Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 11, 2025
Date Issued – 11th February 2025
Market Overview
Markets saw significant moves this week, starting with US Steel shares surging 6% on Trump’s proposed 25% steel tariffs, boosting domestic producers but raising concerns for industries reliant on steel. India’s rupee rallied nearly 1%, marking its biggest jump in two years, following heavy suspected intervention by the Reserve Bank of India to stabilize the currency. Meanwhile, gold hit record highs near $2,950/oz as trade war fears and geopolitical tensions over Trump’s ultimatum to Hamas drove safe-haven demand. UK savers turned to gilts for tax-free gains, with rising purchases fueled by high yields and economic uncertainty. Finally, Foxconn shares climbed 3% on strong January sales, driven by AI server demand, though challenges in consumer electronics remain.
US Steel Surges on Trump Tariff Plan
US Steel shares jumped 6% Monday after former President Donald Trump proposed a 25% tariff on steel imports. The announcement, expected to be formalized soon, boosted US metals producers like Nucor (+7%), Cleveland-Cliffs (+15%), and Steel Dynamics (+6%). The tariffs aim to curb cheaper foreign steel imports, granting domestic producers pricing power and higher profit potential. While the policy may hurt Canada, Brazil, and Mexico—America’s top steel suppliers—it is expected to have limited impact on China, which ranks lower as a supplier.
Investment Insight: Tariff-driven price hikes could bolster US steelmakers’ margins, but higher costs for key inputs may weigh on industries reliant on steel, like automotive and construction. Diversify exposure to mitigate sector-specific risks.
Market Price: United States Steel Corp (NYSE: X): USD 38.70
Rupee’s Biggest Surge in Two Years Shocks Markets
India’s rupee rallied nearly 1% on Tuesday, marking its largest single-day gain since November 2022. The unexpected surge, attributed to suspected heavy intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), halted a streak of record lows against the dollar. Traders speculate the RBI sold as much as $11 billion over two days to stabilize the currency. This comes after recent depreciation fueled by rate cuts and a stronger dollar linked to US tariff moves. Analysts see the intervention as a strategic move to curb speculative pressure while maintaining market stability under Governor Sanjay Malhotra.
Investment Insight: Currency stabilization efforts could temporarily boost investor confidence in Indian assets. However, sustained intervention may deplete reserves. Monitor RBI’s policy tone and dollar strength for emerging market exposure.

Gold Hits Record High Near $2,950 Amid Trade and Geopolitical Jitters
Gold prices soared to all-time highs in Asian trading, with spot gold reaching $2,942.69/oz and futures peaking at $2,968.39/oz. Safe-haven demand surged as U.S. President Donald Trump imposed 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, with threats of further trade duties sparking fears of a global trade war. Market anxiety was further amplified by Trump’s ultimatum to Hamas over Israeli hostages, intensifying geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. While gold rallied, other metals like silver (-0.5%) and copper (-0.6%) declined as a strong dollar weighed on industrial commodities.
Investment Insight: Gold’s record surge underscores its role as a hedge against economic and geopolitical uncertainty. Investors should monitor inflation trends and central bank policy, as prolonged tensions could sustain gold’s upward momentum.
Savers Flock to Gilts for Tax-Free Gains Amid Economic Uncertainty
Savers are increasingly turning to UK government bonds (gilts) to avoid capital gains tax and secure steady returns. Gilts offer tax-free gains on redemption or sale below the purchase price, making them attractive amid frozen income tax thresholds and reduced personal savings allowances. Wealth managers report a surge in gilt purchases, driven by high yields, predictable returns, and economic concerns. Short-dated, low-coupon gilts are particularly popular for their tax efficiency and guaranteed capital growth, providing a stable option in uncertain times.
Investment Insight: Rising gilt allocations highlight a shift toward tax-efficient, low-risk strategies. Investors seeking stability and predictable returns should consider gilts, especially in a high-tax environment, but remain mindful of inflation risks impacting real yields.
Foxconn Shares Rise on Strong January Sales and AI Demand
Foxconn, a key Nvidia supplier, saw its shares climb nearly 3% on Tuesday after reporting January revenues of NT$538.67 billion ($16.42 billion), up 3.2% year-on-year. Growth was driven by robust demand for AI servers and cloud products, bolstering optimism despite entering a traditionally weaker sales period. Foxconn’s diversification into AI infrastructure has been a key driver of its recent success, though slower consumer electronics sales, including iPhones for Apple, remain a challenge. The company is also expanding into electric vehicles, with potential investments in Nissan.
Investment Insight: Foxconn’s focus on AI and diversification into EVs positions it well for long-term growth. However, its reliance on consumer electronics could weigh on performance. Investors should watch its AI-related ventures and EV developments for sustained momentum.
Market Price: Hon Hai Precision Industry Co Ltd. (TPE:2317): TWD 179.00
Conclusion
This week’s market movements highlight the interplay between policy, geopolitics, and shifting investor strategies. From Trump’s tariffs driving steel stocks and gold to new highs, to India’s rupee rallying on central bank intervention, macroeconomic forces remain in sharp focus. Savers are seeking refuge in tax-efficient gilts, while Foxconn’s AI-driven growth offers a glimpse into tech’s resilience amid weaker consumer electronics demand. As markets navigate uncertainty, diversification and a keen eye on inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical developments will be key to staying ahead. Stay tuned for more insights as these stories continue to evolve.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 11th, 2025: Brazil CPI
- February 12th, 2025: US CPI; India CPI, Industrial Production
- February 13th, 2025: German CPI, Eurozone Industrial Production
- February 14th, 2025: Eurozone GDP
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 10, 2025
Date Issued – 10th February 2025
Preview
China has launched a pilot program allowing insurers to invest in gold for the first time, unlocking up to $27.4 billion in potential demand. Separately, the country will transition to market-based pricing for renewable energy by year-end, moving its maturing clean energy sector away from subsidies. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) reported slowing sales growth amid AI market shifts and geopolitical risks but plans record $42 billion capital expenditures in 2025. Meanwhile, President Trump’s proposed 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports drove the dollar higher and Asian stocks lower, fueling trade tensions. In AI, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman predicts usage costs will drop 10x annually, driving exponential adoption. Tech giants like Amazon and Microsoft plan to ramp up AI investments, with combined capex surpassing $320 billion this year. Markets remain focused on monetary policy signals, inflation data, and geopolitical developments for clarity on long-term impacts.
China Opens $27 Billion Opportunity for Gold Investment
China has launched a pilot program allowing insurers to invest in gold for the first time, potentially unlocking $27.4 billion in funds. Ten major firms, including PICC Property & Casualty Co. and China Life Insurance Co., can allocate up to 1% of their assets to bullion. This marks a significant policy shift as authorities seek alternatives to traditional investment options amid a property slump and economic slowdown. Gold, which has surged 40% since late 2023, continues to rally on economic and geopolitical risks.
Investment Insight
Gold’s inclusion in Chinese insurers’ portfolios signals increased institutional demand, reinforcing its safe-haven appeal. However, investors should watch for potential volatility as prices may already reflect heightened interest.
