Bitcoin and Ethereum, while remaining cautious about market volatility tied to macroeconomic uncertainties and policy shifts.
Oil Prices Face Biggest Weekly Drop Since October Amid Tariff Uncertainty and Rising Supply
Oil prices are set for their steepest weekly decline since October, with Brent down 4.9% and WTI off 4.8%. Fluctuating US trade policies and economic uncertainty are dampening demand forecasts, while OPEC+ and non-OPEC producers add supply. Brent crude edged up 0.24% to $69.63 per barrel on Friday, while WTI rose 0.18% to $66.48, but both benchmarks remain near four-month lows.
US President Donald Trump’s suspension of tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods until April 2, excluding steel and aluminum, has done little to ease market jitters. Analysts warn of further price drops amid oversupply risks, with OPEC+ adding 138,000 barrels per day in April. Meanwhile, US actions to curb Iranian oil exports could provide limited support to prices but may not offset broader headwinds.
Investment Insight: Oil markets face pressure from oversupply and geopolitical uncertainty. Investors should prepare for increased volatility and consider defensive energy stocks or explore opportunities in natural gas and renewable energy amid shifting market dynamics.
Conclusion
Markets are grappling with heightened uncertainty as geopolitical tensions, shifting US policies, and slowing global demand weigh on sentiment. From declining energy and metals imports in China to oil’s steep weekly drop and Bitcoin’s volatility following the creation of a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, investors face a complex landscape. With defense-driven shortages like antimony highlighting supply-chain vulnerabilities and the crypto summit signaling potential regulatory shifts, the focus remains on navigating risk. Diversification into defensive assets, close monitoring of policy decisions, and attention to macroeconomic data will be crucial as markets seek clarity and stability in the weeks ahead.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
March 7th, 2025: Eurozone GDP; US nonfarm payrolls, consumer credit
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 6, 2025
Date Issued – 6th March 2025
Preview
Global markets are on edge as bond yields surge, with Japan’s 10-year yields reaching 1.5%, the highest since 2009, and German bunds seeing their steepest rise since 1990. Meanwhile, Asian equities gained, driven by optimism over Chinese economic support and delayed US auto tariffs, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng China Enterprises Index jumping 3.3%. In corporate news, Rio Tinto announced a $1.8 billion Pilbara iron ore expansion, Eutelsat shares soared over 500% amid Starlink concerns in Ukraine, and Alibaba’s stock surged 7.6% after unveiling a cutting-edge AI model. US tech stocks struggled, while oil rebounded and gold held steady near record highs. Markets remain highly sensitive to inflation, fiscal spending, and geopolitical developments.
Global Bond Selloff and Asian Market Gains
A global bond selloff intensified Thursday, with Japanese 10-year yields reaching 1.5%, their highest since 2009, as inflation pressures and borrowing costs rise. German bunds saw their sharpest yield surge since 1990, driven by concerns over expanded government spending. The euro rallied ahead of the ECB’s policy meeting, where a rate cut is widely expected. Meanwhile, Asian equities climbed, spurred by optimism over potential Chinese economic support and a delay in US auto tariffs on Mexico and Canada. Japan, South Korea, and Hong Kong indexes posted gains, with the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index jumping 3.3%.
US tech stocks struggled, with Marvell Technology and Broadcom slipping on AI-related revenue concerns. Oil ticked up from six-month lows, and gold held steady near record highs. Markets remain sensitive to geopolitical developments, growth forecasts, and inflationary pressures.
Investment Insight:
The bond selloff signals rising risks in fixed-income markets, with yields drawing upward pressure from inflation and fiscal spending. Investors may consider diversifying into equities or commodities, particularly in regions like Asia where growth momentum appears stronger.
America’s Shift from Europe Sparks Economic Opportunities
With the US distancing itself from Europe militarily and economically, the EU faces urgent pressure to bolster its defense capabilities independently. This shift, coupled with rising military spending, could fuel economic growth if Europe prioritizes domestic innovation and production of advanced military technologies. Increased spending on locally made armaments could boost GDP, create jobs, and generate technological spillovers, much like past defense-driven innovations such as GPS and the internet. However, Europe’s fragmented defense industry and reliance on imports remain hurdles, with experts estimating it could take a decade to achieve self-sufficiency.
Investment Insight:
Rising defense budgets in Europe may unlock opportunities in local defense and dual-use tech sectors. Investors could benefit by focusing on companies poised to lead innovation or consolidate fragmented industries to capitalize on this structural shift.
