Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 20, 2025
Date Issued – 20th March 2025
Preview
Asian markets rallied as the Federal Reserve signaled potential rate cuts later this year, while copper surged past $10,000 per ton amid tariff concerns. The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index hit a four-month high, supported by gains in Taiwan, Australia, and South Korea, though Chinese stocks lagged. Swap markets across Asia priced in further rate cuts, with Indian and Thai bonds benefiting from disinflation and a weaker dollar.
In the U.S., Treasury yields fell as Fed Chair Powell acknowledged growth risks, reinforcing expectations for at least two rate cuts in 2025. Meanwhile, copper’s rally, fueled by U.S. tariff threats and global supply disruptions, highlighted trade tensions’ impact on commodities. Investors are eyeing opportunities in emerging market bonds, U.S. tech stocks, and industrial metals, while monitoring trade policy and monetary easing strategies.
Asian Markets Rally as Fed Signals Dovish Stance
Asian equities climbed alongside U.S. futures after the Federal Reserve signaled potential rate cuts later this year, easing concerns about inflationary pressures from tariffs. The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index surged to its highest since November, with gains in Taiwan, Australia, and South Korea, while Chinese stocks lagged amid tech sector weakness. Copper prices surpassed $10,000 a ton on tariff fears, while the U.S. dollar held near recent lows. In contrast, European futures edged lower, and the Australian dollar dipped following a surprise drop in employment data. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s measured tone on inflation and recession risks buoyed investor sentiment, supporting a bond rally and boosting rate-cut expectations.
Investment Insight
The Fed’s dovish commentary signals a favorable backdrop for risk assets, particularly in emerging markets, as dollar weakness could drive capital inflows. However, investors should remain cautious on Chinese equities, where stretched valuations and regulatory risks persist. U.S. tech stocks may offer better near-term risk-reward opportunities following their recent correction. Diversifying exposure to industrial metals like copper could also benefit portfolios amid rising tariff-driven supply concerns.
Asian Swaps Signal Growing Bets on Rate Cuts Amid Dollar Weakness
Swap markets across Asia are increasingly pricing in further interest-rate cuts as a weakening U.S. dollar strengthens regional currencies, creating room for central banks to focus on growth. Indian swaps are factoring in 37 basis points of additional easing, supported by lower-than-target inflation and falling oil prices. Malaysian swaps now fully expect a 25-basis-point reduction within 12 months, reflecting trade risks from U.S. semiconductor tariffs. Meanwhile, Thai baht swaps indicate 48 basis points of cuts over the next year, despite the Bank of Thailand’s cautious tone. Widespread disinflation across Asia and the potential economic impact of U.S. tariff measures are fueling the dovish outlook.
Investment Insight
Currency strength and disinflation provide central banks in Asia with the flexibility to ease monetary policy, improving the outlook for local bonds. Investors should consider increasing exposure to Asian fixed income, particularly in India and Thailand, which stand to benefit from lower rates and export vulnerabilities. Caution is warranted for Malaysia, where trade-dependent sectors face risks from U.S. tariffs. A diversified approach to regional bonds could capture opportunities as monetary easing accelerates.

Bond Market Rallies as Fed Flags Growth Concerns
U.S. Treasury yields fell after the Federal Reserve signaled heightened economic uncertainty and potential interest-rate cuts later this year, supporting the ongoing bond rally. Two-year yields dropped 7 basis points to 3.97%, while 10-year yields slid to 4.25%. The Fed’s revised growth forecast and assurance that inflationary impacts from tariffs are “transitory” reinforced market expectations of at least two rate cuts in 2025, although policymakers remain divided. Equity markets rallied alongside bonds, with the S&P 500 gaining over 1% as Fed Chair Jerome Powell balanced optimism about economic resilience with caution over elevated uncertainty.
Investment Insight
The Fed’s acknowledgment of growth risks and its dovish tone strengthen the case for fixed-income exposure, particularly in short-duration Treasuries, which are more sensitive to rate cuts. However, with policymakers signaling a measured approach to easing, investors should manage expectations for aggressive rate reductions. Diversifying into high-quality corporate bonds or duration-neutral strategies could help balance potential volatility as markets navigate uncertain monetary policy dynamics.
Copper Surges Past $10,000 Amid Tariff-Fueled Supply Disruptions
Copper prices soared above $10,000 a ton on the London Metal Exchange, reaching their highest level since October, as U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff threats disrupted global trade flows. Anticipation of a 25% import duty on copper has led traders to divert supplies to the U.S., creating shortages elsewhere and fueling a 27% year-to-date rally in Comex copper prices. The weaker dollar and ongoing supply chain constraints, including smelter bottlenecks and rising demand from green industries, have further supported the rally.
Copper equities responded strongly, with MMG Ltd. and Jiangxi Copper Co. rising over 8% and 4%, respectively. The metal’s ascent highlights the broader impact of trade tensions on global commodities, as U.S. manufacturers face rising costs.
Investment Insight
Copper’s rally underscores the metal’s dual role as a barometer for global trade tensions and a critical input for green energy industries. Investors should consider exposure to copper producers and ETFs tied to industrial metals, which stand to benefit from sustained price strength. However, the tariff-driven rally may introduce volatility, making it prudent to monitor developments in U.S. trade policy closely. Diversification across base metals could help manage risks as global supply chains remain under pressure.
Bank of England Holds Rates Amid Economic Uncertainty
The Bank of England is expected to maintain its main interest rate at 4.50% on Thursday, despite sluggish economic growth and rising inflationary pressures. U.K. inflation hit a 10-month high of 3% in January, with forecasts suggesting it could climb to 4% in the coming months due to higher payroll taxes and a steep minimum wage increase. While the central bank has cut rates three times since August, policymakers appear to be adopting a cautious approach, likely deferring further easing until May.
Economic challenges are compounded by concerns over U.S. tariff policies, which threaten to weaken global growth and exacerbate price pressures.
Investment Insight
The Bank of England’s decision to hold rates highlights its balancing act between curbing inflation and supporting economic growth. Investors should monitor May’s policy update for clearer guidance on rate cuts. Rising inflation could pressure U.K. equities, particularly consumer-facing sectors, while global trade tensions could weigh on the nation’s export-oriented industries. Fixed income investors may find opportunities in gilts, as prolonged economic uncertainty could boost demand for safer assets. Diversifying exposure across sectors and geographies remains prudent amid these risks.
Conclusion
Global markets are navigating a landscape shaped by dovish central bank signals, trade tensions, and shifting growth dynamics. The Federal Reserve’s cautious outlook has bolstered both equities and bonds, while a weaker dollar is paving the way for monetary easing in Asia. Copper’s surge underscores the broader impact of tariff concerns on commodities and supply chains.
Investors should remain strategic, balancing opportunities in emerging market bonds, industrial metals, and U.S. tech stocks with the risks posed by economic uncertainty and policy volatility. As markets respond to these developments, diversification and close monitoring of macro trends will be key.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- March 20th, 2025: Australia unemployment, China loan prime rates, Switzerland rate decision, Taiwan rate decision, UK rate decision, US jobless claims
- March 21st, 2025: Japan CPI
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 19, 2025
Date Issued – 19th March 2025
Preview
Asian markets dipped ahead of the Fed’s policy decision as traders exercised caution, while gold hit a record high, reflecting demand for safe-haven assets. India joined the global steel tariff wave, aiming to shield domestic producers from surging Chinese exports, with steelmaker shares rallying on the news. Oil prices extended losses for a second day, pressured by rising U.S. crude inventories and trade tensions, while geopolitical risks in Ukraine added to market uncertainty.
Meanwhile, Tencent’s upcoming earnings and AI strategy updates are in focus, as investors look for clarity on its growth potential amid rising valuations. Geopolitical tensions remain heightened after Russian President Putin rejected a full Ukraine ceasefire, with ongoing conflict likely to sustain volatility in energy and defense markets. Investors are advised to monitor developments closely and maintain cautious positioning across sectors.
Asian Markets Retreat Ahead of Fed Decision
Asian equities reversed a three-day rally as traders exercised caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. Japanese and South Korean stocks edged higher, but declines in Chinese equities dragged a regional benchmark into negative territory. Meanwhile, gold extended its record-breaking run above $3,030 an ounce, reflecting heightened demand for safe-haven assets. Futures for the S&P 500 and European stocks ticked up after Tuesday’s losses, though uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies and recession fears continues to weigh on sentiment.