China Moves to Market-Based Pricing for Clean Energy
China is set to end fixed pricing for renewable energy, allowing market forces to determine electricity costs. Local governments will implement the new pricing system by year-end, with safeguards like balancing payments to limit price volatility. Wind and solar projects installed before June 1, 2025, will retain existing compensation rules, while newer projects face less favorable terms. This transition reflects China’s effort to move its maturing renewable energy sector away from subsidies while managing economic pressures.
Investment Insight
Market-based pricing could improve efficiency in China’s renewable sector but may pressure profit margins for new projects. Investors should monitor how balancing payments and local policies evolve, especially for post-June installations.

TSMC Sales Growth Slows Amid AI Market Shifts
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) reported a 36% revenue increase in January to NT$293.3 billion ($8.9 billion), down from 38.8% growth in Q4 2024. Analysts had expected a 41% rise for the current quarter. The slowdown comes as Nvidia’s primary chip supplier faces uncertainty in AI spending, driven by competition from Chinese startup DeepSeek. Meanwhile, TSMC plans record capital expenditures of $42 billion in 2025, despite potential US tariffs on semiconductor imports.
Investment Insight
While AI demand remains robust, rising competition and geopolitical tensions pose risks to TSMC’s growth. Investors should monitor capital expenditure execution and US policy developments for mid-term impacts.
Market Price: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (TPE:2330): TWD 1,105.00
Dollar Rises, Asian Stocks Drop on Trump Tariffs
President Donald Trump’s plan to impose a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports sent the dollar higher and Asian stocks lower, with the benchmark for regional shares experiencing its biggest drop in a week. The greenback gained against major currencies as markets speculated on rising inflation and limited Federal Reserve rate cuts. Meanwhile, US and European stock futures showed modest gains, as investors anticipated Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony and key US inflation data this week.
Hong Kong stocks bucked the trend, with the Hang Seng Tech Index climbing to its highest level since October, driven by optimism over China’s AI advancements. Commodities markets remained muted, while US Treasury yields edged lower.
Investment Insight
Rising tariffs heighten global trade tensions, creating short-term volatility in equities and commodities. Investors should focus on Fed policy signals and inflation data for guidance on the broader impact of protectionist moves.
Sam Altman Predicts 10x Annual Drop in AI Costs
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated in a blog post that the cost of using AI will drop 10 times annually, driving exponential adoption. Highlighting a 150x price-per-token reduction from GPT-4 in 2023 to GPT-4o in 2024, Altman compared this trend to Moore’s Law but noted it is “unbelievably stronger.” He also emphasized that AI intelligence scales predictably with investment, suggesting no near-term limits to exponential growth. Altman predicts dramatic economic shifts, including falling costs for many goods and rising prices for limited resources like land.
The post comes as tech giants like Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta ramp up AI investments, with combined capex exceeding $320 billion in 2025, and following the launch of Stargate, a $500 billion US-led AI infrastructure project.
Investment Insight
Plummeting AI costs could disrupt industries, creating opportunities in software and services while pressuring hardware suppliers. Investors should focus on emerging AI applications and infrastructure initiatives like Stargate for long-term growth potential.
Conclusion
From China’s $27 billion gold investment opportunity to its market-based clean energy shift, the week highlights the nation’s evolving economic strategies. TSMC’s slowing sales growth reflects growing competition in AI, while Trump’s proposed tariffs fuel global trade tensions and market volatility. Amid this, OpenAI’s Sam Altman predicts plummeting AI costs, signaling transformative impacts across industries as tech giants ramp up investments. As geopolitical shifts and monetary policy remain in focus, investors should stay attuned to inflation data, US-China dynamics, and the AI sector’s rapid evolution for both risks and opportunities in the months ahead.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 10th, 2025: China retaliatory tariffs on US to take effect
- February 11th, 2025: Brazil CPI
- February 12th, 2025: US CPI; India CPI, Industrial Production
- February 13th, 2025: German CPI, Eurozone Industrial Production
- February 14th, 2025: Eurozone GDP
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 7, 2025
Date Issued – 7th February 2025
China’s Private Oil Refiners and Global Market Impacts
China’s private oil refiners, or “teapots,” have cut operating rates to 43.64%, the lowest since March 2020, as U.S. sanctions on Russian oil disrupt supply chains and force reliance on costlier alternatives. Meanwhile, Hong Kong faces mounting risks as U.S. tariffs now treat the city like mainland China, eroding its appeal to international investors. In the U.S., January job growth is expected to slow to 170,000, with disruptions and revisions adding uncertainty. Chinese tech stocks rallied, pushing the Hang Seng Tech Index into a bull market, while Xiaomi hit a record high, fueled by subsidies, new product launches, and AI momentum.
Moderate U.S. Job Growth Expected Amid January Data Distortions
U.S. job growth likely slowed in January, with economists forecasting a gain of 170,000 jobs, down from December’s 256,000 surge. The slowdown reflects temporary disruptions from California wildfires and severe winter weather, as well as annual revisions to employment data. The unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.1%, with wage growth remaining solid at 0.3% for the month. However, economists warn that job growth is increasingly concentrated in lower-paying industries, masking potential white-collar job losses.
Investment Insight: Labor market resilience supports the Federal Reserve’s pause on rate cuts, but investors should be cautious of slower employment momentum and policy-related uncertainties in early 2025.
China’s Oil Teapots Cut Runs to Pandemic Levels Amid Sanctions
Chinese private oil processors, known as “teapots,” have reduced operating rates to just 43.64%, the lowest since March 2020. The drop follows U.S. sanctions on Russian oil that have severely limited access to the preferred ESPO crude grade. The sanctions, imposed last month, disrupted supply chains and increased reliance on more expensive alternatives like Oman and Abu Dhabi crude.
Refiners in Shandong province, already grappling with a sluggish economy and weak fuel demand, are now facing mounting losses—over 150 yuan per ton compared to 300 yuan in profits a year ago. The disruption has also impacted refiners across Asia, where rising freight costs and tighter supply add to the strain.
Investment Insight: China’s teapots, a key player in the global oil market, are under unprecedented pressure. The sanctions not only highlight vulnerabilities in the supply chain but could also ripple through broader energy markets as refiners cut operations further.

Hong Kong Caught in Trump’s Trade War With China
Hong Kong’s global financial hub status faces fresh pressure as Donald Trump’s new trade war policies equate the city with mainland China. A 10% tariff on Chinese goods now includes Hong Kong, following the 2020 removal of its special privileges. The move underscores growing geopolitical risks for businesses operating in the city, as U.S. actions blur distinctions between Hong Kong and Beijing. Economists expect minimal direct economic impact from the tariffs, but the broader implications of diminished autonomy could deter international investment and further erode the city’s image.
Investment Insight: Businesses with ties to Hong Kong face escalating political risks, particularly in regions where the U.S. and China compete for influence. Investors should closely monitor geopolitical developments as Hong Kong’s unique status diminishes.