Rio Tinto Commits $1.8 Billion to Pilbara Iron Ore Expansion
Rio Tinto announced a $1.8 billion investment to develop the Brockman Syncline 1 iron ore project in Western Australia’s Pilbara region. With approvals secured, the project is set to begin production by 2027, a year ahead of schedule. The expansion extends the life of the Brockman hub, which produced 43 million tons of iron ore in 2024, and reinforces Rio Tinto’s focus on Pilbara’s profitability amid its broader shift toward copper for renewable energy needs.
Investment Insight:
Rio Tinto’s Pilbara investment highlights the enduring value of iron ore in its portfolio. Investors should watch for opportunities in companies tied to long-term iron ore demand, while monitoring Rio Tinto’s pivot to copper to capitalize on the green energy transition.
Market price: Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO): AUD 114.92
Eutelsat Stock Soars Amid Starlink Concerns in Ukraine
French satellite firm Eutelsat’s shares surged over 500% this week, fueled by fears that Ukraine’s access to Starlink, critical for military communications, could be disrupted as US aid to Kyiv falters. Eutelsat, which merged with Starlink competitor OneWeb in 2023, now offers low-Earth orbit satellite services and is in talks with the EU to address Ukraine’s internet needs. Despite its rapid stock gains, Eutelsat’s satellite capacity remains a fraction of Starlink’s. Meanwhile, Europe is ramping up defense spending, with leaders proposing an $840 billion collective budget.
Investment Insight:
Eutelsat’s stock boost highlights investor optimism around European alternatives to US technology. Watch for opportunities in European defense and satellite firms as the region seeks greater autonomy in critical infrastructure.
Market price: Eutelsat Group (ETL.PA): EUR 7.84

Alibaba Shares Soar 7% on New AI Model Launch
Alibaba’s stock surged 7.6% after introducing its QwQ-32B AI model, which rivals DeepSeek’s performance while requiring just 5% of the data. This open-source breakthrough reinforced confidence in the tech giant, contributing to a 5% rally in Chinese tech stocks. Alibaba’s AI advancements align with Beijing’s push for tech innovation, further buoyed by its $52 billion investment in AI infrastructure over the next three years. The company’s growing AI expertise and stabilizing business after regulatory challenges signal a strong comeback in 2025.
Investment Insight:
Alibaba’s AI innovation and government support position it as a key player in China’s tech resurgence. Investors may consider opportunities in Chinese AI-related stocks as the sector gains momentum.
Market price: Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (HKG: 9988): HKD 139.70
Conclusion
Markets are navigating a mix of rising bond yields, geopolitical uncertainty, and rapid innovation. While fixed-income markets face pressure from inflation and fiscal spending, opportunities are emerging in equities, particularly in Asia, where growth momentum is stronger. Defense spending in Europe, Alibaba’s AI breakthroughs, and Rio Tinto’s investments highlight strategic shifts across industries. Meanwhile, Eutelsat’s surge underscores investor appetite for alternatives in critical infrastructure. As markets remain sensitive to inflation, growth forecasts, and geopolitical risks, diversification into equities, AI, and commodities may offer resilience in an increasingly dynamic global landscape.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
March 7th, 2025: Eurozone GDP; US nonfarm payrolls, consumer credit
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 5, 2025
Date Issued – 5th March 2025
Preview
Markets rallied as U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at tariff rollbacks, boosting global equities, while Hong Kong stocks surged on China’s 5% growth target and Germany’s significant infrastructure spending lifted the euro. President Trump announced plans to revive U.S. shipbuilding and hailed a $22.8 billion BlackRock-led deal to acquire key Panama Canal ports, reducing Chinese influence in strategic infrastructure. Meanwhile, China plans to cut steel output to address oversupply and aid carbon goals, pressuring iron ore prices, while gold dipped slightly from near-record highs as trade tensions spurred haven demand. Investors face volatile markets driven by geopolitics and shifting trade policies.
Markets Rally on Tariff Rollback Hopes
Global markets rebounded as U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at potential tariff rollbacks, fueling gains in U.S. and European equity futures. Hong Kong stocks surged after China reaffirmed its 5% growth target for 2025 and signaled further economic stimulus. Meanwhile, Germany’s historic decision to unlock significant defense and infrastructure spending lifted the euro to a three-month high but triggered a global bond selloff. Markets remain volatile as President Trump defended tariffs, calling for adjustments to trade policies, while traders anticipate clarity on Mexican and Canadian tariff relief.
Investment Insight: Markets are pricing in optimism around trade deals, but swings highlight the fragility of sentiment. Cautious positioning in equities and hedging against currency moves may be prudent amidst ongoing geopolitical and tariff uncertainties.