The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady, with investors keenly watching Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference for clarity on the central bank’s economic outlook amid trade-related headwinds. Elsewhere, the yen weakened as the Bank of Japan reiterated its cautious stance on global trade risks, while Chinese banks cut consumer loan rates to bolster growth.
Investment Insight
With markets on edge ahead of the Fed’s decision, investors should brace for heightened volatility, particularly in equity and currency markets. Safe-haven assets like gold may remain attractive in the near term, given persistent trade uncertainties and geopolitical risks. However, any dovish signals from the Fed or its dot plot update could provide a short-term boost to risk assets. Cautious positioning in diversified portfolios is recommended as central banks globally navigate an increasingly complex economic backdrop.
India Joins Global Steel Tariff Wave Amid Surging Chinese Exports
India is set to impose temporary 12% safeguard tariffs on a range of steel imports, joining a global trend of protectionist measures as nations respond to a steel glut fueled by record Chinese exports. The Commerce Ministry stated the tariffs, aimed at preventing damage to domestic producers, will initially apply for 200 days pending further review. This move follows President Donald Trump’s recent 25% steel import duties, which threaten to redirect excess Chinese steel to other markets. Shares of Indian steelmakers, including Steel Authority of India Ltd. and Tata Steel Ltd., rallied on the news.
With Indian steel output rapidly expanding, the tariffs are expected to offer short-term relief to domestic producers, though global oversupply remains a persistent challenge.
Investment Insight
The imposition of steel tariffs in India signals increasing trade protectionism amid global supply-demand imbalances. Investors in the steel sector should monitor how these measures stabilize domestic prices and impact producer margins. While Indian steelmakers stand to gain in the near term, global oversupply and slowing demand continue to pose structural risks. Diversified exposure across geographies and industries could help mitigate volatility as global trade tensions escalate.

Oil Extends Losses Amid Rising Stockpiles and Trade Tensions
Oil prices fell for a second consecutive day as U.S. crude stockpiles rose by 4.6 million barrels, according to industry data, adding pressure to a market already weighed down by trade tensions and macroeconomic concerns. Brent crude slipped toward $70 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate hovered near $66. Investors are bracing for official inventory data and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later on Wednesday, as a risk-off sentiment persists across markets. Weak Chinese demand, escalating U.S.-China trade frictions, and OPEC’s plans to increase output further dampen the outlook for crude, despite ongoing geopolitical risks, including heightened tensions involving Iran and Ukraine.
Investment Insight
Oil markets are confronting a confluence of bearish factors, from oversupply concerns to slowing global demand. While short-term geopolitical risks may occasionally lift prices, investors should remain cautious, as weaker macroeconomic conditions and rising inventories could cap any sustained rebound. Energy sector exposure may be best approached selectively, focusing on resilient firms with strong balance sheets that can weather prolonged price volatility.
Tencent’s AI Ambitions in Focus as Chinese Tech Stocks Rally
Tencent Holdings Ltd. is set to report its strongest quarterly revenue growth in over a year, with investors closely watching its plans to capitalize on AI to complement its gaming, advertising, and WeChat businesses. While Tencent’s stock has gained 30% this year amid a broader Chinese tech recovery, it still trails Alibaba’s surge driven by AI investments. Analysts expect updates on Tencent’s AI strategy, including potential capital expenditures to rival Alibaba’s $53 billion AI commitment, to be pivotal for investor sentiment.
Tencent’s new AI services, built on its Hunyuan3D-2.0 model, aim to enhance monetization across its ecosystem, fueling optimism for long-term growth. However, with shares trading at 20 times forward earnings, rising valuations may require concrete financial performance and double-digit growth guidance to sustain momentum.
Investment Insight
Tencent’s ability to leverage AI to boost monetization and user retention will be critical to re-rating its stock higher amid rising valuations. Investors should assess Tencent’s capital allocation strategy, particularly in AI, and its ability to deliver margin expansion. While the stock has room to grow, near-term gains hinge on robust earnings guidance and execution. Broader exposure to China’s tech sector could benefit from Beijing’s stimulus measures, but caution is warranted as competition and elevated valuations may limit upside potential.
Market price: Tencent Holdings Ltd (HKG: 0700): HKD 539.50
Putin Rejects Ceasefire as Trump Declares Progress in Ukraine Talks
Russian President Vladimir Putin dismissed U.S. President Donald Trump’s demand for a 30-day ceasefire in Ukraine, agreeing instead to limit attacks on energy infrastructure. Despite the setback, Trump framed the call as a win, emphasizing progress toward broader peace negotiations. U.S. officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, are set to continue talks in Saudi Arabia to refine details for a potential ceasefire.
Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy expressed skepticism, noting continued Russian drone attacks on Kyiv, and called for global rejection of Putin’s attempts to prolong the conflict. Meanwhile, European allies, including the UK and EU, reaffirmed plans to accelerate arms shipments to Ukraine, underscoring divisions in diplomatic approaches.
Investment Insight
The lack of immediate resolution in Ukraine signals continued geopolitical uncertainty, with implications for energy markets, defense sectors, and European equities. Investors should monitor developments closely, as prolonged conflict could sustain elevated energy prices and defense spending. Companies with exposure to renewable energy and defense production may see increased demand, while European industries reliant on stable geopolitical conditions could face headwinds. Diversifying portfolios to mitigate geopolitical risks remains prudent.
Conclusion
Markets remain on edge as geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties dominate the global landscape. From the Federal Reserve’s policy direction to escalating trade protectionism and surging energy stockpiles, investors face a complex web of risks. Asian markets, oil prices, and steel tariffs highlight the fragility of economic recovery, while Tencent’s AI investment plans underscore the opportunity in tech despite elevated valuations.
Meanwhile, the Ukraine conflict continues to weigh on sentiment, sustaining volatility in energy and defense sectors. In this environment, a cautious, diversified approach remains essential as markets navigate competing forces of risk and opportunity.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- March 19th, 2025: US Fed rate decision, Eurozone CPI, Brazil rate decision; Japan rate decision, industrial production
- March 20th, 2025: Australia unemployment, China loan prime rates, Switzerland rate decision, Taiwan rate decision, UK rate decision, US jobless claims
- March 21st, 2025: Japan CPI
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 18, 2025
Date Issued – 18th March 2025
Preview
Global markets are seeing a shift in sentiment as European stocks prepare to follow Asia’s rally, with the MSCI Asia Pacific Index up for a third consecutive session and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng reaching a three-year high on optimism around China’s economic recovery. Gold hit a record $3,017 per ounce amid geopolitical tensions and US slowdown fears, while oil extended gains on Middle East concerns. In corporate news, BYD shares soared to a record after unveiling ultra-fast EV charging technology, and Nvidia’s GTC conference is in focus as investors await updates on AI and next-gen chips to reverse a 20% stock decline. Meanwhile, Indonesia’s market tumbled on fiscal worries, and the Fed’s upcoming policy meeting adds a layer of caution for investors managing global risk exposure.
European Stocks Track Asian Rally Amid Global Rebalancing
European markets are set to follow Asia’s lead, with Euro Stoxx 50 futures rising 0.5% after a robust session in Asia, where the MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed for a third day. Hong Kong surged over 2%, driven by Chinese tech stocks as investors pivot toward non-US assets following a US equity correction earlier this month. Meanwhile, Germany’s proposed fiscal expansion, featuring billions in debt-financed infrastructure and defense spending, has further bolstered European sentiment. Gold hit a record high above $3,017 an ounce amid lingering uncertainties, while the US 10-year Treasury yield steadied ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting. Elsewhere, Indonesian stocks suffered their worst single-day drop in over a decade, triggering a temporary trading halt. Oil extended its rally on heightened Middle East tensions, and the dollar strengthened slightly, gaining 0.1%.
Investment Insight:
The global shift toward non-US assets signals a strategic reallocation opportunity for investors. Europe’s fiscal expansion and Asia’s tech-driven rally suggest a favorable environment for selective exposure to these regions, particularly in Chinese technology and German infrastructure sectors. However, caution remains warranted as US retail sales data and Fed projections point to a slowing US economy, keeping valuations under scrutiny. Gold’s record high underscores persistent risk aversion, making it a potential hedge as markets navigate geopolitical and policy uncertainties. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings and policy decisions closely to refine positioning in this volatile macro backdrop.