China Lifts Asian Stocks as Markets Await U.S. Jobs Data
Chinese tech stocks rallied Friday, propelling Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index to its highest since November, while the Hang Seng Tech Index entered a technical bull market with a 20% gain since January. Mainland Chinese and Taiwanese stocks also advanced, offsetting declines in Japan and South Korea. Traders are now focused on U.S. nonfarm payroll data, expected to show 175,000 new jobs, which will shape expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. A weak jobs number could fuel rate-cut hopes, while a stronger figure may delay monetary easing.
Investment Insight: Chinese tech stocks show renewed momentum, driven by AI developments. Investors should monitor U.S. jobs data closely as it may impact global rate expectations and market volatility.
Xiaomi Hits Record High on China’s Subsidy Program
Xiaomi Corp. shares hit a record high in Hong Kong, surging 12% this week, fueled by China’s consumer subsidy program and upcoming launches of the SU7 Ultra EV and 15 Ultra smartphone. Analysts raised shipment forecasts, citing subsidies for wearables and falling AI costs after DeepSeek’s latest model launch. Xiaomi’s strong 2024 performance, driven by its EV entry and AIoT platform, positions it for continued growth in 2025 as factory capacity expands.
Investment Insight: Xiaomi’s record-breaking rally highlights its strength in leveraging subsidies and AI advancements. Investors should watch for further gains tied to its diversified product strategy and Chinese tech’s bull market momentum.
Conclusion
Global markets face heightened uncertainty as geopolitical tensions, economic slowdowns, and shifting policies weigh on key players. China’s oil teapots struggle under U.S. sanctions, while Hong Kong’s diminishing autonomy raises risks for investors. Slower U.S. job growth adds to concerns, though solid wage gains suggest resilience. On a brighter note, Chinese tech stocks and Xiaomi’s record-breaking rally highlight opportunities in AI and consumer-driven innovation. As markets navigate these mixed signals, investors should remain vigilant, balancing near-term risks with long-term growth potentials, particularly in tech and energy sectors. Global trends demand a close watch on evolving policies and market drivers.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 7th, 2025: US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment; Canada unemployment
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 6, 2025
Date Issued – 6th February 2025
Preview
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) is set to achieve record profits of ¥1.75 trillion ($11 billion) this fiscal year, driven by rising domestic rates, strong markets, and a weak yen. Despite a 39% surge in shares, CFO Jun Togawa stresses sustainable growth through fee revenue, fintech in Asia, and cost control, aiming for a higher price-to-book ratio and global competitiveness.
Meanwhile, Alphabet’s $75 billion AI-driven capex plan for 2025 has fueled a semiconductor rally, benefitting Nvidia, Broadcom, and others. Amazon’s earnings on Thursday will offer clues on retail trends amid strong consumer spending but lingering risks like tariffs. China’s tungsten export controls are stoking supply fears, with Almonty Industries seeing surging demand as it expands outside China. Lastly, the Bank of England is expected to cut rates to 4.50% amid economic stagnation, signaling concerns but offering relief to rate-sensitive sectors. Across industries, opportunities coexist with geopolitical, economic, and market risks, demanding careful investor navigation.
MUFG Eyes Sustainable Growth Beyond Record Profits
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) is on track to achieve a record ¥1.75 trillion ($11 billion) in net income for the year ending March, bolstered by rising domestic interest rates, a buoyant stock market, and a weak yen. Shares have surged 39% over the past year, making MUFG Japan’s second most valuable company by market cap after Toyota.
However, CFO Jun Togawa emphasizes the need for sustainable growth through fee revenue expansion, fintech investments in Asia, and improved cost control. MUFG is also targeting a higher price-to-book ratio to compete globally and attract international investors, supported by ongoing share buyback programs.
Investment Insight
MUFG’s focus on fee-based revenue and fintech investments signals long-term growth potential. Its undervalued shares and shareholder-friendly buybacks may appeal to investors seeking exposure to Japan’s financial sector recovery.
Market price: MUFG Financial Group Inc (TYO: 8306): JPY 1,952
Google’s AI Spending Spurs Chip Stock Surge
Alphabet’s announcement of a $75 billion capital expenditure plan for 2025—up sharply from $52 billion last year—has sparked optimism across the chip sector. Nvidia, Broadcom, and other semiconductor stocks rallied on Wednesday, buoyed by expectations that Google’s AI ambitions will drive robust demand for cutting-edge chips.
Alphabet’s spending plans come amid a broader wave of AI investment, with Meta, Microsoft, and Tesla also committing to increased capex for AI development. Despite a 7% drop in Alphabet’s stock, Nvidia climbed nearly 5%, Broadcom surged 6%, and other chipmakers, including TSMC and Micron, saw gains.
Investment Insight
The AI arms race among tech giants promises sustained demand for advanced semiconductors. Investors should monitor chipmakers with strong ties to AI-focused firms, as this trend could fuel long-term growth opportunities.

Amazon Earnings Could Set Tone for Retailers in 2025
Amazon will kick off major retailers’ earnings season on Thursday, offering insights into consumer spending after a record-breaking holiday season. Analysts predict strong sales growth for Amazon, Walmart, Costco, and Target this year, driven by rising consumer spending, moderated inflation, and stable job markets. Amazon is expected to report a 10% year-over-year increase in goods sold, while Walmart and Costco benefit from value-focused shoppers.
However, risks such as tariffs and a potential stock market correction could dampen momentum, with analysts warning these factors may halve consumer spending growth in 2025.
Investment Insight
Retailers with strong e-commerce platforms and value-driven strategies—like Amazon and Costco—are well-positioned for growth. However, investors should remain cautious of macroeconomic risks like tariffs and market volatility that could impact consumer spending trends.
China’s Tungsten Export Controls Spark Supply Fears
China’s recent export controls on tungsten, a critical metal for defense and high-tech industries, have sent shockwaves through global markets. Almonty Industries, a major North American tungsten miner, reports surging inquiries as customers grapple with potential supply shortages. China produces 80% of the world’s tungsten, and additional restrictions could further tighten availability.
Almonty’s stock has surged 41% in two days, reflecting investor concerns over the scarcity of the material, used in munitions, engine parts, and semiconductors. Almonty is expanding operations in South Korea to reduce reliance on Chinese output, with a new mine set to open in two months.
Investment Insight
China’s dominance in tungsten supply underscores geopolitical risks in critical minerals. Investors may consider companies like Almonty, which are diversifying production outside of China, as strategic plays in an increasingly constrained market.
Bank of England Poised for Third Rate Cut
The Bank of England is expected to cut its key interest rate to 4.50% on Thursday, marking its third reduction in six months. While inflation remains slightly above the 2% target at 2.5%, a stagnating economy and declining employment are pushing policymakers toward more urgent action.
The move comes as inflationary pressures ease, particularly in the services sector, despite looming business tax hikes from the Labour government. Markets will closely watch Governor Andrew Bailey’s tone and the bank’s updated economic forecasts for clues on future monetary policy.
