Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 6, 2025
Date Issued – 6th March 2025
Preview
Global markets are on edge as bond yields surge, with Japan’s 10-year yields reaching 1.5%, the highest since 2009, and German bunds seeing their steepest rise since 1990. Meanwhile, Asian equities gained, driven by optimism over Chinese economic support and delayed US auto tariffs, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng China Enterprises Index jumping 3.3%. In corporate news, Rio Tinto announced a $1.8 billion Pilbara iron ore expansion, Eutelsat shares soared over 500% amid Starlink concerns in Ukraine, and Alibaba’s stock surged 7.6% after unveiling a cutting-edge AI model. US tech stocks struggled, while oil rebounded and gold held steady near record highs. Markets remain highly sensitive to inflation, fiscal spending, and geopolitical developments.
Global Bond Selloff and Asian Market Gains
A global bond selloff intensified Thursday, with Japanese 10-year yields reaching 1.5%, their highest since 2009, as inflation pressures and borrowing costs rise. German bunds saw their sharpest yield surge since 1990, driven by concerns over expanded government spending. The euro rallied ahead of the ECB’s policy meeting, where a rate cut is widely expected. Meanwhile, Asian equities climbed, spurred by optimism over potential Chinese economic support and a delay in US auto tariffs on Mexico and Canada. Japan, South Korea, and Hong Kong indexes posted gains, with the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index jumping 3.3%.
US tech stocks struggled, with Marvell Technology and Broadcom slipping on AI-related revenue concerns. Oil ticked up from six-month lows, and gold held steady near record highs. Markets remain sensitive to geopolitical developments, growth forecasts, and inflationary pressures.
Investment Insight:
The bond selloff signals rising risks in fixed-income markets, with yields drawing upward pressure from inflation and fiscal spending. Investors may consider diversifying into equities or commodities, particularly in regions like Asia where growth momentum appears stronger.
America’s Shift from Europe Sparks Economic Opportunities
With the US distancing itself from Europe militarily and economically, the EU faces urgent pressure to bolster its defense capabilities independently. This shift, coupled with rising military spending, could fuel economic growth if Europe prioritizes domestic innovation and production of advanced military technologies. Increased spending on locally made armaments could boost GDP, create jobs, and generate technological spillovers, much like past defense-driven innovations such as GPS and the internet. However, Europe’s fragmented defense industry and reliance on imports remain hurdles, with experts estimating it could take a decade to achieve self-sufficiency.
Investment Insight:
Rising defense budgets in Europe may unlock opportunities in local defense and dual-use tech sectors. Investors could benefit by focusing on companies poised to lead innovation or consolidate fragmented industries to capitalize on this structural shift.
Rio Tinto Commits $1.8 Billion to Pilbara Iron Ore Expansion
Rio Tinto announced a $1.8 billion investment to develop the Brockman Syncline 1 iron ore project in Western Australia’s Pilbara region. With approvals secured, the project is set to begin production by 2027, a year ahead of schedule. The expansion extends the life of the Brockman hub, which produced 43 million tons of iron ore in 2024, and reinforces Rio Tinto’s focus on Pilbara’s profitability amid its broader shift toward copper for renewable energy needs.
Investment Insight:
Rio Tinto’s Pilbara investment highlights the enduring value of iron ore in its portfolio. Investors should watch for opportunities in companies tied to long-term iron ore demand, while monitoring Rio Tinto’s pivot to copper to capitalize on the green energy transition.
Market price: Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO): AUD 114.92
Eutelsat Stock Soars Amid Starlink Concerns in Ukraine
French satellite firm Eutelsat’s shares surged over 500% this week, fueled by fears that Ukraine’s access to Starlink, critical for military communications, could be disrupted as US aid to Kyiv falters. Eutelsat, which merged with Starlink competitor OneWeb in 2023, now offers low-Earth orbit satellite services and is in talks with the EU to address Ukraine’s internet needs. Despite its rapid stock gains, Eutelsat’s satellite capacity remains a fraction of Starlink’s. Meanwhile, Europe is ramping up defense spending, with leaders proposing an $840 billion collective budget.