Gold Hits Record High Amid Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty
Gold surged to a historic high above $3,017 an ounce, boosted by escalating Middle East tensions and concerns over a slowing US economy. Israel’s military strikes on Hamas targets in Gaza rattled markets, reinforcing gold’s haven appeal. Meanwhile, softer-than-expected US retail sales data for February added to the cautious sentiment, as consumer spending showed signs of strain. Despite this, traders remain uncertain over the Federal Reserve’s rate trajectory, with expectations for near-term rate cuts largely unchanged. Gold’s year-to-date rise of over 14% underscores its role as a preferred store of value in an environment of geopolitical risks and economic uncertainty. Other precious metals, including silver, platinum, and palladium, also traded higher.
Investment Insight:
Gold’s record-breaking rally highlights its enduring role as a hedge against geopolitical instability and economic headwinds. With the metal’s upward momentum bolstered by both rising Middle East tensions and a weakening US growth outlook, investors may consider increasing exposure to gold and related assets as part of a defensive strategy. However, with prices already at historic highs, future gains may depend on the persistence of these risks. Diversifying into other precious metals, which have yet to see similar surges, could provide additional upside potential while balancing portfolio risk.

Hong Kong Stocks Surge to Three-Year High on China Optimism
The Hang Seng Index climbed 2% on Tuesday, reaching a three-year high and extending its year-to-date gain to 23%, the strongest performance among major global markets. Investors cheered China’s recent retail sales data and new measures to boost domestic consumption, including childcare subsidies and a “special action plan.” Asian markets broadly followed suit, with the MSCI Asia Pacific Index rising 1%. The positive momentum is expected to carry into European trading as futures for the Euro Stoxx 50 and DAX gained 0.35% and 0.43%, respectively. Meanwhile, mainland Chinese stocks posted modest gains, and the yuan hovered near its strongest levels of the year. In contrast, Indonesia’s Jakarta Index tumbled 7%, weighed down by fiscal concerns and trade tensions.
Investment Insight:
China’s economic recovery and policy-driven boost to consumption present compelling opportunities for investors seeking growth exposure. Hong Kong’s outperformance underscores the region’s appeal, particularly in sectors tied to domestic demand and financial flows. Elevated sentiment in Europe and Asia signals a shift in investor focus toward non-US markets, especially as US growth slows. However, risks from geopolitical developments and trade tensions remain, making diversification across markets and asset classes a prudent strategy. Currencies tied to China’s economy, such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars, may also offer tactical opportunities for short-term gains.
BYD Stock Hits Record High on Game-Changing EV Charging Technology
BYD shares surged as much as 6% in Hong Kong on Tuesday, reaching a record valuation of nearly $162 billion—surpassing Ford, GM, and Volkswagen combined. The rally followed the company’s unveiling of an ultra-fast charging system capable of delivering 400 kilometers (249 miles) of range in just five minutes, showcased in its new Han L sedan. The groundbreaking technology directly addresses one of the biggest hurdles to EV adoption—charging time—positioning BYD as a leader in the increasingly competitive EV market. BYD plans to roll out over 4,000 dedicated charging stations across China to support the new technology. With a 161% year-over-year jump in February sales, BYD continues to expand its dominance as China’s leading automaker, with a market share nearing 15%.
Investment Insight:
BYD’s technological leap in charging speed could redefine the EV landscape, offering a significant advantage over rivals like Tesla and Mercedes-Benz. The ability to charge an EV as quickly as refueling a gas-powered car may accelerate the transition from internal combustion engines to EVs, boosting BYD’s market share in China and beyond. Investors should note BYD’s strategic shift from price competition to innovation-driven differentiation, which could enhance margins and sustain long-term growth. While competition in EV charging infrastructure remains fierce, BYD’s investment in proprietary networks could solidify its leadership. This innovation-led momentum positions BYD as a strong contender for global EV dominance, making it an attractive long-term investment in the sector.
Market price: BYD Ord Shs H (HKG:1211): HKD 402.20
Nvidia’s GTC Conference in Focus as Investors Seek AI-Driven Catalyst
Nvidia’s annual GPU Technology Conference (GTC), highlighted by CEO Jensen Huang’s keynote, has captured Wall Street’s attention as the chipmaker looks to regain momentum following a 20% drop from its January peak. Investors are anticipating significant updates, particularly on Nvidia’s next-generation Blackwell GPUs, advancements in quantum computing, and partnerships in robotics, automotive, and cloud AI adoption. Analysts at Bank of America and Melius Research have reiterated their “buy” ratings, citing optimism around Nvidia’s innovation pipeline and potential for a 10% quarter-over-quarter growth trajectory. While macroeconomic headwinds persist, including China-related volatility, the event is expected to reaffirm Nvidia’s leadership in AI and provide a badly needed boost to its stock.
Investment Insight:
Nvidia’s upcoming product cycle, led by Blackwell GPUs and quantum computing advancements, underscores its continued dominance in AI-driven technology. Despite recent stock volatility, Nvidia remains well-positioned to capitalize on growing demand for AI infrastructure, particularly as cloud and enterprise adoption accelerates. Current valuations, which are 41% lower than during the peak of AI excitement in 2022, may present a compelling entry point for long-term investors. However, near-term risks, including competitive pressure in China and broader market uncertainty, warrant a cautious approach. Investors should monitor GTC announcements closely, as breakthroughs in product innovation could serve as a strong catalyst for recovery.
Market price: NVIDIA Corp (NVDA): USD 119.53
Conclusion
Markets are navigating a mix of optimism and caution as investors respond to shifting global dynamics. While Asia’s rally and China’s economic recovery provide reasons for optimism, geopolitical tensions and US economic uncertainty are keeping risk sentiment balanced. Corporate innovation is taking center stage, with BYD’s EV breakthrough and Nvidia’s AI updates offering potential catalysts. Gold’s record high and oil’s extended rally underscore a cautious approach as investors seek safe havens amid volatility. As the Federal Reserve prepares its next move, staying attuned to policy updates and macro trends will be key for navigating an increasingly complex landscape.
Upcoming Dates to Watch:
- March 18th, 2025: Canada CPI; US Housing starts, import price index
- March 19th, 2025: US Fed rate decision, Eurozone CPI, Brazil rate decision; Japan rate decision, industrial production
- March 20th, 2025: Australia unemployment, China loan prime rates, Switzerland rate decision, Taiwan rate decision, UK rate decision, US jobless claims
- March 21st, 2025: Japan CPI
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 17, 2025
Date Issued – 17th March 2025
Preview
Global Markets Enter a High-Stakes Week
Global markets enter a high-stakes week, with key central bank rate decisions—including the Federal Reserve, Swiss National Bank, and Bank of England—alongside critical economic data releases. Asian equities began on a positive note, supported by strong Chinese consumption data, though mixed signals from China’s property market tempered optimism.
Oil prices extended gains on hopes of rising Chinese demand, while gold surged past $3,000/oz for the first time, reflecting safe-haven demand amid economic uncertainty. Meanwhile, South Korea’s chip exports plunged as US tech curbs bite, and Switzerland faces a tough rate decision with limited policy space. Investors brace for heightened volatility and shifting sentiment.
Asian Markets Gain Amid Mixed Signals From China; US Futures Dip
Asian equities climbed Monday, buoyed by stronger-than-expected Chinese consumption data, while US stock futures edged lower following remarks from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who dismissed recent market declines as a healthy correction.
Key Chinese indices showed mixed performance as optimism around consumption clashed with concerns over a deepening property slump. Oil prices extended gains on hopes for rising Chinese demand, while Treasuries inched higher with the 10-year yield easing to 4.30%. European futures saw a modest uptick, supported by Germany’s new spending plan, which also lifted the euro.
Meanwhile, investors are bracing for a pivotal week of central bank meetings, with the Fed, BOJ, and BOE expected to provide crucial policy signals.
Investment Insight
China’s renewed focus on boosting domestic consumption presents opportunities for investors, particularly in consumer, travel, and healthcare sectors. However, lingering risks from the property market and export headwinds warrant cautious optimism.
For US markets, the Treasury Secretary’s dismissal of equity volatility underscores a broader expectation of resilience amid policy shifts. Investors should monitor upcoming central bank decisions for cues on global liquidity and growth trajectories.
Oil Prices Rise Amid China’s Economic Stimulus Plans and Red Sea Tensions
Oil extended its gains Monday, with Brent crude climbing above $71 per barrel and WTI nearing $68, as China pledged fresh measures to boost income and consumption.