Trump Pushes for U.S. Shipbuilding Revival
President Donald Trump announced plans to revive U.S. shipbuilding for commercial and military vessels in an effort to counter China’s dominance in the industry. Speaking on Capitol Hill, Trump proposed creating a White House shipbuilding office and offering tax incentives to rebuild the sector, which has been overshadowed by China’s production of over half of the world’s merchant vessels. The administration is also preparing to impose fees on Chinese-built ships and cranes entering the U.S. to boost domestic competitiveness. Additionally, Trump revealed plans to “reclaim” the Panama Canal, as a BlackRock-led consortium acquires key ports near the waterway from a Hong Kong conglomerate.
Investment Insight: While efforts to revitalize U.S. shipbuilding could create opportunities in defense and infrastructure sectors, high costs and global competition present significant challenges. Investors should monitor potential shifts in trade and industrial policies.
China to Cut Steel Output to Address Glut and Boost Profits
China is set to mandate steel production cuts to tackle oversupply and restore profitability in its struggling steel sector, as announced at the National People’s Congress. Though no specific targets were disclosed, analysts speculate output could be reduced by as much as 50 million tons annually. This marks the first official proposal for mandatory cuts by the National Development and Reform Commission, signaling a new wave of supply-side reforms nearly a decade after similar measures under President Xi Jinping. The move comes as steel exports hit a nine-year high of 110 million tons in 2024, prompting global backlash and increased tariff scrutiny, particularly from the U.S. Lower production is also expected to aid China’s carbon reduction goals. The announcement weighed on iron ore prices, with futures falling 1.6% in Singapore, while steel prices in Shanghai also declined.
Investment Insight: Steel production cuts could alleviate oversupply and stabilize prices, but weaker-than-expected infrastructure spending signals limited growth for industrial metals. Investors in commodities should prepare for short-term price volatility.

Gold Slips From Near Record High Amid Trade War Tensions
Gold prices dipped 0.2%, trading near $2,912 an ounce, after recent gains driven by escalating trade tensions. President Donald Trump’s tariff hikes on China, Canada, and Mexico have spurred haven demand, pushing gold up over 40% since late 2023. While U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at possible tariff relief for Canada and Mexico, retaliation from Canada and China has further fueled concerns of inflation and slower global growth, bolstering gold’s appeal as a store of value. Spot gold remains just $40 shy of its all-time high, with bond traders increasingly bullish as Treasury positions hit a 15-year peak amid recession fears. Other precious metals, including silver and platinum, held steady, while palladium advanced slightly.
Investment Insight: Gold’s resilience underscores its value as a hedge against economic uncertainty. Investors may consider maintaining exposure to precious metals, but monitor trade developments closely for potential price swings.
Trump Hails BlackRock-Led Deal to ‘Reclaim’ Panama Canal Ports
President Donald Trump praised a BlackRock-led consortium’s $22.8 billion acquisition of CK Hutchison’s global ports business, including a 90% stake in Panama Ports Company. The move grants U.S. firms control over key Panama Canal ports, long operated by the Hong Kong conglomerate, amid efforts to reduce Chinese influence in strategic infrastructure. CK Hutchison’s stock surged nearly 25% following the announcement, marking its highest level since 2023. The sale, which excludes CK Hutchison’s China-based ports, involves 43 ports across 23 countries and positions the U.S. consortium as a major player in global shipping. Analysts view the deal as a strategic shift for CK Hutchison, with infrastructure now becoming its largest earnings contributor. The $19 billion proceeds from the sale could significantly reduce the conglomerate’s debt.
Investment Insight: The deal underscores the growing intersection of geopolitics and infrastructure investments. Investors should monitor infrastructure and logistics sectors as strategic assets like ports become focal points in U.S.-China tensions.
Conclusion
Global markets remain highly reactive to geopolitical and trade developments, with optimism around potential tariff rollbacks fueling gains, while concerns over inflation and slowing growth drive demand for safe havens like gold. China’s steel production cuts and efforts to stabilize its economy highlight ongoing challenges in industrial sectors, while Trump’s push to revive U.S. shipbuilding and the Panama Canal ports deal underline the intersection of global trade and strategic infrastructure. Investors should stay cautious, balancing exposure to equities, commodities, and safe-haven assets as market volatility persists amid shifting economic and political landscapes.
Upcoming Dates to Watch:
- March 5th, 2025: Australia GDP, China’s National People’s Congress; Eurozone HCOB services PMI, PPI
- March 7th, 2025: Eurozone GDP; US nonfarm payrolls, consumer credit
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 4, 2025
Date Issued – 4th March 2025
Preview
Global markets face turbulence as U.S. tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China trigger volatility in equities, oil, and currencies, with China retaliating on U.S. agricultural imports. Oil prices fell further as OPEC+ plans to boost output, while TSMC announced a $100 billion investment in U.S. chipmaking, enhancing its AI supply chain. In the UK, shop prices rose at their fastest pace in a year, driven by food inflation and rising retailer costs, prompting warnings of further price hikes. Meanwhile, Seven & i shares dropped 7.8% amid speculation it may reject a $47 billion buyout offer from Couche-Tard, highlighting Japan’s shifting stance on foreign capital.