Investment Insight:
Eutelsat’s stock boost highlights investor optimism around European alternatives to US technology. Watch for opportunities in European defense and satellite firms as the region seeks greater autonomy in critical infrastructure.
Market price: Eutelsat Group (ETL.PA): EUR 7.84

Alibaba Shares Soar 7% on New AI Model Launch
Alibaba’s stock surged 7.6% after introducing its QwQ-32B AI model, which rivals DeepSeek’s performance while requiring just 5% of the data. This open-source breakthrough reinforced confidence in the tech giant, contributing to a 5% rally in Chinese tech stocks. Alibaba’s AI advancements align with Beijing’s push for tech innovation, further buoyed by its $52 billion investment in AI infrastructure over the next three years. The company’s growing AI expertise and stabilizing business after regulatory challenges signal a strong comeback in 2025.
Investment Insight:
Alibaba’s AI innovation and government support position it as a key player in China’s tech resurgence. Investors may consider opportunities in Chinese AI-related stocks as the sector gains momentum.
Market price: Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (HKG: 9988): HKD 139.70
Conclusion
Markets are navigating a mix of rising bond yields, geopolitical uncertainty, and rapid innovation. While fixed-income markets face pressure from inflation and fiscal spending, opportunities are emerging in equities, particularly in Asia, where growth momentum is stronger. Defense spending in Europe, Alibaba’s AI breakthroughs, and Rio Tinto’s investments highlight strategic shifts across industries. Meanwhile, Eutelsat’s surge underscores investor appetite for alternatives in critical infrastructure. As markets remain sensitive to inflation, growth forecasts, and geopolitical risks, diversification into equities, AI, and commodities may offer resilience in an increasingly dynamic global landscape.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
March 7th, 2025: Eurozone GDP; US nonfarm payrolls, consumer credit
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 5, 2025
Date Issued – 5th March 2025
Preview
Markets rallied as U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at tariff rollbacks, boosting global equities, while Hong Kong stocks surged on China’s 5% growth target and Germany’s significant infrastructure spending lifted the euro. President Trump announced plans to revive U.S. shipbuilding and hailed a $22.8 billion BlackRock-led deal to acquire key Panama Canal ports, reducing Chinese influence in strategic infrastructure. Meanwhile, China plans to cut steel output to address oversupply and aid carbon goals, pressuring iron ore prices, while gold dipped slightly from near-record highs as trade tensions spurred haven demand. Investors face volatile markets driven by geopolitics and shifting trade policies.
Markets Rally on Tariff Rollback Hopes
Global markets rebounded as U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at potential tariff rollbacks, fueling gains in U.S. and European equity futures. Hong Kong stocks surged after China reaffirmed its 5% growth target for 2025 and signaled further economic stimulus. Meanwhile, Germany’s historic decision to unlock significant defense and infrastructure spending lifted the euro to a three-month high but triggered a global bond selloff. Markets remain volatile as President Trump defended tariffs, calling for adjustments to trade policies, while traders anticipate clarity on Mexican and Canadian tariff relief.
Investment Insight: Markets are pricing in optimism around trade deals, but swings highlight the fragility of sentiment. Cautious positioning in equities and hedging against currency moves may be prudent amidst ongoing geopolitical and tariff uncertainties.
Trump Pushes for U.S. Shipbuilding Revival
President Donald Trump announced plans to revive U.S. shipbuilding for commercial and military vessels in an effort to counter China’s dominance in the industry. Speaking on Capitol Hill, Trump proposed creating a White House shipbuilding office and offering tax incentives to rebuild the sector, which has been overshadowed by China’s production of over half of the world’s merchant vessels. The administration is also preparing to impose fees on Chinese-built ships and cranes entering the U.S. to boost domestic competitiveness. Additionally, Trump revealed plans to “reclaim” the Panama Canal, as a BlackRock-led consortium acquires key ports near the waterway from a Hong Kong conglomerate.
Investment Insight: While efforts to revitalize U.S. shipbuilding could create opportunities in defense and infrastructure sectors, high costs and global competition present significant challenges. Investors should monitor potential shifts in trade and industrial policies.