Optimism over demand from the world’s largest crude importer was tempered by geopolitical risks, with the US launching military strikes on Yemen’s Houthi militants after Red Sea shipping routes were targeted.
Despite the recent uptick, oil remains over $10 below its January highs, weighed down by easing supply concerns, escalating US-China trade tensions, and expectations of slower demand growth. Goldman Sachs cut its year-end Brent forecast to $71, citing downside risks tied to tariffs and OPEC+ production increases.
Investment Insight
China’s stimulus plans could provide a short-term lift to oil demand, but global investors should remain cautious amid persistent macro headwinds, including geopolitical risks and trade uncertainties.
Energy markets are likely to see continued volatility, with US resilience and sanctions on Russia offering some support. Investors should focus on defensive plays in the energy sector and monitor OPEC+ policy shifts and broader economic signals for long-term positioning.

Gold Tops $3,000 as Safe-Haven Demand Soars; Key Levels to Watch
Gold surged past the $3,000/oz mark for the first time on Friday, driven by growing demand for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainty tied to US tariff policies. The yellow metal has gained 14% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which has fallen 8% over the same period.
Technical analysis suggests further upside potential, with a breakout from a pennant pattern pointing to a target of $3,365 per ounce in the coming months. However, profit-taking could drive short-term pullbacks, with key support levels at $2,833, $2,790, and $2,721 offering potential entry points for investors.
Investment Insight
Gold’s record-breaking rally underscores its appeal in times of economic and political volatility. While momentum remains strong, investors should approach with caution as overbought conditions could trigger short-term corrections. Establishing positions near key support levels may provide a more favorable risk-reward profile.
Longer-term, the combination of inflation fears and turbulent equity markets could sustain gold’s uptrend, making it a compelling hedge in diversified portfolios.
South Korea’s Chip Exports Tumble Amid US Curbs on China
South Korea’s semiconductor exports to China plunged 31.8% year-over-year in February, intensifying concerns over weakening global demand and escalating US restrictions on advanced technology exports to Beijing. This marked a sharper decline than January’s 22.5% contraction, signaling mounting pressure on South Korea’s chipmakers, including SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics.
The US has tightened export curbs on high-bandwidth memory chips, aiming to curb China’s progress in AI and advanced technologies. With semiconductor exports accounting for a significant portion of South Korea’s economy, the slowdown, coupled with weak private spending, poses a risk to economic growth in 2025.
Investment Insight
South Korea’s semiconductor sector faces a dual headwind of geopolitical restrictions and declining global demand, signaling potential earnings pressure for key players like SK Hynix and Samsung. Investors should monitor pricing trends in memory chips and geopolitical developments for clarity on long-term prospects.
Diversified exposure across regions and sectors may help mitigate risks tied to the US-China tech rivalry and South Korea’s economic vulnerabilities.
Swiss Central Bank Faces High-Stakes Rate Decision Amid Limited Policy Flexibility
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) faces a challenging decision this week as it weighs whether to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 0.25%—a move economists describe as a “coin toss.” While resilient economic growth, a weaker franc, and stable inflation argue for holding rates steady, global trade uncertainty driven by US tariffs increases the case for preemptive easing.
With limited room for further cuts before hitting zero, the SNB must carefully balance short-term economic risks against its longer-term policy arsenal. Markets remain on edge, with a 75% probability of a rate cut priced in, though SNB’s history of surprise moves keeps investors cautious.
Investment Insight
The SNB’s rate decision underscores the complexity of navigating limited policy tools amid global uncertainty. A cut could support Swiss growth in the face of trade risks but risks depleting future policy flexibility.
Investors should monitor the franc’s performance and export data closely, as these remain critical to Switzerland’s economic outlook. Positioning in sectors less sensitive to currency volatility and trade uncertainty could offer a hedge against potential market disruptions stemming from the SNB’s decision.
Conclusion
Global markets are navigating a complex landscape marked by geopolitical tensions, shifting economic policies, and central bank decisions. China’s efforts to stimulate consumption are offering pockets of optimism, but risks from trade disputes and slowing demand persist. Commodities like oil and gold reflect this uncertainty, with price movements driven by both safe-haven demand and supply dynamics.
Meanwhile, South Korea’s chip exports and Switzerland’s policy conundrum highlight the ripple effects of US trade restrictions. As investors assess central bank actions and macroeconomic signals this week, strategic positioning and a focus on diversification remain crucial in mitigating volatility and uncovering opportunities.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- March 17th, 2025: US retail sales
- March 18th, 2025: Canada CPI; US Housing starts, import price index
- March 19th, 2025: US Fed rate decision, Eurozone CPI, Brazil rate decision; Japan rate decision, industrial production
- March 20th, 2025: Australia unemployment, China loan prime rates, Switzerland rate decision, Taiwan rate decision, UK rate decision, US jobless claims
- March 21st, 2025: Japan CPI
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 14, 2025
Date Issued – 14th March 2025
Preview
Global markets steadied as optimism grew that the U.S. will avert a government shutdown, lifting equities after recent declines. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 remain in correction territory, while China’s CSI 300 hit a year-high on expectations of policy support. Gold surged near $3,000 an ounce, driven by escalating U.S. tariffs and safe-haven demand, with analysts forecasting further gains. Foxconn projected strong Q1 revenue despite a 13% Q4 profit decline, citing robust AI server and cloud demand amid trade risks. Meanwhile, CK Hutchison shares tumbled up to 6.7% after Beijing condemned its $22.8 billion port sale to a U.S.-led group, heightening geopolitical tensions. Investors are watching China’s upcoming economic briefing for stimulus details, as consumer stocks rallied on expectations of policy measures.
Markets Stabilize as US Shutdown Risks Recede
Global equities steadied Friday as optimism grew that the U.S. will avert a government shutdown, easing some investor anxiety after weeks of market declines. Asian stocks advanced, with China’s CSI 300 reaching a year-high, while U.S. and European futures pointed higher. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, both in correction territory, had fallen sharply on Thursday, shedding over 10% from recent peaks. Meanwhile, the dollar strengthened for a third consecutive session, and Treasury yields edged lower after a prior rally in haven assets. Traders remain cautious amid U.S. economic risks, including a potential recession and escalating trade tensions under President Trump’s tariff policies.
Investment Insight:
With the S&P 500 in correction territory, the potential for a short-term rebound is rising, particularly as extreme market moves often revert. Investors should watch for rotation opportunities, as capital flows indicate growing interest in Asian equities, especially Chinese A-shares. Meanwhile, persistent trade uncertainties and tightening liquidity conditions underscore the need for selective positioning in global markets.
CK Hutchison Shares Slide Amid Beijing’s Criticism of Port Sale
CK Hutchison shares tumbled as much as 6.7% on Friday after China’s Hong Kong and Macau Affairs Office publicly condemned the company’s $22.8 billion sale of its global port assets, including holdings along the Panama Canal, to a U.S.-led group. The state-owned Ta Kung Pao newspaper labeled the deal a “betrayal” of Chinese interests, amplifying investor concerns about Beijing’s stance. The backlash underscores rising geopolitical tensions as President Trump supports efforts to limit Chinese influence over critical infrastructure. Despite CK Hutchison’s assurances of operational independence, the selloff highlights market wariness over potential regulatory or retaliatory actions from China.
Investment Insight:
The sharp drop in CK Hutchison’s stock reflects the risks of geopolitical entanglements for multinational firms, particularly those with exposure to U.S.-China tensions. Investors should monitor potential regulatory fallout and shifts in Chinese policy toward Hong Kong-based businesses. In the near term, uncertainty over Beijing’s response may weigh on CK Hutchison’s valuation, while broader Hong Kong equities remain resilient, as evidenced by the 2.5% rise in the Hang Seng Index.
Market price: CK Hutchison Holdings Ltd (HKG: 0001): HKD 46.15
Gold Surges Toward $3,000 as Trade Tensions Fuel Safe-Haven Demand
Gold soared to a record high near $2,994 an ounce on Friday, driven by escalating trade tensions as President Trump’s tariff policies stoked concerns over global economic growth. The precious metal has gained 2.6% this week—its strongest advance since November—bolstered by central bank purchases, ETF inflows, and investor flight from risk assets. Futures in New York surpassed $3,000, underscoring bullion’s momentum amid market volatility, with the S&P 500 slipping into correction territory. Analysts see further upside, with Macquarie forecasting a potential rally to $3,500 in Q2. Gold producers, particularly in Asia-Pacific, benefited from the surge, with stocks like Evolution Mining Ltd. hitting record highs.