Global Markets Stagger as Tariffs and Trade Uncertainty Take Center Stage
Global markets reeled as U.S. tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China took effect, triggering significant volatility across equities, commodities, and currencies. The S&P 500 fell 1.8%, while oil slumped to a three-month low amid signs of slowing U.S. growth. China retaliated with tariffs of up to 15% on U.S. agricultural imports like soy, pork, and beef, while its equities showed resilience, signaling room for negotiation. Emerging-market currencies and the Canadian and Mexican pesos slipped as geopolitical tensions escalated. Meanwhile, Beijing’s upcoming National People’s Congress is expected to unveil economic stimulus measures to combat deflation and bolster growth. Cryptocurrencies remained under pressure, with Bitcoin extending losses, and OPEC+ stuck to plans to revive oil production despite price declines.
Investment Insight
Heightened global trade tensions and slowing U.S. growth signal caution for equities in the short term. Look to defensive assets like gold or explore opportunities in resilient Asian markets such as China and Japan, which may benefit from forthcoming stimulus measures.
Oil Slumps as Tariffs Bite and OPEC+ Eyes Output Hike
Oil prices continued their slide, with Brent nearing $71 a barrel and WTI hovering around $68, as the Trump administration’s tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China took effect. Beijing retaliated with levies on U.S. agricultural products, intensifying trade war fears. Meanwhile, OPEC+ announced plans to increase oil production in April after months of delays, adding to concerns of a supply surplus. Analysts warn that the combination of trade tensions and higher output could further weaken global demand for crude.
Investment Insight
Investors should brace for continued oil price volatility as trade tensions and oversupply fears weigh on the market. Consider energy sector exposure selectively, focusing on companies with strong balance sheets and resilience in low-price environments.
TSMC Commits $100 Billion to US Chipmaking in Boost for Trump’s Domestic Manufacturing Push
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), the world’s leading AI chip producer, announced an additional $100 billion investment in U.S. plants, further expanding its domestic presence to support President Donald Trump’s goal of bolstering American manufacturing. The new spending, which builds on $65 billion in prior commitments, will establish multiple advanced chip facilities, creating thousands of high-tech jobs. The announcement comes as TSMC aims to anchor a resilient AI supply chain in the U.S., with key partners like Nvidia and Apple relying on its output. While critics question the scale of the investment, analysts suggest political pressure, rather than tariffs, drove TSMC’s decision.
Investment Insight
TSMC’s U.S. expansion underscores the strategic importance of semiconductors and AI technology. Investors may focus on companies benefiting from a strengthened U.S. chip supply chain, including Nvidia and AMD, while monitoring broader geopolitical implications for the sector.
Market price: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TPE:2330): TWD 1,000.00
Shop Prices Surge as Food Costs and Retailer Pressures Mount
Shop prices in the UK rose 0.4% between January and February, the sharpest monthly increase in a year, driven by price hikes for staples like butter, cheese, eggs, and bread. Food prices climbed 2.1% year-on-year, and the British Retail Consortium (BRC) warns they could hit 4% later this year. Rising global coffee costs, a £7 billion hike in retailer costs from the autumn Budget, and a new packaging levy are expected to fuel further inflation. Major retailers like Tesco and M&S cautioned that these pressures may lead to store closures and job cuts, while economists question whether the government can mitigate the impact amidst limited fiscal flexibility.
Investment Insight
Higher food inflation and rising retailer costs could squeeze margins for UK supermarkets and high-street chains. Investors might consider defensive consumer staples or discount retailers better positioned to weather inflationary pressures.

Seven & i Shares Drop Amid Buyout Rejection Speculation
Shares of Seven & i Holdings, operator of 7-Eleven, fell as much as 12% after reports suggested the company might reject a $47 billion takeover bid from Canada’s Alimentation Couche-Tard. While Seven & i denied the report, stating discussions are ongoing, the stock ended the day down 7.8%. The rejection is rumored to stem from antitrust concerns in the U.S., adding to investor unease after a failed buyout attempt by the founding Ito family last week. The saga highlights Japan’s evolving openness to foreign capital amid governance reforms and shareholder pressure for greater value creation.
Investment Insight
The uncertainty surrounding Seven & i’s strategic direction could weigh on its stock in the near term. Investors may want to monitor developments in governance reforms and shareholder decisions, as these may unlock potential long-term value.