China to Cut Steel Output to Address Glut and Boost Profits
China is set to mandate steel production cuts to tackle oversupply and restore profitability in its struggling steel sector, as announced at the National People’s Congress. Though no specific targets were disclosed, analysts speculate output could be reduced by as much as 50 million tons annually. This marks the first official proposal for mandatory cuts by the National Development and Reform Commission, signaling a new wave of supply-side reforms nearly a decade after similar measures under President Xi Jinping. The move comes as steel exports hit a nine-year high of 110 million tons in 2024, prompting global backlash and increased tariff scrutiny, particularly from the U.S. Lower production is also expected to aid China’s carbon reduction goals. The announcement weighed on iron ore prices, with futures falling 1.6% in Singapore, while steel prices in Shanghai also declined.
Investment Insight: Steel production cuts could alleviate oversupply and stabilize prices, but weaker-than-expected infrastructure spending signals limited growth for industrial metals. Investors in commodities should prepare for short-term price volatility.

Gold Slips From Near Record High Amid Trade War Tensions
Gold prices dipped 0.2%, trading near $2,912 an ounce, after recent gains driven by escalating trade tensions. President Donald Trump’s tariff hikes on China, Canada, and Mexico have spurred haven demand, pushing gold up over 40% since late 2023. While U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at possible tariff relief for Canada and Mexico, retaliation from Canada and China has further fueled concerns of inflation and slower global growth, bolstering gold’s appeal as a store of value. Spot gold remains just $40 shy of its all-time high, with bond traders increasingly bullish as Treasury positions hit a 15-year peak amid recession fears. Other precious metals, including silver and platinum, held steady, while palladium advanced slightly.
Investment Insight: Gold’s resilience underscores its value as a hedge against economic uncertainty. Investors may consider maintaining exposure to precious metals, but monitor trade developments closely for potential price swings.
Trump Hails BlackRock-Led Deal to ‘Reclaim’ Panama Canal Ports
President Donald Trump praised a BlackRock-led consortium’s $22.8 billion acquisition of CK Hutchison’s global ports business, including a 90% stake in Panama Ports Company. The move grants U.S. firms control over key Panama Canal ports, long operated by the Hong Kong conglomerate, amid efforts to reduce Chinese influence in strategic infrastructure. CK Hutchison’s stock surged nearly 25% following the announcement, marking its highest level since 2023. The sale, which excludes CK Hutchison’s China-based ports, involves 43 ports across 23 countries and positions the U.S. consortium as a major player in global shipping. Analysts view the deal as a strategic shift for CK Hutchison, with infrastructure now becoming its largest earnings contributor. The $19 billion proceeds from the sale could significantly reduce the conglomerate’s debt.
Investment Insight: The deal underscores the growing intersection of geopolitics and infrastructure investments. Investors should monitor infrastructure and logistics sectors as strategic assets like ports become focal points in U.S.-China tensions.
Conclusion
Global markets remain highly reactive to geopolitical and trade developments, with optimism around potential tariff rollbacks fueling gains, while concerns over inflation and slowing growth drive demand for safe havens like gold. China’s steel production cuts and efforts to stabilize its economy highlight ongoing challenges in industrial sectors, while Trump’s push to revive U.S. shipbuilding and the Panama Canal ports deal underline the intersection of global trade and strategic infrastructure. Investors should stay cautious, balancing exposure to equities, commodities, and safe-haven assets as market volatility persists amid shifting economic and political landscapes.
Upcoming Dates to Watch:
- March 5th, 2025: Australia GDP, China’s National People’s Congress; Eurozone HCOB services PMI, PPI
- March 7th, 2025: Eurozone GDP; US nonfarm payrolls, consumer credit
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 4, 2025
Date Issued – 4th March 2025
Preview
Global markets face turbulence as U.S. tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China trigger volatility in equities, oil, and currencies, with China retaliating on U.S. agricultural imports. Oil prices fell further as OPEC+ plans to boost output, while TSMC announced a $100 billion investment in U.S. chipmaking, enhancing its AI supply chain. In the UK, shop prices rose at their fastest pace in a year, driven by food inflation and rising retailer costs, prompting warnings of further price hikes. Meanwhile, Seven & i shares dropped 7.8% amid speculation it may reject a $47 billion buyout offer from Couche-Tard, highlighting Japan’s shifting stance on foreign capital.