Investment Insight
Lower rates could ease borrowing costs but signal deeper concerns about the U.K.’s economic outlook. Investors should assess potential headwinds for banks and opportunities in rate-sensitive sectors like housing and consumer goods.
Conclusion
In a rapidly shifting global landscape, opportunities and risks are emerging across industries. MUFG’s push for sustainable growth highlights the evolving dynamics of Japan’s financial sector, while Alphabet’s AI investments signal long-term demand for advanced semiconductors. Retail giants like Amazon are poised for solid performance, though macroeconomic risks cast a shadow over consumer spending. China’s tungsten export controls underscore the fragility of critical supply chains, pushing diversification efforts. Meanwhile, the Bank of England’s expected rate cut reflects mounting economic pressures.
For investors, strategic positioning in growth sectors and vigilance toward geopolitical and economic headwinds will be key to navigating 2025.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 6th, 2025: UK rate decision, Amazon earnings
- February 7th, 2025: US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment; Canada unemployment
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 5, 2025
Date Issued – 5th February 2025
Preview
Toyota is expanding its EV operations in China with a new Shanghai unit set to produce 100,000 Lexus vehicles annually by 2027 while raising its profit forecast to ¥4.7 trillion ($30.7 billion) despite a quarterly earnings dip. Meanwhile, Trump’s revocation of the de minimis rule and new 10% tariffs on Chinese imports are raising costs for e-commerce giants like Shein and Temu, spurring legal challenges and market shifts. Asian stocks slid after weak Chinese manufacturing data and escalating US-China trade tensions, with gold hitting a record high. The USPS also suspended parcels from China and Hong Kong, further straining supply chains. Lastly, California’s wildfires underscore the state’s insurance crisis, as reliance on the underfunded FAIR Plan grows amid private insurer pullbacks. Elevated risks persist across trade, insurance, and commodity markets.
Toyota Expands in China and Raises Profit Forecast
Toyota Motor is establishing a wholly owned unit in Shanghai to develop and produce electric vehicles and batteries for its Lexus brand, with production beginning in 2027. The unit aims to produce 100,000 vehicles annually and create 1,000 jobs in its initial phase. Toyota will also partner with the Shanghai municipal government on carbon-neutral initiatives, aligning with China’s 2060 carbon neutrality goal.
Meanwhile, Toyota raised its full-year operating profit forecast by 9% to 4.7 trillion yen ($30.7 billion), driven by strong hybrid vehicle demand and improved product competitiveness. Despite a 28% decline in third-quarter profit, Toyota remains the world’s top-selling automaker, with 2024 global sales of 10.8 million vehicles.
Investment Insight: Toyota’s strategic investment in China’s EV market and strong financial performance highlight its resilience and foresight in adapting to global trends. Its leadership in hybrid sales and expansion into electrification make it a solid contender for long-term growth.
Market price: Toyota Motor Corp (TYO: 7203): JPY 2,958
Trump’s Tariffs Close Loophole for Shein and Temu
The White House has eliminated the de minimis exemption, which allowed packages under $800 to enter the U.S. duty-free, as part of Trump’s new 10% tariff on Chinese goods. This change targets Chinese e-commerce giants like Shein and Temu, whose rapid growth relied on tax-free shipments of low-cost goods. The exemption, expanded in 2016, fueled a surge from 139 million packages in 2015 to over 1.36 billion in 2024, sparking criticism from U.S. manufacturers and scrutiny over its use in drug trafficking. Ending de minimis for Chinese imports could cost U.S. consumers $11.4 billion in fees and tariffs annually, disproportionately affecting low-income households. Legal challenges to the tariffs are likely, as their legality under existing laws remains uncertain.
Investment Insight: The closure of the de minimis loophole may reshape e-commerce by increasing costs for Chinese retailers and incentivizing domestic alternatives. Investors should monitor shifts in consumer spending and potential litigation outcomes, as they could impact major platforms like Amazon and disrupt the discount retail market.
US Futures Dip, Asian Stocks Lose Momentum Amid Trade Tensions
Asian stocks pared gains as Chinese shares fell upon reopening after Lunar New Year, weighed down by escalating trade tensions between the US and China. Hong Kong equities slid, while US and European futures turned lower, impacted by Alphabet Inc. and AMD’s extended trading losses. The US Postal Service temporarily halted international packages from China and Hong Kong following Trump’s revocation of the de minimis exemption for Chinese imports. Meanwhile, the yuan weakened under mounting trade pressures, and weaker-than-expected Chinese manufacturing data further dampened sentiment. Gold surged to a record high above $2,854 an ounce, while oil declined on concerns over global growth.
Investment Insight: Rising US-China trade tensions and weak Chinese economic data are driving market volatility. Investors should remain cautious of near-term risks to equities, particularly in Asian markets, while gold and other safe-haven assets may continue to gain appeal amid uncertainty.
US Postal Service Halts Parcels From China and Hong Kong
The US Postal Service (USPS) has temporarily suspended inbound international packages from China and Hong Kong, disrupting shipments from e-commerce giants like Shein and Temu. The move follows President Trump’s revocation of the de minimis rule, which previously allowed packages under $800 to enter the US duty-free, and the implementation of a new 10% tariff on Chinese goods. Critics argue the loophole enabled a flood of untracked parcels, some linked to illicit goods like fentanyl. While the USPS restriction rattled Asian markets, analysts believe its impact may be limited as private carriers like UPS and FedEx now handle most cross-border shipments.
Investment Insight: The USPS suspension signals heightened US-China trade tensions, adding pressure on Chinese e-commerce players and their supply chains. Investors should watch for potential tariff pauses or negotiations, but near-term risks to Chinese retail stocks and global shipping remain elevated.

LA Wildfires Expose California’s Insurance Crisis
The devastating Eaton and Palisades wildfires have highlighted California’s growing home insurance crisis. Homeowners like Chris Wilson, forced onto the state’s FAIR Plan after private insurers declined coverage, are receiving far less support to rebuild than neighbors with private insurance. The FAIR Plan, a last-resort option for high-risk properties, often comes with higher premiums and limited coverage, leaving many underinsured. With FAIR policies doubling to 452,000 since 2020, the state is grappling with how to balance rising wildfire risks and the retreat of private insurers. Proposed solutions include allowing insurers to raise premiums for high-risk areas and directing $25 million toward fire mitigation efforts.
Investment Insight: The shrinking private insurance market in wildfire-prone areas underscores risks for insurers and homeowners alike. Investors should monitor regulatory developments and climate-driven pricing changes, which could reshape the insurance industry and influence real estate values in high-risk zones.
Conclusion
Global markets are grappling with uncertainty as US-China trade tensions escalate, impacting Asian equities, e-commerce giants, and supply chains. Toyota’s strategic EV expansion in China highlights opportunities amid shifting industry dynamics, while California’s wildfire insurance crisis underscores the growing financial risks of climate change. Gold’s record surge reflects investor caution, while oil’s decline signals concerns over global growth.