Investment Insight:
Gold’s rally underscores its role as a preferred hedge in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. With reciprocal tariffs set to take effect in Q2 and equity markets facing headwinds, the metal’s appeal remains strong. Investors should monitor central bank buying trends and ETF inflows, as sustained demand could push prices beyond the psychological $3,000 mark. However, any easing in trade tensions or a rebound in risk assets could temper gold’s momentum.

Foxconn Projects Strong Q1 Revenue Despite Profit Miss
Foxconn reported a 13% drop in fourth-quarter profit to T$46.33 billion ($1.41 billion), missing analyst expectations, but forecast strong revenue growth in Q1, particularly in consumer electronics and cloud products. The company’s record 15.2% revenue surge in Q4, driven by AI server demand, failed to offset pressure on margins. Trade tensions remain a headwind, as Foxconn’s major manufacturing hubs in China and Mexico face heightened U.S. tariffs. Despite challenges, the company is expanding its U.S. footprint, partnering with Apple to build a server assembly facility in Houston. Foxconn shares are down 8.7% year-to-date amid trade policy concerns.
Investment Insight:
Foxconn’s outlook signals resilience, with AI and cloud-related demand offsetting volatility in consumer electronics. However, geopolitical risks remain a key factor, as escalating U.S. tariffs could impact supply chain costs and profitability. Investors should watch for further updates on Foxconn’s U.S. expansion strategy, which may help mitigate trade risks. Despite near-term pressures, the company’s positioning in AI infrastructure could provide long-term upside.
Market price: Hon Hai Precision Industry Co Ltd. (TPE: 2317): TWD 170.00
Chinese Stocks Rally on Policy Optimism Ahead of Consumption Briefing
China’s CSI 300 Index surged 2.6% to a year-high on Friday as investors anticipated policy measures to boost consumption ahead of a government briefing scheduled for Monday. Consumer stocks led the gains, with liquor makers Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye Yibin jumping over 5%, while childcare-related shares hit the daily 10% limit after local governments announced subsidies. Authorities are expected to outline initiatives such as consumer trade-in programs, expanded social safety nets, and increased financing for service industries. The rally follows China’s renewed commitment to economic stimulus, including a 5% annual growth target set at the National People’s Congress.
Investment Insight:
While optimism around policy support has lifted Chinese equities, sustainability will depend on the specifics of upcoming stimulus measures. Investors should watch for details on income-boosting initiatives and consumer loan facilitation, as these could determine whether the rally extends. Short-term momentum favors consumer stocks, but long-term gains will require structural improvements in household spending power. Economic data releases on Monday could further shape sentiment, providing key insights into the strength of China’s recovery.
Conclusion
Markets remain at a crossroads as investors weigh policy risks against signs of resilience in key sectors. U.S. equities are searching for stability after entering correction territory, while Chinese stocks rally on stimulus expectations. Gold’s surge underscores persistent geopolitical uncertainty, with upcoming trade developments and economic data likely to shape sentiment. Foxconn’s outlook highlights both opportunities in AI and risks from escalating tariffs. Meanwhile, CK Hutchison’s selloff reflects the broader challenges facing multinational firms amid tightening regulatory scrutiny. As the week unfolds, attention turns to China’s economic briefing and U.S. policy shifts for clues on market direction.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- March 14th, 2025: France CPI, Germany CPI, UK industrial production
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 13, 2025
Date Issued – 13th March 2025
Preview
Asian equities extended losses as US growth concerns and trade tensions weighed on sentiment, with Wall Street strategists trimming forecasts. Intel shares surged over 11% after naming semiconductor veteran Lip-Bu Tan as CEO, amid speculation of a potential manufacturing business sale. Taiwan’s central bank warned of currency risks following record stock outflows, as TSMC shares dropped over 9% this year. Meanwhile, JPMorgan signaled the worst of the US equity correction may be over, citing resilient credit markets and sustained ETF inflows. Oil prices slipped despite strong demand forecasts, as rising OPEC+ production and renewed tariff threats from President Trump clouded the outlook.
Market Jitters Deepen Amid Growth Concerns
Asian equities extended their losing streak, with a regional index falling 0.4% as investors grappled with mounting concerns over US economic growth and geopolitical uncertainty. Futures on the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 dropped 0.8% and 0.6%, respectively, reversing gains seen after softer-than-expected US inflation data. Treasury yields edged lower, and the dollar remained stable. Wall Street strategists, including those at Goldman Sachs and Citigroup, have revised down their US equity outlooks, with Citi shifting its stance to neutral while upgrading China. Meanwhile, trade tensions escalated as President Trump signaled retaliation against EU and Canadian tariffs, adding to market unease.
Investment Insight: The market’s volatility reflects deepening investor anxiety over slowing US growth and trade policy risks. While a softer inflation reading initially buoyed equities, concerns over employment data and geopolitical tensions have kept risk appetite in check. With capital increasingly flowing into Asian markets and some strategists suggesting a bottom for US stocks, investors should adopt a selective approach—focusing on regions and sectors poised to benefit from shifting global capital flows while remaining cautious on US equities until macroeconomic clarity improves.
Intel Soars as Lip-Bu Tan Takes Helm
Intel (INTC) shares surged over 11% in after-hours trading following the announcement of Lip-Bu Tan as the company’s new CEO. Tan, a semiconductor veteran and former Cadence Design Systems chief, steps in amid Intel’s steep decline in market position and revenue. His appointment comes as Intel faces intensifying competition from TSMC, Nvidia, AMD, and Qualcomm, while also navigating delays in its US manufacturing expansion under the CHIPS Act. Meanwhile, reports indicate a consortium led by TSMC is in talks to acquire Intel’s manufacturing business, signaling potential structural shifts in the industry.
Investment Insight: Tan’s leadership marks a critical inflection point for Intel as it seeks to reclaim competitiveness in chip manufacturing and AI. While the stock’s rally reflects investor optimism, execution risks remain high. Intel’s turnaround hinges on strategic clarity—whether it doubles down on its foundry business or pivots toward a leaner, design-focused model. Investors should watch for Tan’s early moves, particularly regarding Intel’s manufacturing division and AI strategy, as key indicators of long-term viability.
Market price: Intel Corp (INTC): USD 20.68
Taiwan Faces Currency Pressures Amid Stock Outflows, Trade Risks
Taiwan’s central bank is bracing for further currency interventions as foreign investors continue to pull capital from its stock market, exacerbating downward pressure on the Taiwan dollar. The bank sold a record $16.4 billion in 2024 to stabilize the currency, which fell more than 6% against the US dollar last year and remains under strain. Trade uncertainties linked to Trump’s policies and a cooling AI-driven rally in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) have contributed to the worst foreign investor selloff on record. TSMC shares, which dominate Taiwan’s benchmark index, have dropped over 9% this year, amplifying concerns over capital flight.
Investment Insight: Taiwan’s growing reliance on foreign capital makes its markets particularly vulnerable to global risk sentiment. With TSMC’s dominance in AI-related investments, its stock performance directly influences Taiwan’s currency stability. Investors should monitor central bank interventions and policy shifts, particularly if inflation pressures force rate adjustments. While Taiwan remains a key player in global semiconductors, capital outflows suggest near-term volatility, making a selective approach to Taiwanese equities prudent.
JPMorgan Signals End of US Equity Correction
JPMorgan strategists suggest the worst of the US equity correction may be over, citing credit markets that imply a lower risk of recession than equities or rate markets. While small caps are pricing in a 50% chance of a downturn, credit markets suggest only a 9% to 12% probability. The S&P 500 has dropped nearly 9% from its February peak, driven by quant fund adjustments rather than fundamental economic weakness. Despite recent equity downgrades from Goldman Sachs and Citigroup, JPMorgan sees potential support from ETF inflows and institutional rebalancing, which could inject up to $135 billion into markets.
Investment Insight: JPMorgan’s analysis highlights a disconnect between equity market fears and credit market signals, suggesting that recession risks may be overstated. With ETF inflows holding steady and institutional rebalancing on the horizon, near-term volatility could present buying opportunities. Investors should watch for stabilization in small caps and tech stocks as potential indicators of a broader market recovery.