Conclusion
Global markets are grappling with heightened uncertainty as trade tensions, inflationary pressures, and shifting corporate strategies dominate the headlines. From U.S. tariffs impacting equities and oil prices to TSMC’s massive investment in American manufacturing, the interplay between geopolitics and economic priorities is reshaping industries. Rising UK shop prices signal persistent inflation risks, while Seven & i’s buyout saga underscores the challenges of balancing shareholder value with governance reforms. As markets remain volatile, investors should stay alert to opportunities in sectors showing resilience, such as semiconductors, defensive stocks, and energy, while keeping an eye on evolving global trade dynamics.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- March 5th, 2025: Australia GDP, China’s National People’s Congress; Eurozone HCOB services PMI, PPI
- March 7th, 2025: Eurozone GDP; US nonfarm payrolls, consumer credit
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 3, 2025
Date Issued – 3rd March 2025
Preview
The euro and Eastern European currencies climbed as Europe rallied behind Ukraine, boosting defense stocks while pressuring bond markets. Meanwhile, China may reintroduce coal import controls to address oversupply, highlighting risks for mining profitability amid record production. Chinese factories saw a surge in orders ahead of U.S. tariff hikes, but growth risks persist as Beijing’s National People’s Congress aims to counter economic headwinds. President Trump proposed a U.S. crypto reserve, sparking a crypto rally, though funding and policy uncertainties loom. Gold prices edged higher on a weaker dollar and geopolitical tensions, reinforcing its safe-haven appeal as markets await key U.S. economic data later this week.
Euro and Stocks Climb as Europe Rallies Behind Ukraine
The euro strengthened by 0.4% against the dollar, buoyed by European efforts to support Ukraine amidst U.S. policy uncertainty. Eastern European currencies like the Polish zloty and Romanian leu also gained, while European equities tracked Asian stocks higher. Leaders in Europe are forming a “coalition of the willing” to bolster Ukraine, with potential increases in defense spending benefiting firms like Rheinmetall AG and BAE Systems Plc. Meanwhile, markets eye geopolitical developments, China’s National People’s Congress, and ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions.
Investment Insight: Heightened European defense spending signals growth opportunities in the sector, but rising debt issuance could pressure bond markets. Diversify exposure to capture gains in defense equities while hedging against potential debt-related risks.
China Considers Coal Import Controls Amid Oversupply Concerns
China may reintroduce coal import controls to address oversupply, as demand falls short of expectations, causing a sharp decline in prices. Industry groups have urged miners to limit output and importers to curb lower-quality shipments. While a complete ban is unlikely due to WTO obligations, authorities could discourage imports through delays or inspections, similar to measures taken in prior years. Thermal coal prices have hit their lowest level since 2021, testing the government-regulated floor. Beijing’s focus on energy security has driven record coal production at the expense of decarbonization progress.
Investment Insight: Falling coal prices and potential import restrictions could pressure mining profitability. Investors should monitor policy developments and consider reallocating to renewable energy sectors, which stand to benefit from China’s eventual shift back to decarbonization goals.
Chinese Factories See Surge in Orders Ahead of U.S. Tariff Hike
Chinese manufacturers reported stronger-than-expected orders in February as importers rushed to beat a U.S. tariff increase from 10% to 20%, effective Tuesday. The official purchasing managers index (PMI) rose to 50.2, signaling slight expansion, while new orders climbed to 51.1. Analysts attribute the uptick to government spending and importers “front-running” tariffs. However, growth risks remain as the higher tariffs take effect. The annual National People’s Congress is expected to outline policies to counter slowing growth, projected to fall below 5% this year.
Investment Insight: Short-term export boosts may mask broader challenges for China’s manufacturing sector as tariffs and economic headwinds intensify. Consider reducing exposure to trade-sensitive industries while exploring opportunities in domestic consumption and tech innovation tied to Beijing’s policy priorities.
Trump Proposes Crypto Reserve, Details Unclear
President Donald Trump announced plans for a U.S. crypto reserve including Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, Solana, and Cardano, sparking a crypto rally. Bitcoin rose 10%, while Ether gained 13% before retracing slightly. Uncertainty surrounds funding for the reserve, with speculation pointing to seized crypto assets. Meanwhile, looming 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, and an additional 10% on China, add to market volatility. Analysts warn of economic risks as U.S. GDP forecasts turn negative, and all eyes are on Friday’s jobs report and Powell’s speech for clarity on monetary policy.
Investment Insight: Crypto markets may see volatility from Trump’s announcement, but funding challenges and policy uncertainty could limit upside. Consider short-term opportunities in major cryptocurrencies while remaining cautious of broader economic risks tied to tariffs and weak U.S. data.