As regulatory changes reshape industries from retail to insurance, investors should remain vigilant, focusing on safe-haven assets and sectors with long-term growth potential. The week ahead promises further volatility as geopolitical and economic developments continue to drive markets. Stay prepared.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 5th, 2025: Eurozone HCOB Services PMI, PPI
- February 6th, 2025: UK rate decision, Amazon earnings
- February 7th, 2025: US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment; Canada unemployment
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 4, 2025
Date Issued – 4th February 2025
Preview
Palantir shares surged over 23% on strong 2025 revenue forecasts, fueled by rising AI demand and US defense contracts. Meanwhile, a strong US dollar has spurred $54 billion in outflows from emerging Asian markets, pressuring currencies and equities, though supply chain shifts may benefit nations like Vietnam and Malaysia. Copper and zinc prices climbed as Trump delayed tariffs on Canada and Mexico, easing trade tensions temporarily. OpenAI and Kakao announced a partnership to develop AI products for South Korea, with OpenAI considering investment in the nation’s $1.4 billion AI computing center. Salesforce, under pressure to maintain profit margins, is cutting 1,000 jobs while hiring for its AI sales team, signaling a focus on high-growth tech innovation.
Palantir Surges Over 23% on Explosive AI Demand
Palantir Technologies saw its shares skyrocket by over 23% after releasing a bullish 2025 revenue forecast of $3.75 billion, exceeding Wall Street’s $3.54 billion expectation. The Denver-based company attributed this growth to “untamed organic demand” for its AI software. In 2024, Palantir’s stock surged 340%, fueled by growing commercial and government adoption of its data analysis tools.
Fourth-quarter revenue climbed 36% to $827.5 million, surpassing forecasts of $775.9 million, with US government sales up 45% and US commercial revenue up 64%. CEO Alex Karp highlighted Palantir’s deepening role in US defense, including partnerships with military branches, Ukraine, and Israel. The company also strengthened alliances with tech firms like Anduril and Anthropic, signaling a shift toward a software-led defense ecosystem.
Investment Insight: Palantir’s robust performance and expanding ties with US defense underscore its growing dominance in the AI space. Investors should monitor its ability to sustain growth amid political and budgetary shifts.
Market price: Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR): USD 83.74
Strong US Dollar Fuels $54 Billion Outflow From Emerging Asia
A surging US dollar, driven by Donald Trump’s new tariffs, is amplifying pressure on emerging Asian markets, which have already seen $54 billion in stock outflows over the past seven months. The stronger dollar limits room for interest-rate cuts in the region, while trade tensions and inflation concerns further strain economies like Indonesia, China, and India.
Currencies, including the Australian dollar and Indian rupee, plunged as US tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada were announced. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 4.4% since Trump’s election, while the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index hit its highest level since November 2022. Analysts warn that a stronger dollar often drives investors toward safer US assets, exacerbating capital flight from emerging markets.
Singapore, Malaysia, and Vietnam may stand to gain as companies diversify supply chains away from China.
Investment Insight: The strong US dollar poses ongoing risks to emerging Asian equities. Investors should tread cautiously, focusing on resilient markets and sectors benefiting from supply chain shifts.
Copper and Zinc Rise as Trump Delays Tariffs on Canada, Mexico
Copper and zinc prices climbed after President Donald Trump postponed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico by a month, easing trade tensions and weakening the US dollar. Copper, a key industrial indicator, gained 0.7% to $9,159 a ton on the London Metal Exchange, while zinc and aluminum also saw modest increases.
The tariff delay follows agreements by Canada and Mexico to bolster border control measures, temporarily averting a continental trade war. Meanwhile, uncertainty persists as the US considers implementing tariffs on China, with talks between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping potentially on the horizon.
Investment Insight: Base metals show resilience amid easing trade tensions, but volatility will persist as US-China tariff decisions loom. Investors should monitor commodity-driven sectors and currency shifts closely.

OpenAI and Kakao Partner to Develop AI Products for South Korea
OpenAI and South Korea’s Kakao announced a strategic partnership to create AI products tailored for the Korean market. Kakao plans to integrate OpenAI technology into its offerings, while OpenAI CEO Sam Altman emphasized South Korea’s critical role in global AI development during a press conference in Seoul.
Altman also met with executives from SK Group and Samsung, highlighting the importance of South Korean companies like SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, which produce key memory chips for AI processors. OpenAI is “actively considering” joining South Korea’s $1.4 billion national AI computing center initiative, aligning with the country’s ambition to lead in AI infrastructure.
Investment Insight: OpenAI’s expansion into South Korea underscores the region’s strategic importance in AI hardware and software innovation. Investors should monitor South Korean tech firms poised to benefit from growing AI partnerships and infrastructure investments.
Market price: Kakao Corp (KRX: 035720): KRW 40,450
Salesforce Cuts 1,000 Jobs While Expanding AI Sales Team
Salesforce is laying off over 1,000 employees as it begins its new fiscal year, even as it ramps up hiring for sales roles tied to its AI product line. Displaced workers will have the opportunity to apply for other roles within the company. This move follows broader workforce reductions across the tech sector, including Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta, as firms balance innovation with profitability.
Salesforce, with nearly 73,000 employees as of January 2024, is under pressure to maintain profit margins after scrutiny from activist investors. The company remains focused on scaling its AI-powered tools like Agentforce while improving operational efficiency.
Investment Insight: Salesforce’s dual strategy—cutting costs while investing in AI—highlights its pivot to growth in high-demand tech sectors. Investors should watch its upcoming earnings and AI product performance as key indicators of success.
Market price: Salesforce Inc (CRM): USD 339.24
Conclusion
The global landscape is shifting as AI innovation drives growth, trade tensions reshape markets, and companies balance efficiency with expansion. Palantir’s explosive growth underscores the rising demand for AI, while OpenAI’s partnership with Kakao highlights South Korea’s pivotal role in the AI ecosystem. At the same time, Salesforce’s dual strategy of layoffs and AI-focused hiring reflects the balancing act across tech industries.
However, challenges persist, with a strong US dollar pressuring emerging markets and trade uncertainties fueling volatility in commodities. Investors should stay vigilant, focusing on sectors poised for growth amid these evolving dynamics.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 4th, 2025: Alphabet, UBS, BNP Paribas earnings
- February 5th, 2025: Eurozone HCOB Services PMI, PPI
- February 6th, 2025: UK rate decision, Amazon earnings
- February 7th, 2025: US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment; Canada unemployment
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 3, 2025
Date Issued – 3rd February 2025
Preview
DeepSeek’s low-cost AI model is empowering European startups to compete with U.S. tech giants but raising regulatory concerns. The yen shows haven appeal as trade tensions escalate, though Japan faces tariff risks. Meanwhile, China proposes reviving the 2020 “Phase 1” trade deal to ease U.S. tariffs, signaling openness to dialogue. In Hong Kong, Chinese tech stocks rebounded despite weak manufacturing data, with Alibaba leading gains. France faces political turmoil as Prime Minister Bayrou’s budget push risks a no-confidence vote, threatening market stability. Investors should watch for developments in trade, AI, and fiscal reforms.