Oil Slips as Trade Risks Offset Demand Strength
Oil prices edged lower Thursday, retracing gains from a 2% rally in the prior session driven by a sharp drop in U.S. gasoline inventories. Brent crude dipped to $70.90 per barrel, while WTI fell to $67.58. Despite firm demand expectations—global oil consumption is running ahead of forecasts at 102.2 million barrels per day—macroeconomic concerns weighed on sentiment. Traders remain wary of escalating trade tensions after President Trump threatened new tariffs on EU goods, stoking fears of a global slowdown. Meanwhile, rising OPEC+ production, led by Kazakhstan, further complicates market dynamics.
Investment Insight: Oil markets remain caught between supportive demand fundamentals and broader economic uncertainty. While tightening U.S. fuel inventories and geopolitical disruptions lend price support, trade tensions and oversupply risks from OPEC+ could cap gains. Investors should watch for shifts in global trade policy and OPEC+ compliance as key drivers of oil price direction in the coming weeks.
Conclusion
Markets remain on edge as investors weigh economic uncertainty, trade risks, and shifting capital flows. While Intel’s leadership change and JPMorgan’s optimism on US equities offer bright spots, Taiwan’s currency pressures and ongoing stock outflows highlight broader volatility. Oil markets reflect this mixed sentiment, with strong demand offset by geopolitical and supply concerns. As macroeconomic signals diverge, investors should stay tactical—monitoring policy developments, corporate strategy shifts, and fund flows for direction. With volatility likely to persist, a selective, data-driven approach remains key to navigating the evolving market landscape.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- March 13th, 2025: US PPI, initial jobless claims; Eurozone industrial production
- March 14th, 2025: France CPI, Germany CPI, UK industrial production
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 12, 2025
Date Issued – 12th March 2025
Preview
Global markets steadied as President Trump’s remarks downplaying recession fears and signaling economic growth initiatives buoyed sentiment. Asian stocks traded narrowly, with US and European futures rising, aided by optimism over a proposed 30-day Ukraine-Russia truce. However, inflation, Fed policy, and trade tensions, including Trump’s tariffs and EU retaliation, continue to weigh on outlooks.
Meanwhile, China’s retail investors are driving a tech-led stock rally, with equity mutual fund inflows surging to their highest since 2021, though elevated valuations pose risks. Tesla shares, down 52% from December highs, remain under pressure from weak demand and growing investor skepticism, despite a brief rebound following Trump’s purchase of a Model S.
In a surprise move, Musk’s SpaceX and Ambani’s Reliance Jio announced a Starlink deal targeting India’s growing satellite internet market, pending regulatory approval. Oil prices also climbed as the US cut global surplus forecasts, though geopolitical tensions and demand concerns keep markets volatile.
Stock Selloff Eases as Trump Comments Buoy Markets
Global markets steadied following remarks by President Donald Trump that downplayed recession fears and signaled economic growth initiatives. Asian stocks traded in a narrow range, while US and European futures climbed. Relief over a proposed 30-day truce between Ukraine and Russia added to the market’s optimism. However, concerns linger over inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and heightened volatility.
Trump’s tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, coupled with retaliatory measures from the EU, remain a key headwind for global trade, with US equities nearing correction territory. Meanwhile, Cathay Pacific reported stronger-than-expected profits, though trade conflicts cloud its cargo outlook.
Investment Insight
While Trump’s reassurances offered temporary relief, persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions suggest continued market volatility. Investors should maintain a cautious approach, focusing on defensive sectors and monitoring inflation data closely for signs of sustained pressure.
China’s Retail Investors Fuel Stock Market Rally
China’s retail investors are pouring into equity mutual funds, with inflows reaching 56.4 billion yuan ($7.8 billion) in the first two months of 2025—a fivefold increase year-on-year and the highest since 2021. Buoyed by optimism over domestic tech breakthroughs and bullish signals from Beijing’s National People’s Congress, Chinese equities have outperformed global peers, with the STAR50 Index climbing over 9% and Hong Kong’s tech gauge soaring nearly 25%.
However, interest in mixed-allocation and bond-focused funds has waned, signaling a clear shift toward riskier assets amid rising confidence in China’s tech-driven growth.
Investment Insight
China’s tech sector rally underscores the importance of tracking innovation-driven markets. While the gains may lure investors, elevated valuations and geopolitical risks could temper long-term returns. Diversifying exposure across sectors may mitigate volatility.
Tesla’s Freefall Shakes Even Its Most Loyal Fans
Tesla shares have plunged 52% from their December highs, with even its staunchest supporters stepping back amid mounting concerns over weak sales, poor sentiment, and Elon Musk’s growing political distractions. The stock, the S&P 500’s worst performer this year, briefly rebounded 3.8% after President Trump purchased a Tesla Model S in a show of support.
However, Wall Street analysts continue to downgrade price targets, citing deteriorating global demand and overvaluation. Retail investors remain a rare source of support, but doubt is creeping into even the most bullish corners. With no major catalysts in sight, Tesla remains vulnerable to further declines.
Investment Insight
Tesla’s volatility highlights the risks of overreliance on sentiment-driven stocks. While its steep valuation could fuel a sharp recovery, investors should stay cautious and prioritize long-term fundamentals over short-term trading opportunities. Consider diversifying into less volatile sectors.
Market price: Tesla Inc (TSLA): USD 230.58

Musk and Ambani Forge Surprise Starlink Internet Deal in India
In a surprising turn, Elon Musk’s SpaceX and Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance Jio have partnered to bring Starlink satellite internet to India. The agreement allows Jio to stock Starlink equipment in thousands of retail outlets, providing Starlink with a direct distribution network. This deal follows months of disputes between the billionaires over spectrum allocation, with India siding with Musk’s preferred approach.
The collaboration helps Jio expand offerings in underserved areas while giving Starlink a low-cost market entry. The partnership is conditional on regulatory approval, as India’s satellite internet market is projected to grow 36% annually to $1.9 billion by 2030.
Investment Insight
The Starlink-Jio deal highlights the growing potential of India’s satellite internet market. Investors should watch for regulatory developments and the competitive dynamics between telecom incumbents and satellite disruptors. Early movers in this space could see significant long-term gains.
Oil Prices Climb as US Cuts Global Surplus Forecasts
Oil prices rose, with Brent crude nearing $70 a barrel and WTI approaching $67, after the US Energy Information Administration slashed its global oversupply forecasts for 2025 and beyond. The revised outlook, which follows similar moves by the IEA, reflects expectations of reduced flows from Iran and Venezuela.
Despite the gains, market sentiment remains fragile amid ongoing tariff uncertainty, US growth concerns, and rising inventories. Geopolitical tensions also persist, with Yemen’s Houthis resuming attacks on Israeli ships and Ukraine agreeing to a 30-day truce with Russia.
Investment Insight
Crude oil’s rebound highlights supply-side adjustments, but volatility driven by geopolitical risks and demand concerns persists. Investors should remain cautious, focusing on energy equities with strong fundamentals and hedging against further price swings.
Conclusion
Global markets remain in a delicate balance as optimism from geopolitical developments and economic signals is tempered by persistent risks. President Trump’s reassurances provided temporary relief, but inflation, Fed policy, and trade tensions continue to dominate investor concerns.
China’s tech-driven rally highlights opportunities in innovation-focused markets, while Tesla’s struggles underscore the dangers of sentiment-driven investments. The Starlink-Jio partnership signals growth potential in India’s satellite internet sector, while oil’s rebound reflects tightening supply dynamics amid geopolitical uncertainty.
Investors should navigate cautiously, focusing on diversification and sectors with strong fundamentals to weather ongoing volatility and capitalize on emerging opportunities.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- March 12th, 2025: US CPI, Japan PPI
- March 13th, 2025: US PPI, initial jobless claims; Eurozone industrial production
- March 14th, 2025: France CPI, Germany CPI, UK industrial production
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 11, 2025
Date Issued – 11th March 2025
Preview
Global markets showed signs of stabilization as US equity futures rebounded after Monday’s selloff, with Asian equities trimming losses and optimism around Chinese AI growth boosting Hong Kong stocks. China’s record two-year bond sale this week will test market sentiment amid rising yields and tight liquidity. In South Korea, new FX rules aim to attract foreign inflows, though analysts say structural reforms are needed for long-term stability. Meanwhile, Japan’s slower Q4 growth complicates BOJ rate decisions, while the Panama Canal explores an LPG pipeline to meet rising Asian energy demand. Investors should stay cautious, diversify, and watch for selective opportunities.