Gold Gains on Weaker Dollar, Geopolitical Risks
Gold prices rose 0.3% to $2,865.69 per ounce on Monday as the U.S. dollar weakened amid uncertainty over trade tariffs and geopolitical instability following stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks. The U.S. Dollar Index dipped 0.4%, enhancing gold’s safe-haven appeal. Other precious metals also advanced, with Platinum up 1.2% and Silver gaining 0.7%. Meanwhile, U.S. economic data pointed to slowing growth and sticky inflation, reinforcing bets for potential Fed rate cuts later this year.
Investment Insight: Continued geopolitical tension and economic uncertainty make gold attractive as a hedge. Investors may consider increasing exposure to bullion while monitoring Fed policy signals and geopolitical developments.
Conclusion
Markets are navigating a complex landscape of geopolitical tensions, trade policy uncertainty, and economic headwinds. Europe’s defense spending push highlights investment opportunities but raises debt concerns, while China’s coal oversupply and tariff-driven factory activity signal mixed economic trends. President Trump’s crypto reserve proposal has energized digital assets but leaves questions unanswered, adding to market volatility. Meanwhile, gold’s safe-haven appeal strengthens as investors weigh weak U.S. growth data and inflation risks. With key events like China’s National People’s Congress, U.S. tariff decisions, and Friday’s jobs report ahead, markets face a pivotal week that could shape near-term sentiment and investment strategies.
Upcoming Dates to Watch:
- March 3rd, 2025: Eurozone CPI
- March 5th, 2025: Australia GDP, China’s National People’s Congress; Eurozone HCOB services PMI, PPI
- March 7th, 2025: Eurozone GDP; US nonfarm payrolls, consumer credit
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 28, 2025
Date Issued – 28th February 2025
Preview
Markets Reeling as Trump’s New Tariffs Spark Fears and Global Equities Tumble
Markets are reeling as President Trump’s new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China spark fears of trade tensions, sending global equities tumbling and safe-haven assets rallying. Meanwhile, Tencent unveiled its Hunyuan Turbo S AI model to rival DeepSeek, highlighting China’s intensifying AI race, though profitability remains a concern.
In crypto, Bitcoin has plunged 25% from its January peak amid risk-off sentiment, with ETFs seeing record outflows. Broadcom fell 7% alongside a broader chip selloff, with analysts pointing to key support and resistance levels as uncertainty clouds tech stocks. Lastly, China tightened its grip on critical metals by investing record sums in overseas mining, deepening global concerns over supply chain dependencies.
Market Turmoil as Trump’s New Tariffs Hit Global Stocks
Equities tumbled worldwide after President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, sparking fears of heightened trade tensions. Asian markets posted their sharpest drop in a month, while European and US futures signaled further losses. The S&P 500 slid 1.6%, erasing its gains for the year, and the Nasdaq 100 fell 2.8%, with Nvidia plunging 8.5%. Treasury yields dropped to December lows as havens rallied, while the dollar strengthened.
Economists warned the tariffs could dampen growth and worsen inflation, with potential recessions in Mexico and Canada. Meanwhile, China vowed retaliation, deepening uncertainty.
Investment Insight:
Heightened trade tensions are driving investors toward safe-haven assets like Treasuries and away from riskier equities, especially tech stocks. Near-term caution is advised, though China’s potential stimulus measures could restore sentiment in its markets. Diversification and hedging strategies remain key.
Tencent Joins AI Arms Race With Hunyuan Turbo S
Tencent Holdings unveiled its Hunyuan Turbo S AI model, claiming it surpasses DeepSeek, the Chinese startup that has revolutionized the AI landscape. The Turbo S focuses on instant responsiveness, contrasting with DeepSeek’s deep reasoning approach, and is now available via Tencent Cloud. This move follows a surge of AI rollouts from major players like Alibaba, Baidu, and ByteDance, as Chinese tech giants intensify efforts to close the gap with US counterparts.
Despite Tencent’s advancements, analysts suggest its AI ventures will remain unprofitable in the near term.
Investment Insight:
The AI race in China is accelerating, but profitability remains elusive for many players. Investors should monitor Tencent’s AI cloud strategy and its ability to convert innovation into meaningful revenue, while considering broader opportunities in AI infrastructure and cloud services.
Market price: Tencent Holdings Ltd. (HKG: 0700): HKD 478.80
Bitcoin Drops 25% From Peak as Crypto Selloff Deepens
Bitcoin plunged 5.5% in Asian trading, extending losses to 25% from its all-time high of $109,241 in January. Broader cryptocurrencies like Ether, Solana, and XRP also fell sharply amid a global risk-off sentiment fueled by President Trump’s tariff announcements. Once buoyed by hopes of Trump’s pro-crypto stance, Bitcoin’s rally has reversed as economic uncertainty and bearish market sentiment weigh heavily on digital assets.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $1 billion in outflows this week, underscoring waning investor confidence.