Global Markets Stagger as Tariffs and Trade Uncertainty Take Center Stage
Global markets reeled as U.S. tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China took effect, triggering significant volatility across equities, commodities, and currencies. The S&P 500 fell 1.8%, while oil slumped to a three-month low amid signs of slowing U.S. growth. China retaliated with tariffs of up to 15% on U.S. agricultural imports like soy, pork, and beef, while its equities showed resilience, signaling room for negotiation. Emerging-market currencies and the Canadian and Mexican pesos slipped as geopolitical tensions escalated. Meanwhile, Beijing’s upcoming National People’s Congress is expected to unveil economic stimulus measures to combat deflation and bolster growth. Cryptocurrencies remained under pressure, with Bitcoin extending losses, and OPEC+ stuck to plans to revive oil production despite price declines.
Investment Insight
Heightened global trade tensions and slowing U.S. growth signal caution for equities in the short term. Look to defensive assets like gold or explore opportunities in resilient Asian markets such as China and Japan, which may benefit from forthcoming stimulus measures.
Oil Slumps as Tariffs Bite and OPEC+ Eyes Output Hike
Oil prices continued their slide, with Brent nearing $71 a barrel and WTI hovering around $68, as the Trump administration’s tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China took effect. Beijing retaliated with levies on U.S. agricultural products, intensifying trade war fears. Meanwhile, OPEC+ announced plans to increase oil production in April after months of delays, adding to concerns of a supply surplus. Analysts warn that the combination of trade tensions and higher output could further weaken global demand for crude.
Investment Insight
Investors should brace for continued oil price volatility as trade tensions and oversupply fears weigh on the market. Consider energy sector exposure selectively, focusing on companies with strong balance sheets and resilience in low-price environments.
TSMC Commits $100 Billion to US Chipmaking in Boost for Trump’s Domestic Manufacturing Push
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), the world’s leading AI chip producer, announced an additional $100 billion investment in U.S. plants, further expanding its domestic presence to support President Donald Trump’s goal of bolstering American manufacturing. The new spending, which builds on $65 billion in prior commitments, will establish multiple advanced chip facilities, creating thousands of high-tech jobs. The announcement comes as TSMC aims to anchor a resilient AI supply chain in the U.S., with key partners like Nvidia and Apple relying on its output. While critics question the scale of the investment, analysts suggest political pressure, rather than tariffs, drove TSMC’s decision.
Investment Insight
TSMC’s U.S. expansion underscores the strategic importance of semiconductors and AI technology. Investors may focus on companies benefiting from a strengthened U.S. chip supply chain, including Nvidia and AMD, while monitoring broader geopolitical implications for the sector.
Market price: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TPE:2330): TWD 1,000.00
Shop Prices Surge as Food Costs and Retailer Pressures Mount
Shop prices in the UK rose 0.4% between January and February, the sharpest monthly increase in a year, driven by price hikes for staples like butter, cheese, eggs, and bread. Food prices climbed 2.1% year-on-year, and the British Retail Consortium (BRC) warns they could hit 4% later this year. Rising global coffee costs, a £7 billion hike in retailer costs from the autumn Budget, and a new packaging levy are expected to fuel further inflation. Major retailers like Tesco and M&S cautioned that these pressures may lead to store closures and job cuts, while economists question whether the government can mitigate the impact amidst limited fiscal flexibility.
Investment Insight
Higher food inflation and rising retailer costs could squeeze margins for UK supermarkets and high-street chains. Investors might consider defensive consumer staples or discount retailers better positioned to weather inflationary pressures.