Asia Stock Selloff Eases, Futures Recover
A global stock selloff moderated during Asian trading hours, with US equity futures, Treasury yields, and cryptocurrencies rebounding from earlier declines. The S&P 500 index futures rose 0.3% after steep losses, while Nasdaq 100 and European futures also advanced. Asian equities fell to a five-week low, but Hong Kong and Chinese stocks trimmed losses amid hopes for government stimulus. Mainland Chinese investors continued buying Hong Kong stocks, buoyed by optimism around AI-driven growth. Meanwhile, US markets suffered sharp losses Monday, with the S&P 500 down 2.7% and megacaps like Tesla plunging 15%. Investors remain cautious, citing geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, and hawkish central bank policies.
Investment Insight: The selloff signals a shift to risk-averse sentiment, but opportunities may exist in oversold Asian markets like Hong Kong and China. Diversification and selective entry into resilient sectors are key as global uncertainty persists.
China Plans Record Two-Year Bond Sale Amid Market Turmoil
China’s debt market faces mounting pressure as the government prepares to auction a record 167 billion yuan ($23 billion) in two-year bonds this Friday. The move comes during a worsening bond selloff, driven by the People’s Bank of China’s (PBOC) reluctance to ease monetary policy, tight liquidity, and optimism in Chinese equities. Yields on two-year bonds have surged 50 basis points this year, hitting their highest since October, raising concerns about weak demand and further losses. The auction will serve as a key market sentiment indicator, as China’s annual new government bond issuance climbs to a record 11.86 trillion yuan amid rising fiscal deficits.
Investment Insight: Rising yields signal heightened risk in China’s fixed-income market. Investors should monitor auction results closely as a barometer of sentiment, while remaining cautious of further bond market volatility. Diversification across asset classes may help mitigate risk.
South Korea’s New FX Rules Highlight Need for Structural Reform
South Korea has introduced measures to boost foreign currency inflows, including raising FX derivatives’ hedging limits, easing “Kimchi” bond regulations, and streamlining tax paperwork for foreign investors. While these changes may provide short-term market stability, analysts warn they won’t address deeper imbalances in Korea’s financial system. The won was Asia’s worst-performing currency in 2024, falling over 12% against the dollar, with foreign investors cutting their stock holdings as the Kospi dropped 9.6%. Experts argue that structural reforms, including stronger industrial and corporate policies, are critical for attracting sustainable foreign investment.
Investment Insight: The new measures offer limited relief for Korea’s markets. Investors should remain cautious about the won and consider broader macroeconomic trends before increasing exposure to Korean assets. Long-term opportunities may depend on meaningful structural reforms.

Japan’s Economy Shows Slower Growth Amid Consumer Weakness
Japan’s economy expanded at a revised 2.2% annualized rate in Q4 2024, down from an earlier estimate of 2.8%, as consumer spending and private demand underperformed. Real GDP rose 0.6% quarter-on-quarter, slightly lower than initial figures, while exports grew 1.0%. The country continues its moderate recovery despite lingering deflation risks, which have been tempered by recent wage increases. Policymakers face challenges as the slower-than-expected growth complicates the Bank of Japan’s potential interest rate hikes. Trade uncertainties, including U.S. tariffs under President Donald Trump, remain a concern for export-reliant Japanese industries, prompting high-level diplomatic talks in Washington.
Investment Insight: Japan’s slower growth, coupled with the BOJ’s cautious stance on rate hikes, signals potential opportunities in government bonds as yields rise. However, export-reliant sectors may face headwinds due to trade tensions. Investors should keep an eye on wage trends and inflation data, which are key to Japan’s policy direction.
Panama Canal Explores LPG Pipeline to Meet Asian Demand
The Panama Canal is considering building a pipeline to transport liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) across its trade passage, with Japan identified as a key market for U.S.-sourced gas. Canal administrator Ricaurte Vasquez revealed plans for infrastructure capable of moving up to one million barrels per day, aiming to diversify operations after droughts disrupted shipping traffic. This development comes amid geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Panama, further complicated by a U.S.-led acquisition of nearby port assets. A decision on the pipeline is expected within 12 months, as the canal allocates $8 billion to infrastructure projects over the next decade.
Investment Insight: The Panama Canal’s potential pipeline underscores growing energy demand in Asia. Investors should monitor developments for opportunities in infrastructure and energy sectors tied to U.S. exports and Asian markets.
Conclusion
Markets are navigating a challenging global landscape, with cautious optimism emerging after recent selloffs. Key developments, such as China’s record bond sale, South Korea’s FX reforms, and Japan’s slower growth, highlight the need for careful monitoring of policy shifts and economic trends. The Panama Canal’s potential pipeline underscores the growing demand for infrastructure investments tied to energy and trade. As uncertainties persist, investors should focus on diversification, resilient sectors like AI and infrastructure, and opportunities in oversold markets. Staying attuned to geopolitical and macroeconomic changes will be crucial in identifying areas of growth and managing risk effectively.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- March 11th, 2025: Japan GDP, household spending; US job openings
- March 12th, 2025: US CPI, Japan PPI
- March 13th, 2025: US PPI, initial jobless claims; Eurozone industrial production
- March 14th, 2025: France CPI, Germany CPI, UK industrial production
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 10, 2025
Date Issued – 10th March 2025
Preview
Asian markets brace for a weak open amid global economic uncertainty, with US equities and Treasury yields under pressure as the Fed may cut rates by May. Foxconn unveiled “FoxBrain,” its first large language model, aiming to enhance manufacturing with AI while boosting Nvidia’s GPU demand. Japan’s 10-year bond yield hit a 15-year high on BOJ rate hike expectations, signaling tighter monetary policy. Meanwhile, China launched a $138 billion high-tech fund to drive AI and emerging industries, alongside measures to boost domestic consumption. Trade tensions escalated as China imposed tariffs on US farm goods, further straining relations with the US.
Asian Equities Poised for Weak Open Amid Economic Concerns
Asian markets are set for a subdued start as risk sentiment faltered globally. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.5%, while Treasury yields declined as investors sought safer assets. The US economy faces growing uncertainty, with tariffs, rising unemployment, and weak Chinese economic data contributing to a cautious outlook. Short-dated Treasuries rallied on expectations the Fed might cut rates by May to counter economic headwinds. Meanwhile, European futures pointed to gains, supported by fiscal policy shifts in Germany.
Investment Insight: Global markets are grappling with heightened uncertainty, favoring defensive assets like short-term Treasuries. Investors may consider diversifying portfolios with safe-haven assets and maintaining a cautious stance on riskier equities.
Foxconn Unveils First Large Language Model, “FoxBrain”
Foxconn has launched its first large language model, “FoxBrain,” which aims to enhance manufacturing and supply chain management. Built using Meta’s Llama 3.1 architecture and trained on 120 Nvidia H100 GPUs in just four weeks, the model is optimized for traditional Chinese and Taiwanese language styles. While slightly behind China’s DeepSeek distillation model, FoxBrain achieves near-world-class performance. Initially designed for internal use, its capabilities include data analysis, decision-making, and code generation. Foxconn plans to collaborate with partners, expand applications, and promote AI across industries. Further details will be revealed at Nvidia’s GTC conference.
Investment Insight: Foxconn’s venture into AI-powered manufacturing could streamline operations and bolster its competitive edge. Nvidia’s integral role in training FoxBrain also highlights the growing demand for high-performance GPUs, reinforcing its position in the AI hardware market.
Japan 10-Year Yield Hits 2008 High Amid BOJ Rate Hike Expectations
Japan’s 10-year government bond yield surged to 1.575%, its highest level since 2008, fueled by the fastest base pay gains in over three decades and expectations of further Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hikes. While the BOJ is likely to hold rates steady at its May meeting, market pricing suggests an 85% chance of a hike by July and certainty by September. Sluggish demand at a recent five-year debt auction reflects growing sentiment that yields will continue climbing. JPMorgan raised its year-end forecast for Japan’s 10-year yield to 1.7%, with some predicting it could reach 2%.
Investment Insight: Rising Japanese yields signal tightening monetary policy, providing opportunities in JGBs but potentially pressuring equity markets. Investors should monitor BOJ decisions closely, as further hikes could reshape the global fixed-income landscape.