Investment Insight:
The crypto market’s volatility highlights the importance of cautious positioning. With Bitcoin near $79,000, technical support at $70,000 may offer a potential floor, but broader market sentiment remains a decisive factor. Diversification into less volatile assets could help mitigate near-term risks.
Broadcom Falls 7% Amid Chip Selloff: Key Levels to Watch
Broadcom (AVGO) shares slid 7% Thursday, hitting a one-month low as chip stocks tumbled following Nvidia’s earnings and President Trump’s new tariff announcements. The stock has dropped 15% year-to-date but remains up over 50% in the past year, fueled by AI chip demand.
Technical analysis highlights key support levels at $185, $160, and $140, while resistance at $230 and a speculative upside target of $295 could come into play if the longer-term uptrend resumes.
Investment Insight:
Chip stocks are under pressure amid macroeconomic uncertainty and AI-related spending concerns. Investors should closely monitor Broadcom’s technical levels and broader market sentiment before taking positions. A potential rebound could offer opportunities, but downside risks persist.
Market price: Broadcom Inc (AVGO): USD 197.80

China Tightens Grip on Metals Supply Chain With Record Mining Push Abroad
China committed over $21 billion to overseas mining projects last year under Xi Jinping’s Belt and Road Initiative — the largest annual investment since the program began in 2013, according to a new study. This strategic expansion bolsters Beijing’s dominance in critical metals like lithium, cobalt, and rare earths, which are essential for EV batteries, electronics, and defense industries. Amid rising geopolitical tensions, China has imposed export restrictions on key minerals, countering efforts by the US, EU, and Japan to diversify supply chains.
Investment Insight
China’s control over critical minerals reinforces its influence on global commodity markets. Investors should monitor developments in alternative supply chains, such as US partnerships with Canada and Australia, while assessing opportunities in companies tied to rare earths and battery metals outside China.
Conclusion
Global markets face mounting pressure as trade tensions, tech selloffs, and crypto volatility dominate headlines. President Trump’s tariffs have rattled equities, while safe-haven assets see renewed interest. In tech, Tencent’s AI push reflects China’s ambition to lead in innovation, though challenges to profitability remain. Bitcoin’s sharp decline underscores the fragility of the crypto market amid broader economic uncertainty. Meanwhile, China’s aggressive overseas mining investments cement its dominance in critical metals, raising concerns over global supply chains. As risks escalate across sectors, investors should stay vigilant, focusing on diversification and monitoring key market trends for opportunities and challenges ahead.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 28th, 2025: US PCE inflation, Germany CPI, Tokyo CPI
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 27, 2025
Date Issued – 27th February 2025
Preview
Markets are Grappling with Uncertainty as Nvidia’s Strong Earnings Were Overshadowed by Geopolitical Risks
Markets are facing uncertainty as Nvidia’s strong earnings were overshadowed by geopolitical risks, including President Trump’s sweeping tariff plans on the EU, Mexico, and Canada. Asian equities dropped, with European futures down 0.9%, while oil steadied near its yearly low amid concerns over Russian supply increases.
In Japan, Seven & I Holdings shares plunged after the founding family failed to secure funding for a $58 billion buyout, leaving Canada’s Couche-Tard poised for a potential acquisition. Nomura downgraded Taiwanese stocks, citing AI sector scrutiny and US tariffs, with TSMC underperforming the broader MSCI Asia Pacific Index.
Meanwhile, gold retreated 0.8% from its record high as a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields weighed on the metal, while investors await the Fed’s inflation data for further monetary policy signals.
Nvidia Beats Estimates, Tariff Worries Weigh on Stocks
Asian equities fell Thursday as Nvidia’s mixed outlook failed to sustain investor enthusiasm, and President Trump’s announcement of 25% tariffs on EU goods and potential trade restrictions on chips rattled markets. Nvidia posted strong Q4 earnings — beating estimates with $0.89 EPS on $39.3 billion revenue — and issued solid Q1 guidance, buoyed by the rapid success of its Blackwell AI chips.
However, concerns over tighter profit margins, supply chain constraints, and the rise of alternatives like custom AI chips from Big Tech dampened some optimism. European futures dropped as much as 0.9%, while Nvidia’s stock initially climbed on its earnings report but pared gains in after-hours trading. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields edged higher as traders anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts amidst slowing economic growth.
Investment Insight:
Nvidia remains a dominant force in AI, but geopolitical risks like tariffs and export controls loom large. Investors should monitor Big Tech’s shift toward custom AI chips and consider the potential impact on Nvidia’s revenue. Diversifying into regions like Europe and China or hedging with fixed-income assets may help navigate this uncertain environment.