Seven & i Shares Drop Amid Buyout Rejection Speculation
Shares of Seven & i Holdings, operator of 7-Eleven, fell as much as 12% after reports suggested the company might reject a $47 billion takeover bid from Canada’s Alimentation Couche-Tard. While Seven & i denied the report, stating discussions are ongoing, the stock ended the day down 7.8%. The rejection is rumored to stem from antitrust concerns in the U.S., adding to investor unease after a failed buyout attempt by the founding Ito family last week. The saga highlights Japan’s evolving openness to foreign capital amid governance reforms and shareholder pressure for greater value creation.
Investment Insight
The uncertainty surrounding Seven & i’s strategic direction could weigh on its stock in the near term. Investors may want to monitor developments in governance reforms and shareholder decisions, as these may unlock potential long-term value.
Conclusion
Global markets are grappling with heightened uncertainty as trade tensions, inflationary pressures, and shifting corporate strategies dominate the headlines. From U.S. tariffs impacting equities and oil prices to TSMC’s massive investment in American manufacturing, the interplay between geopolitics and economic priorities is reshaping industries. Rising UK shop prices signal persistent inflation risks, while Seven & i’s buyout saga underscores the challenges of balancing shareholder value with governance reforms. As markets remain volatile, investors should stay alert to opportunities in sectors showing resilience, such as semiconductors, defensive stocks, and energy, while keeping an eye on evolving global trade dynamics.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- March 5th, 2025: Australia GDP, China’s National People’s Congress; Eurozone HCOB services PMI, PPI
- March 7th, 2025: Eurozone GDP; US nonfarm payrolls, consumer credit
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – March 3, 2025
Date Issued – 3rd March 2025
Preview
The euro and Eastern European currencies climbed as Europe rallied behind Ukraine, boosting defense stocks while pressuring bond markets. Meanwhile, China may reintroduce coal import controls to address oversupply, highlighting risks for mining profitability amid record production. Chinese factories saw a surge in orders ahead of U.S. tariff hikes, but growth risks persist as Beijing’s National People’s Congress aims to counter economic headwinds. President Trump proposed a U.S. crypto reserve, sparking a crypto rally, though funding and policy uncertainties loom. Gold prices edged higher on a weaker dollar and geopolitical tensions, reinforcing its safe-haven appeal as markets await key U.S. economic data later this week.
Euro and Stocks Climb as Europe Rallies Behind Ukraine
The euro strengthened by 0.4% against the dollar, buoyed by European efforts to support Ukraine amidst U.S. policy uncertainty. Eastern European currencies like the Polish zloty and Romanian leu also gained, while European equities tracked Asian stocks higher. Leaders in Europe are forming a “coalition of the willing” to bolster Ukraine, with potential increases in defense spending benefiting firms like Rheinmetall AG and BAE Systems Plc. Meanwhile, markets eye geopolitical developments, China’s National People’s Congress, and ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions.
Investment Insight: Heightened European defense spending signals growth opportunities in the sector, but rising debt issuance could pressure bond markets. Diversify exposure to capture gains in defense equities while hedging against potential debt-related risks.
China Considers Coal Import Controls Amid Oversupply Concerns
China may reintroduce coal import controls to address oversupply, as demand falls short of expectations, causing a sharp decline in prices. Industry groups have urged miners to limit output and importers to curb lower-quality shipments. While a complete ban is unlikely due to WTO obligations, authorities could discourage imports through delays or inspections, similar to measures taken in prior years. Thermal coal prices have hit their lowest level since 2021, testing the government-regulated floor. Beijing’s focus on energy security has driven record coal production at the expense of decarbonization progress.
Investment Insight: Falling coal prices and potential import restrictions could pressure mining profitability. Investors should monitor policy developments and consider reallocating to renewable energy sectors, which stand to benefit from China’s eventual shift back to decarbonization goals.
Chinese Factories See Surge in Orders Ahead of U.S. Tariff Hike
Chinese manufacturers reported stronger-than-expected orders in February as importers rushed to beat a U.S. tariff increase from 10% to 20%, effective Tuesday. The official purchasing managers index (PMI) rose to 50.2, signaling slight expansion, while new orders climbed to 51.1. Analysts attribute the uptick to government spending and importers “front-running” tariffs. However, growth risks remain as the higher tariffs take effect. The annual National People’s Congress is expected to outline policies to counter slowing growth, projected to fall below 5% this year.