China Launches $138 Billion High-Tech Fund to Drive AI and Emerging Industries
China announced a state-backed “venture capital guidance fund” to boost innovation in AI, quantum technology, and hydrogen energy storage. The fund, expected to attract nearly 1 trillion yuan ($138 billion) over 20 years, aims to bolster economic growth and counteract US tech restrictions. DeepSeek’s recent AI breakthrough, achieving cutting-edge performance on less powerful chips, highlights China’s rapid progress despite challenges. Premier Li Qiang also outlined plans to foster emerging industries like 6G and bio-manufacturing while ramping up domestic consumption through infrastructure investment and consumer subsidies.
Investment Insight: China’s heightened focus on tech innovation and domestic consumption signals growth potential in AI, quantum computing, and infrastructure sectors. Investors should watch for opportunities in these industries as China navigates external pressures and regulatory easing for private enterprises.
China’s Retaliatory Tariffs on US Farm Goods Take Effect Amid Trade Tensions
China imposed tariffs of up to 15% on US agricultural goods, including beef, poultry, and grains, while suspending soybean imports from three US entities and halting log purchases. This response follows the Trump administration’s decision to double tariffs on Chinese exports. Beijing’s calibrated measures allow room for negotiations but aim to mitigate domestic impact by sourcing goods elsewhere. These developments come as China targets 5% economic growth despite trade uncertainties, a property crisis, and deflation pressures. Premier Li Qiang has pledged fiscal expansion to counter the challenges.
Investment Insight: Agricultural markets face volatility as China shifts sourcing away from the US. Investors should monitor alternative suppliers, such as Brazil, where agricultural exports may see increased demand.
Conclusion
Global markets are navigating heightened uncertainty, from economic pressures in the US and Japan to escalating trade tensions between China and the US. Foxconn’s AI advancements and China’s ambitious high-tech fund highlight the growing focus on innovation to drive economic growth. Meanwhile, Japan’s rising bond yields and China’s fiscal expansion underline the shifting monetary and trade policies shaping the global landscape. As risks mount, investors may find opportunities in defensive assets, emerging technologies, and alternative markets like Brazil’s agriculture sector. Staying attuned to policy shifts and geopolitical developments will be key to navigating the evolving investment climate.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
March 10th, 2025: Germany industrial production
March 11th, 2025: Japan GDP, household spending; US job openings
March 12th, 2025: US CPI, Japan PPI
March 13th, 2025: US PPI, initial jobless claims; Eurozone industrial production
March 14th, 2025: France CPI, Germany CPI, UK industrial production
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 7, 2025
Date Issued – 7th March 2025
Preview
Global markets are on edge as geopolitical and policy uncertainties weigh heavily. Asian and European stocks mirrored US declines, while Bitcoin slid 5.7% following details of a new US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve ahead of the White House crypto summit. China’s energy imports fell amid oversupply and slowing demand, and its metals imports also weakened, reflecting lower industrial activity. Oil is set for its steepest weekly drop since October due to tariff uncertainty and rising OPEC+ output. Meanwhile, antimony prices surged nearly 300% as defense demand soars, exposing a critical supply gap. Investors face heightened volatility across sectors and should adopt a cautious, diversified approach while monitoring regulatory developments and macroeconomic signals.
Asian and European Stocks Follow US Declines
Asian stocks dropped sharply, mirroring declines in US markets, as geopolitical uncertainty and shifting US tariff policies under President Trump roiled investor confidence. Japan’s Nikkei-225 fell over 2%, while European futures retreated and the S&P 500 struggled to stabilize. The dollar index extended its losing streak to a fifth session, and Bitcoin dropped 5.7% after underwhelming details of a US strategic reserve plan. Despite Trump delaying tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods under NAFTA, markets remained jittery amid unclear policy directions.
In the US, nonfarm payroll data and comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell are awaited for clues on the economy’s trajectory. Meanwhile, Treasury yields edged higher, and oil is set for its steepest weekly decline since October, while gold rose as a safe haven.
Investment Insight: Heightened volatility driven by geopolitical and policy uncertainties suggests a cautious approach. Diversify into defensive sectors like utilities or gold while monitoring labor market data and central bank signals for interest rate expectations.
China’s Energy Imports Decline Amid Supply Glut and Weak Demand
China’s energy imports fell sharply in early 2025, with crude oil imports dropping 5% year-over-year and natural gas imports down 7.7%. The decline follows last year’s record shipments of coal and gas, which left an oversupply in the market. A mild winter, faltering industrial demand, and a slowing economy further dampened energy consumption. Liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports hit a five-year low, as traders redirected cargoes to higher-priced European markets. Meanwhile, coal imports rose modestly by 2.1% but remain below peak levels due to oversupply.
Metals imports also weakened, with copper falling 7.2% and iron ore down 8.4%, reflecting lower industrial demand and disruptions in Australian supply. Elevated port inventories and China’s plans to cut steel output are expected to further suppress import levels.
Investment Insight: China’s slowing energy and metals demand signals potential headwinds for commodity markets. Investors should monitor China’s industrial activity closely and consider exposure to markets benefiting from higher European LNG prices or alternative energy sources.
Antimony Shortage Deepens as Defense Demand Soars
A global shortage of antimony, a key metal in munitions, threatens to escalate as the US and Europe replenish depleted stockpiles used in Ukraine. Prices have surged nearly 300% in the past year, driven by China’s export restrictions and heightened demand from defense industries. Antimony, essential for bullet cores, explosives, and flame retardants, faces a production gap of about 40,000 tons annually.
China and Russia dominate 87% of global supply, but new Western sources are emerging. Australia’s Larvotto Resources plans to open a major antimony mine next year, potentially supplying 7% of global demand. Meanwhile, the US Defense Department has backed a domestic mine project in Idaho to reduce reliance on foreign sources.
Investment Insight: Rising antimony prices and geopolitical tensions present opportunities in defense-related supply chains and Western mining ventures. Investors should watch for projects aimed at reducing dependence on Chinese and Russian materials.

Trump Establishes Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Ahead of Crypto Summit
President Donald Trump signed an executive order to create a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, making the US one of the first nations to stockpile Bitcoin as a strategic asset. The reserve will include Bitcoin confiscated through criminal and civil forfeiture, currently estimated at 200,000 BTC, worth roughly $17.5 billion. A new US Digital Asset Stockpile will also manage other cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and Cardano.
The move comes ahead of the first-ever White House crypto summit, marking a stark departure from the Biden administration’s tougher stance on crypto regulation. Critics have raised concerns about the volatility of cryptocurrencies and the potential conflict of interest for policymakers, while supporters of the initiative argue it positions the US as a leader in digital asset innovation.
Investment Insight: Trump’s pro-crypto policies could signal long-term support for digital assets. Investors should monitor regulatory developments, especially regarding Bitcoin and Ethereum, while remaining cautious about market volatility tied to macroeconomic uncertainties and policy shifts.
Oil Prices Face Biggest Weekly Drop Since October Amid Tariff Uncertainty and Rising Supply
Oil prices are set for their steepest weekly decline since October, with Brent down 4.9% and WTI off 4.8%. Fluctuating US trade policies and economic uncertainty are dampening demand forecasts, while OPEC+ and non-OPEC producers add supply. Brent crude edged up 0.24% to $69.63 per barrel on Friday, while WTI rose 0.18% to $66.48, but both benchmarks remain near four-month lows.
US President Donald Trump’s suspension of tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods until April 2, excluding steel and aluminum, has done little to ease market jitters. Analysts warn of further price drops amid oversupply risks, with OPEC+ adding 138,000 barrels per day in April. Meanwhile, US actions to curb Iranian oil exports could provide limited support to prices but may not offset broader headwinds.
Investment Insight: Oil markets face pressure from oversupply and geopolitical uncertainty. Investors should prepare for increased volatility and consider defensive energy stocks or explore opportunities in natural gas and renewable energy amid shifting market dynamics.
Conclusion
Markets are grappling with heightened uncertainty as geopolitical tensions, shifting US policies, and slowing global demand weigh on sentiment. From declining energy and metals imports in China to oil’s steep weekly drop and Bitcoin’s volatility following the creation of a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, investors face a complex landscape. With defense-driven shortages like antimony highlighting supply-chain vulnerabilities and the crypto summit signaling potential regulatory shifts, the focus remains on navigating risk. Diversification into defensive assets, close monitoring of policy decisions, and attention to macroeconomic data will be crucial as markets seek clarity and stability in the weeks ahead.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
March 7th, 2025: Eurozone GDP; US nonfarm payrolls, consumer credit
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Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.