DeepSeek Offers European Tech a Shot in the Global AI Race
DeepSeek, a Chinese AI model, is disrupting the artificial intelligence landscape by offering services at a fraction of the cost of competitors like OpenAI. With pricing up to 40 times cheaper, it allows European startups to compete more effectively, bridging the gap with U.S. rivals that dominate the AI market. Early adopters, such as Novo AI and NetMind.AI, report seamless integration with DeepSeek’s technology and significant savings. However, concerns linger over regulatory scrutiny, data sources, and potential censorship. Analysts see DeepSeek’s low-cost approach as a catalyst for innovation, but larger companies remain cautious, prioritizing security and transparency.
Investment Insight: DeepSeek’s affordability could spark a pricing war in AI, challenging dominant players like OpenAI. Investors may want to monitor how regulatory hurdles and concerns over data practices evolve, as these could influence adoption and long-term profitability.
Yen Shows Flickers of Haven Strength Amid Dollar Dominance
The yen demonstrated resilience on Monday, weathering the dollar’s strength after President Trump imposed new tariffs. While most major currencies tumbled against the greenback, the yen stood out as the only G-10 currency to advance against the dollar this year. Analysts attribute the yen’s newfound haven appeal to the Bank of Japan’s rate hikes and high U.S. Treasury yields, which dip during risk-off periods. However, the yen’s safe-haven status faces uncertainty, as Japan might become a target for U.S. tariffs. Prime Minister Ishiba’s upcoming meeting with Trump could provide more clarity on this front.
Investment Insight: The yen’s relative strength could bolster its appeal as a defensive asset, particularly amid global trade tensions. However, investors should remain cautious, as potential tariff threats on Japan could undermine its haven status.
China Seeks to Revive 2020 ‘Phase 1’ Trade Deal Amid Tariff Tensions
China is reportedly proposing to restore the 2020 “Phase 1” trade deal with the U.S. as a starting point to resolve escalating trade tensions, according to the Wall Street Journal. The proposal includes pledges to avoid yuan devaluation, increase U.S. investments, and curb fentanyl precursor exports. This comes after President Trump imposed new tariffs on Chinese, Canadian, and Mexican imports over fentanyl and immigration concerns. While China condemned the tariffs, it signaled openness to dialogue, contrasting with Canada’s retaliatory measures. The original 2020 deal, which aimed to boost U.S. exports to China, fell short of targets due to the pandemic.
Investment Insight: The potential revival of the Phase 1 deal could ease trade tensions, creating opportunities for U.S. exporters and stabilizing markets. However, investors should remain wary of heightened geopolitical risks, particularly around China’s broader economic commitments and U.S. tariff strategies.

Chinese Stocks in Hong Kong Outperform as Tech Gains Offset Tariff Concerns
Chinese equities in Hong Kong outperformed regional peers, with tech giants Alibaba and SMIC driving a partial recovery in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index after an early decline. Optimism around China’s advancements in AI, including DeepSeek’s low-cost model, supported sentiment, even as new U.S. tariffs loomed. Alibaba surged 6.1%, boasting its AI model’s performance surpasses Meta’s Llama. However, broader concerns persist as China’s manufacturing activity shrinks for a second consecutive month, fueling expectations of further stimulus measures ahead of March’s legislative meeting.
Investment Insight: Tech resilience in Hong Kong’s Chinese stocks highlights growth potential in AI, but U.S. tariffs and weak domestic consumption remain headwinds. Investors should watch for Beijing’s stimulus actions, which could stabilize markets and the yuan in the near term.
France Faces Political Crisis as Prime Minister Risks No-Confidence Vote Over Budget
French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou is set to push through the 2025 budget using Article 49.3, a constitutional provision that bypasses a parliamentary vote but allows for a no-confidence motion. Far-left lawmakers have already vowed to challenge Bayrou, whose minority government faces the threat of collapse, making it the third administration to fall in under a year. The move comes amid political gridlock in a fractured National Assembly and investor unease over France’s growing deficits. Bayrou’s budget aims to cut the deficit to 5.4% of GDP in 2025, focusing on €50 billion in savings.
Investment Insight: France’s political instability continues to weigh on markets, with sovereign debt underperforming in the region. Investors should monitor the no-confidence vote and its impact on fiscal reforms, as further gridlock could trigger renewed asset sell-offs.
Conclusion
From DeepSeek’s disruptive AI breakthroughs to China’s trade overtures and the yen’s resilience amid tariffs, global markets are navigating a complex landscape of innovation and geopolitical tension. Hong Kong’s tech rally underscores the potential of Chinese advancements, even as economic headwinds persist. Meanwhile, France’s political uncertainty highlights the challenges of fiscal reform in fragmented governments. As markets react to these developments, investors should remain vigilant, focusing on regulatory risks, trade dynamics, and stimulus measures. With shifting economic and political tides, staying informed on these key stories will be crucial in identifying opportunities and managing risks.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 4th, 2025: Alphabet, UBS, BNP Paribas earnings
- February 5th, 2025: Eurozone HCOB Services PMI, PPI
- February 6th, 2025: UK rate decision, Amazon earnings
- February 7th, 2025: US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment; Canada unemployment
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Jan 31, 2025
Date Issued – 31th January 2025
Preview
Chinese AI lab DeepSeek has unveiled cost-efficient AI models that rival industry giants by automating labor-intensive tasks with reinforcement learning. Its R1 model demonstrates strong reasoning skills while using fewer resources, even running on mobile devices. The breakthrough has shaken semiconductor markets, with SK Hynix shares plunging 11% as the innovation questions demand for costly AI chips. Meanwhile, Apple beat earnings expectations but fell short on iPhone and China sales, highlighting risks tied to its core markets. In Australia, severe storms threaten life and key industries like sugarcane, fueling climate resilience debates. Lastly, Japan is exploring a $44 billion Alaska LNG pipeline to ease U.S. trade tensions, though economic viability remains uncertain.
DeepSeek’s AI Breakthrough: Powerful Models Built for Less
Chinese AI lab DeepSeek has unveiled a groundbreaking approach to building AI models at a fraction of the cost of industry leaders like OpenAI and Meta. By leveraging reinforcement learning (RL) to automate labor-intensive tasks and refining existing large language models, DeepSeek’s R1 model showcases strong reasoning capabilities despite using fewer resources. The company’s “aha moment” came when the model began solving problems autonomously, challenging the traditional reliance on human data labeling. Smaller models created through this process can even run on mobile devices, offering a cost-effective solution for developers. However, DeepSeek faces controversy as OpenAI accuses it of using its outputs to train its systems.
Investment Insight
DeepSeek’s innovation highlights the growing trend of smaller, more efficient AI models disrupting the industry. Investors may find opportunities in startups focusing on cost-effective AI solutions, as they pose a competitive threat to billion-dollar AI giants while expanding accessibility to smaller developers.