Market price: Nvidia Corp (NVDA): USD 131.28
7-Eleven Owner’s Founding Family Fails in Buyout Bid, Couche-Tard Eyes Acquisition
Japan’s Seven & I Holdings, the owner of 7-Eleven, announced that its founding Ito family failed to secure the $58 billion needed for a management buyout. This opens the door for Canada’s Alimentation Couche-Tard, which has proposed a $47 billion acquisition. The company stated it is now evaluating Couche-Tard’s offer alongside other strategic alternatives to maximize shareholder value.
Seven & I shares plunged over 12% in Tokyo trading, marking their worst drop since 2005, while Itochu, a key stakeholder, rose 6.8% after ending its consideration of the buyout. Couche-Tard reaffirmed its commitment to negotiating a deal, underscoring the growing foreign interest in Japanese assets amid improving corporate governance and economic reforms.
Investment Insight:
The collapse of the founding family’s buyout bid strengthens Couche-Tard’s position, signaling potential opportunities in Japanese equities as global investors target undervalued assets. Seven & I’s stock remains volatile, but Couche-Tard’s acquisition pursuit may provide upside potential.
Oil Prices Steady Near Year’s Low Amid Tariff and Supply Concerns
Oil prices stabilized near their lowest close of the year, with Brent crude trading below $73 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate near $69. The market remains pressured by US President Trump’s tariff threats against Mexico, Canada, and the European Union, compounding concerns about economic growth. Crude is on track for its largest monthly loss since September, overshadowing potential price lifts from tighter Iran sanctions and OPEC+ production delays.
On the supply front, Trump’s plan to revoke Chevron’s Venezuelan oil license threatens the nation’s recovery, while Iraq announced an agreement to restart Kurdistan crude exports without specifying timing. Additionally, prospects of a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia raise the possibility of increased Russian oil supplies, further weighing on prices.
Investment Insight:
Oil markets face persistent headwinds from geopolitical uncertainty and weakening demand signals. Investors should remain cautious, as potential Russian supply increases and global trade tensions could keep prices under pressure in the near term.
Nomura Downgrades Taiwanese Stocks Amid AI Scrutiny and Tariff Concerns
Nomura Holdings downgraded Taiwanese equities from “tactical overweight” to “neutral,” citing rising scrutiny of the AI sector, US tariff threats, and elevated valuations. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), the island’s largest stock, has fallen over 3% this year, underperforming the broader MSCI Asia Pacific Index, which gained 3.6%.
The move comes as cost-efficient AI models from Chinese startup DeepSeek raise questions about the need for massive capital expenditure, potentially impacting TSMC, a key supplier to Apple and Nvidia. Meanwhile, tensions between China and Taiwan and President Trump’s tariffs on Chinese goods continue to weigh on sentiment.
Investment Insight:
Taiwan’s equity outlook faces pressure from geopolitical risks and valuation concerns. Investors may consider shifting focus to Chinese equities, which Nomura highlighted for their innovation-driven recovery and reduced discount to global peers.

Gold Declines as Stronger Dollar and Rising Yields Weigh
Gold prices fell 0.8% to $2,893 an ounce as the US dollar strengthened and Treasury yields climbed, eroding demand for the non-yielding metal. This comes after gold set a record high earlier in the week, driven by haven demand amid uncertainty over President Trump’s sweeping tariff plans, including a 25% levy on EU goods and unclear deadlines for tariffs on Canada and Mexico. The stronger dollar makes gold less attractive to investors holding other currencies, while rising yields further pressure bullion.
Investors are now closely watching the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge on Friday for clues on monetary policy shifts, which could influence gold’s outlook.
Investment Insight:
Gold’s pullback highlights its sensitivity to rising yields and currency strength. Investors may consider gold as a long-term hedge but should remain cautious of near-term volatility tied to geopolitical and economic developments.
Conclusion
Markets remain on edge as geopolitical tensions, trade tariffs, and shifting monetary policy dominate investor sentiment. Nvidia’s earnings highlight ongoing strength in AI but fail to offset concerns over supply chain risks and rising competition. Meanwhile, oil prices hover near yearly lows as trade uncertainty and potential increases in Russian supply weigh on the outlook.
The collapse of Seven & I’s buyout bid signals opportunities for foreign investors targeting undervalued Japanese assets. With gold slipping from record highs and Taiwanese equities facing headwinds, investors should brace for continued volatility while keeping an eye on key economic and policy developments.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 27th, 2025: US GDP, Eurozone consumer confidence
- February 28th, 2025: US PCE inflation, Germany CPI, Tokyo CPI
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.