Investment Insight: Short-term export boosts may mask broader challenges for China’s manufacturing sector as tariffs and economic headwinds intensify. Consider reducing exposure to trade-sensitive industries while exploring opportunities in domestic consumption and tech innovation tied to Beijing’s policy priorities.
Trump Proposes Crypto Reserve, Details Unclear
President Donald Trump announced plans for a U.S. crypto reserve including Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, Solana, and Cardano, sparking a crypto rally. Bitcoin rose 10%, while Ether gained 13% before retracing slightly. Uncertainty surrounds funding for the reserve, with speculation pointing to seized crypto assets. Meanwhile, looming 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, and an additional 10% on China, add to market volatility. Analysts warn of economic risks as U.S. GDP forecasts turn negative, and all eyes are on Friday’s jobs report and Powell’s speech for clarity on monetary policy.
Investment Insight: Crypto markets may see volatility from Trump’s announcement, but funding challenges and policy uncertainty could limit upside. Consider short-term opportunities in major cryptocurrencies while remaining cautious of broader economic risks tied to tariffs and weak U.S. data.

Gold Gains on Weaker Dollar, Geopolitical Risks
Gold prices rose 0.3% to $2,865.69 per ounce on Monday as the U.S. dollar weakened amid uncertainty over trade tariffs and geopolitical instability following stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks. The U.S. Dollar Index dipped 0.4%, enhancing gold’s safe-haven appeal. Other precious metals also advanced, with Platinum up 1.2% and Silver gaining 0.7%. Meanwhile, U.S. economic data pointed to slowing growth and sticky inflation, reinforcing bets for potential Fed rate cuts later this year.
Investment Insight: Continued geopolitical tension and economic uncertainty make gold attractive as a hedge. Investors may consider increasing exposure to bullion while monitoring Fed policy signals and geopolitical developments.
Conclusion
Markets are navigating a complex landscape of geopolitical tensions, trade policy uncertainty, and economic headwinds. Europe’s defense spending push highlights investment opportunities but raises debt concerns, while China’s coal oversupply and tariff-driven factory activity signal mixed economic trends. President Trump’s crypto reserve proposal has energized digital assets but leaves questions unanswered, adding to market volatility. Meanwhile, gold’s safe-haven appeal strengthens as investors weigh weak U.S. growth data and inflation risks. With key events like China’s National People’s Congress, U.S. tariff decisions, and Friday’s jobs report ahead, markets face a pivotal week that could shape near-term sentiment and investment strategies.
Upcoming Dates to Watch:
- March 3rd, 2025: Eurozone CPI
- March 5th, 2025: Australia GDP, China’s National People’s Congress; Eurozone HCOB services PMI, PPI
- March 7th, 2025: Eurozone GDP; US nonfarm payrolls, consumer credit
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 28, 2025
Date Issued – 28th February 2025
Preview
Markets Reeling as Trump’s New Tariffs Spark Fears and Global Equities Tumble
Markets are reeling as President Trump’s new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China spark fears of trade tensions, sending global equities tumbling and safe-haven assets rallying. Meanwhile, Tencent unveiled its Hunyuan Turbo S AI model to rival DeepSeek, highlighting China’s intensifying AI race, though profitability remains a concern.
In crypto, Bitcoin has plunged 25% from its January peak amid risk-off sentiment, with ETFs seeing record outflows. Broadcom fell 7% alongside a broader chip selloff, with analysts pointing to key support and resistance levels as uncertainty clouds tech stocks. Lastly, China tightened its grip on critical metals by investing record sums in overseas mining, deepening global concerns over supply chain dependencies.
Market Turmoil as Trump’s New Tariffs Hit Global Stocks
Equities tumbled worldwide after President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, sparking fears of heightened trade tensions. Asian markets posted their sharpest drop in a month, while European and US futures signaled further losses. The S&P 500 slid 1.6%, erasing its gains for the year, and the Nasdaq 100 fell 2.8%, with Nvidia plunging 8.5%. Treasury yields dropped to December lows as havens rallied, while the dollar strengthened.