SK Hynix Shares Slide After DeepSeek AI Disruption
SK Hynix shares plunged over 11% as trading resumed in South Korea, following DeepSeek’s cost-efficient AI breakthrough that rattled global chipmakers. The news, which questions the reliance on expensive chips for AI development, triggered a selloff in semiconductor stocks, with Samsung Electronics also falling 3.7%. Korean internet firms like Kakao and Naver gained over 7% as investors speculated on potential cost-saving benefits. Despite SK Hynix reporting a 20-fold profit surge last quarter, the DeepSeek disruption has cast doubt on the long-term demand for costly AI hardware.
Investment Insight
The semiconductor sector faces heightened volatility as DeepSeek’s innovation reshapes AI development costs. Investors should monitor Korean tech stocks, which may gain from AI’s wider adoption, while remaining cautious about chipmakers exposed to shifting AI hardware demand.
Market price: SK Hynix Inc (KRX: 000660): KRW 199,200

Apple Earnings Beat Expectations Despite iPhone, China Sales Miss
Apple topped Wall Street forecasts with Q1 earnings per share of $2.40 on $124.3 billion in revenue, but iPhone sales and Greater China revenue fell short. iPhone revenue hit $69.1 billion, missing the $71 billion estimate, as market share dipped despite broader smartphone growth. Sales in China reached $18.5 billion, well below the $21.5 billion expected, continuing a multi-year decline. Apple’s AI-powered “Apple Intelligence” updates, part of its iPhone 16 push, have underwhelmed analysts as a growth driver. Shares remain up 24% over the last year, trailing Nvidia’s 102% surge and Meta’s 69% rise.
Investment Insight
Apple’s growth challenges highlight risks tied to its reliance on iPhone sales and the Chinese market. Investors may look to Apple’s Services segment and upcoming product launches for stability while monitoring broader AI-driven industry dynamics.
Market price: Apple Inc (AAPL): USD 237.59
Australia Faces Life-Threatening Floods as Storms Intensify
Australia is bracing for severe weather, with six storms brewing across its territories. One system in Queensland is expected to bring gale-force winds and potentially life-threatening flooding, with up to half a meter of rain forecast in 24 hours. Three other tropical lows have moderate chances of developing into cyclones by Monday, though they are not expected to cause onshore damage. The storm could disrupt Queensland’s sugarcane industry, a key export sector, while warmer ocean temperatures continue to fuel extreme weather. Australia’s cyclone season, ending in April, is expected to intensify amid climate-driven changes.
Investment Insight
Agriculture, mining, and energy sectors face heightened risks from Australia’s worsening weather. Investors should monitor sugarcane supply disruptions and potential hits to mining infrastructure, especially in cyclone-prone regions. Climate resilience strategies may present long-term opportunities.
Japan Considers $44 Billion Alaska LNG Pipeline to Ease US Trade Tensions
Japan is weighing support for a $44 billion Alaska LNG pipeline to court U.S. President Donald Trump and reduce trade friction. The project, which would transport gas 800 miles for liquefaction and export to Asia, aligns with Trump’s push for U.S. energy dominance. While Japan doubts the project’s economic viability, it may pledge exploratory support alongside increased U.S. gas purchases and defense investments to stave off potential tariffs. The pipeline could help Japan diversify energy supplies away from Russia and the Middle East, but any commitments will hinge on pricing and flexibility.
Investment Insight
Energy infrastructure players like Mitsubishi and Mitsui may benefit from Japan’s potential involvement in the Alaska LNG project, though risks remain tied to project feasibility. Investors should watch for developments in U.S.-Japan trade relations, which could impact broader markets, including energy and LNG shipping.
Conclusion
DeepSeek’s disruptive AI innovation underscores a shift toward cost-efficient models, sparking ripples across tech and semiconductor markets. Apple’s earnings highlight ongoing challenges in its core iPhone and China segments, while severe weather in Australia threatens key industries, emphasizing the growing impact of climate risks. Japan’s potential support for the Alaska LNG pipeline reflects broader geopolitical and energy diversification strategies amid global trade tensions. Together, these stories reveal a dynamic landscape where technological breakthroughs, environmental challenges, and shifting global alliances are reshaping industries and investment opportunities, urging stakeholders to adapt to rapidly evolving market and geopolitical realities.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
January 31, 2025: Tokyo CPI, Japan jobless claims, US PCE inflation
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Jan 30, 2025
Date Issued – 30th January 2025
Tesla Earnings: Spotlight on Self-Driving and Robotaxi Updates
Tesla is set to release Q4 earnings today, with investors closely watching for updates on self-driving initiatives, robotaxis, and affordable EV models. Analysts expect adjusted EPS of $0.75 and revenue of $27.21 billion. While Tesla’s stock is down 1.4% year-to-date, some analysts remain bullish, citing potential growth in AI and autonomous driving. Wedbush Securities predicts Tesla could reach a $2 trillion market cap by 2025, while Morningstar warns of delays in robotaxi rollouts and labels the stock overvalued. Morgan Stanley sees Tesla as an “embodied AI ETF,” benefiting from favorable U.S. policies, with RBC anticipating margin growth from wider FSD adoption.
Investment Insight:
Tesla’s long-term growth hinges on its AI-driven autonomy and affordability strategy. Short-term risks include overvaluation and potential production delays, but favorable policies and AI advancements could drive significant upside.
Market Price: Tesla Inc (TSLA): USD 389.10
Roche Beats 2024 Estimates, Expects Growth in 2025
Swiss pharma giant Roche exceeded 2024 expectations, reporting 7% sales growth at constant currencies, driven by its pharmaceuticals and diagnostics divisions. Core earnings per share rose to 18.80 Swiss francs, above analyst expectations of 18.59 francs. However, net profit fell to 9.19 billion francs from 12.36 billion. For 2025, Roche forecasts mid-single-digit sales growth and high-single-digit EPS growth, with plans to increase its dividend from 9.70 francs per share. The company remains optimistic about steady growth in the year ahead.
Investment Insight:
Roche’s strong core earnings and dividend growth signal resilience, but declining net profit warrants caution. Investors should focus on its performance in high-margin divisions and how currency fluctuations may impact future results.
Market Price: Roche Holding AG Genussscheine (ROG): CHF 280.80
Conclusion
Markets remain focused on central bank actions, with the BOJ and BoE setting the tone for currency and equity movements. Corporate updates highlight confidence, as Sanofi’s buyback and Roche’s steady growth outlook signal resilience in healthcare, while Tesla’s earnings could reveal key advancements in AI and autonomy. Investors should stay alert to policy shifts, fiscal pressures, and evolving sector dynamics. With mixed signals across regions and industries, near-term caution is warranted, but opportunities in innovation-driven sectors like AI and pharma remain compelling for long-term growth. Keep an eye on company strategies and macroeconomic developments shaping the investment landscape.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- January 30, 2025: US GDP, Jobless claims; Apple, Deutsche Bank, Shell earnings
- January 31, 2025: Tokyo CPI, Japan jobless claims, US PCE inflation

ASML Shares Soar on Strong Q4 Bookings
ASML shares jumped 8.7% in Frankfurt trading Wednesday after reporting better-than-expected Q4 bookings of €7.08 billion, driven by strong demand for its advanced chip-making tools. The results helped ease investor concerns following recent losses tied to the DeepSeek AI model’s market impact. Analysts at Jefferies noted the robust backlog alleviates 2025 growth worries, though uncertainties around 2026 remain.