Economists warned the tariffs could dampen growth and worsen inflation, with potential recessions in Mexico and Canada. Meanwhile, China vowed retaliation, deepening uncertainty.
Investment Insight:
Heightened trade tensions are driving investors toward safe-haven assets like Treasuries and away from riskier equities, especially tech stocks. Near-term caution is advised, though China’s potential stimulus measures could restore sentiment in its markets. Diversification and hedging strategies remain key.
Tencent Joins AI Arms Race With Hunyuan Turbo S
Tencent Holdings unveiled its Hunyuan Turbo S AI model, claiming it surpasses DeepSeek, the Chinese startup that has revolutionized the AI landscape. The Turbo S focuses on instant responsiveness, contrasting with DeepSeek’s deep reasoning approach, and is now available via Tencent Cloud. This move follows a surge of AI rollouts from major players like Alibaba, Baidu, and ByteDance, as Chinese tech giants intensify efforts to close the gap with US counterparts.
Despite Tencent’s advancements, analysts suggest its AI ventures will remain unprofitable in the near term.
Investment Insight:
The AI race in China is accelerating, but profitability remains elusive for many players. Investors should monitor Tencent’s AI cloud strategy and its ability to convert innovation into meaningful revenue, while considering broader opportunities in AI infrastructure and cloud services.
Market price: Tencent Holdings Ltd. (HKG: 0700): HKD 478.80
Bitcoin Drops 25% From Peak as Crypto Selloff Deepens
Bitcoin plunged 5.5% in Asian trading, extending losses to 25% from its all-time high of $109,241 in January. Broader cryptocurrencies like Ether, Solana, and XRP also fell sharply amid a global risk-off sentiment fueled by President Trump’s tariff announcements. Once buoyed by hopes of Trump’s pro-crypto stance, Bitcoin’s rally has reversed as economic uncertainty and bearish market sentiment weigh heavily on digital assets.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $1 billion in outflows this week, underscoring waning investor confidence.
Investment Insight:
The crypto market’s volatility highlights the importance of cautious positioning. With Bitcoin near $79,000, technical support at $70,000 may offer a potential floor, but broader market sentiment remains a decisive factor. Diversification into less volatile assets could help mitigate near-term risks.
Broadcom Falls 7% Amid Chip Selloff: Key Levels to Watch
Broadcom (AVGO) shares slid 7% Thursday, hitting a one-month low as chip stocks tumbled following Nvidia’s earnings and President Trump’s new tariff announcements. The stock has dropped 15% year-to-date but remains up over 50% in the past year, fueled by AI chip demand.
Technical analysis highlights key support levels at $185, $160, and $140, while resistance at $230 and a speculative upside target of $295 could come into play if the longer-term uptrend resumes.
Investment Insight:
Chip stocks are under pressure amid macroeconomic uncertainty and AI-related spending concerns. Investors should closely monitor Broadcom’s technical levels and broader market sentiment before taking positions. A potential rebound could offer opportunities, but downside risks persist.
Market price: Broadcom Inc (AVGO): USD 197.80

China Tightens Grip on Metals Supply Chain With Record Mining Push Abroad
China committed over $21 billion to overseas mining projects last year under Xi Jinping’s Belt and Road Initiative — the largest annual investment since the program began in 2013, according to a new study. This strategic expansion bolsters Beijing’s dominance in critical metals like lithium, cobalt, and rare earths, which are essential for EV batteries, electronics, and defense industries. Amid rising geopolitical tensions, China has imposed export restrictions on key minerals, countering efforts by the US, EU, and Japan to diversify supply chains.
Investment Insight
China’s control over critical minerals reinforces its influence on global commodity markets. Investors should monitor developments in alternative supply chains, such as US partnerships with Canada and Australia, while assessing opportunities in companies tied to rare earths and battery metals outside China.