Investment Insight:
ASML’s strong bookings highlight enduring demand for advanced semiconductor equipment. However, investors should remain cautious about long-term growth projections amid broader industry uncertainties.
Volkswagen Weighs US Production for Audi, Porsche Amid Tariff Threats
Volkswagen is exploring US production sites for its Audi and Porsche brands to mitigate potential tariffs threatened by President Donald Trump, according to Handelsblatt. Unlike VW’s core brand, Audi and Porsche currently lack US-based production, leaving them vulnerable to trade barriers. The move could safeguard the luxury brands from heightened costs and maintain their competitiveness in the US market. Volkswagen has not commented on the report.
Investment Insight:
Tariff threats underscore the importance of localized production for global automakers. Investors should monitor VW’s expansion plans, which could reduce trade risks and strengthen its foothold in the US premium car market.
Conclusion
Markets remain in flux as investors balance optimism in tech and energy sectors with looming uncertainties. Strong Q4 results from ASML and Nvidia’s rebound highlight resilience in semiconductor and AI-driven industries, while bitcoin’s rise reflects growing institutional interest. The Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision adds another layer of anticipation, with potential signals on future rate cuts. Meanwhile, Volkswagen’s US production plans underscore the importance of mitigating geopolitical risks. As volatility persists, investors should focus on sectors demonstrating both adaptability and long-term growth potential while staying alert to shifting macroeconomic and regulatory dynamics.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- January 30, 2025: US GDP, Jobless claims; Apple, Deutsche Bank, Shell earnings
- January 31, 2025: Tokyo CPI, Japan jobless claims, US PCE inflation
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Jan 29, 2025
Date Issued – 29th January 2025
Preview
Markets rallied as tech stocks rebounded, with the Nasdaq 100 up 1.6%, led by Nvidia’s 8.9% surge. Asian and European equities followed suit, as investors shifted focus to the Federal Reserve’s rate decision and US mega-cap earnings. ASML shares soared 8.7% on strong Q4 bookings, easing near-term growth concerns. Bitcoin climbed to record highs as the Czech central bank considered holding 5% of its reserves in the cryptocurrency, signaling rising institutional adoption. US power stocks recovered after Monday’s AI-driven selloff, though long-term energy demand remains uncertain. Meanwhile, Volkswagen is exploring US production sites for Audi and Porsche to mitigate tariff risks, reflecting the growing importance of localized manufacturing.
Tech Stocks Rebound as Markets Brace for Fed Decision
Asian stocks and European futures climbed, following a tech-led rebound on Wall Street. The Nasdaq 100 gained 1.6%, driven by Nvidia’s 8.9% rally after its historic single-day loss. Investors shrugged off concerns about Chinese AI startup DeepSeek, shifting focus to the Federal Reserve’s rate decision and US mega-cap earnings. Analysts expect the Fed to hold rates steady, with bond traders eyeing signs of potential rate cuts in March. Meanwhile, ASML’s strong order bookings and easing Australian inflation captured markets’ attention. Sony also announced Hiroki Totoki as its new CEO, boosting its stock to record highs.
Investment Insight:
Tech remains a key driver, but discerning stock selection is critical as AI-driven gains become less straightforward. Monitor Fed signals for rate-cut cues and focus on resilient sectors as volatility persists.
Czech Central Bank Eyes Bitcoin Reserves Amid Rate Cut Outlook
Czech National Bank Governor Ales Michl plans to propose holding up to 5% of the bank’s €140 billion reserves in bitcoin, citing its potential for asset diversification. The plan, if approved, could make the Czech central bank one of the first to invest significantly in the cryptocurrency. Michl also indicated a likely 25-basis-point rate cut next week. Bitcoin has surged to record highs recently, fueled by regulatory approval of spot-price ETFs and optimism over crypto-friendly policies under U.S. President Donald Trump.
Investment Insight:
Bitcoin’s growing institutional adoption signals its rising credibility as an alternative asset. However, central bank moves into crypto carry risks—investors should weigh long-term volatility against diversification benefits.
Power Stocks Rebound After DeepSeek AI Model Sparks Industry Uncertainty
US power stocks tied to AI demand rebounded Tuesday after sharp losses triggered by the release of DeepSeek’s cheaper, competitive AI model. Constellation Energy gained 1%, Vistra Corp surged 9%, and GE Vernova rose 7%, recovering from steep declines the day before. The selloff followed concerns over whether AI-driven energy demand growth would sustain its earlier momentum. While analysts see medium-term stability in data center deployments, long-term energy usage forecasts remain speculative as AI technologies evolve and become more efficient.
Investment Insight:
AI-driven energy demand remains a key growth driver for power stocks, but uncertainties about longer-term trends call for cautious optimism. Focus on companies with diversified energy portfolios and infrastructure investments.

ASML Shares Soar on Strong Q4 Bookings
ASML shares jumped 8.7% in Frankfurt trading Wednesday after reporting better-than-expected Q4 bookings of €7.08 billion, driven by strong demand for its advanced chip-making tools. The results helped ease investor concerns following recent losses tied to the DeepSeek AI model’s market impact. Analysts at Jefferies noted the robust backlog alleviates 2025 growth worries, though uncertainties around 2026 remain.
Investment Insight:
ASML’s strong bookings highlight enduring demand for advanced semiconductor equipment. However, investors should remain cautious about long-term growth projections amid broader industry uncertainties.
Volkswagen Weighs US Production for Audi, Porsche Amid Tariff Threats
Volkswagen is exploring US production sites for its Audi and Porsche brands to mitigate potential tariffs threatened by President Donald Trump, according to Handelsblatt. Unlike VW’s core brand, Audi and Porsche currently lack US-based production, leaving them vulnerable to trade barriers. The move could safeguard the luxury brands from heightened costs and maintain their competitiveness in the US market. Volkswagen has not commented on the report.
Investment Insight:
Tariff threats underscore the importance of localized production for global automakers. Investors should monitor VW’s expansion plans, which could reduce trade risks and strengthen its foothold in the US premium car market.
Conclusion
Markets remain in flux as investors balance optimism in tech and energy sectors with looming uncertainties. Strong Q4 results from ASML and Nvidia’s rebound highlight resilience in semiconductor and AI-driven industries, while bitcoin’s rise reflects growing institutional interest. The Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision adds another layer of anticipation, with potential signals on future rate cuts. Meanwhile, Volkswagen’s US production plans underscore the importance of mitigating geopolitical risks. As volatility persists, investors should focus on sectors demonstrating both adaptability and long-term growth potential while staying alert to shifting macroeconomic and regulatory dynamics.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- January 29, 2025: US rate decision, Australia CPI; Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, ASML earnings
- January 30, 2025: US GDP, Jobless claims; Apple, Deutsche Bank, Shell earnings
- January 31, 2025: Tokyo CPI, Japan jobless claims, US PCE inflation
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.