Conclusion
Global markets face mounting pressure as trade tensions, tech selloffs, and crypto volatility dominate headlines. President Trump’s tariffs have rattled equities, while safe-haven assets see renewed interest. In tech, Tencent’s AI push reflects China’s ambition to lead in innovation, though challenges to profitability remain. Bitcoin’s sharp decline underscores the fragility of the crypto market amid broader economic uncertainty. Meanwhile, China’s aggressive overseas mining investments cement its dominance in critical metals, raising concerns over global supply chains. As risks escalate across sectors, investors should stay vigilant, focusing on diversification and monitoring key market trends for opportunities and challenges ahead.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 28th, 2025: US PCE inflation, Germany CPI, Tokyo CPI
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 27, 2025
Date Issued – 27th February 2025
Preview
Markets are Grappling with Uncertainty as Nvidia’s Strong Earnings Were Overshadowed by Geopolitical Risks
Markets are facing uncertainty as Nvidia’s strong earnings were overshadowed by geopolitical risks, including President Trump’s sweeping tariff plans on the EU, Mexico, and Canada. Asian equities dropped, with European futures down 0.9%, while oil steadied near its yearly low amid concerns over Russian supply increases.
In Japan, Seven & I Holdings shares plunged after the founding family failed to secure funding for a $58 billion buyout, leaving Canada’s Couche-Tard poised for a potential acquisition. Nomura downgraded Taiwanese stocks, citing AI sector scrutiny and US tariffs, with TSMC underperforming the broader MSCI Asia Pacific Index.
Meanwhile, gold retreated 0.8% from its record high as a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields weighed on the metal, while investors await the Fed’s inflation data for further monetary policy signals.
Nvidia Beats Estimates, Tariff Worries Weigh on Stocks
Asian equities fell Thursday as Nvidia’s mixed outlook failed to sustain investor enthusiasm, and President Trump’s announcement of 25% tariffs on EU goods and potential trade restrictions on chips rattled markets. Nvidia posted strong Q4 earnings — beating estimates with $0.89 EPS on $39.3 billion revenue — and issued solid Q1 guidance, buoyed by the rapid success of its Blackwell AI chips.
However, concerns over tighter profit margins, supply chain constraints, and the rise of alternatives like custom AI chips from Big Tech dampened some optimism. European futures dropped as much as 0.9%, while Nvidia’s stock initially climbed on its earnings report but pared gains in after-hours trading. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields edged higher as traders anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts amidst slowing economic growth.
Investment Insight:
Nvidia remains a dominant force in AI, but geopolitical risks like tariffs and export controls loom large. Investors should monitor Big Tech’s shift toward custom AI chips and consider the potential impact on Nvidia’s revenue. Diversifying into regions like Europe and China or hedging with fixed-income assets may help navigate this uncertain environment.
Market price: Nvidia Corp (NVDA): USD 131.28
7-Eleven Owner’s Founding Family Fails in Buyout Bid, Couche-Tard Eyes Acquisition
Japan’s Seven & I Holdings, the owner of 7-Eleven, announced that its founding Ito family failed to secure the $58 billion needed for a management buyout. This opens the door for Canada’s Alimentation Couche-Tard, which has proposed a $47 billion acquisition. The company stated it is now evaluating Couche-Tard’s offer alongside other strategic alternatives to maximize shareholder value.
Seven & I shares plunged over 12% in Tokyo trading, marking their worst drop since 2005, while Itochu, a key stakeholder, rose 6.8% after ending its consideration of the buyout. Couche-Tard reaffirmed its commitment to negotiating a deal, underscoring the growing foreign interest in Japanese assets amid improving corporate governance and economic reforms.
Investment Insight:
The collapse of the founding family’s buyout bid strengthens Couche-Tard’s position, signaling potential opportunities in Japanese equities as global investors target undervalued assets. Seven & I’s stock remains volatile, but Couche-Tard’s acquisition pursuit may provide upside potential.
Oil Prices Steady Near Year’s Low Amid Tariff and Supply Concerns
Oil prices stabilized near their lowest close of the year, with Brent crude trading below $73 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate near $69. The market remains pressured by US President Trump’s tariff threats against Mexico, Canada, and the European Union, compounding concerns about economic growth. Crude is on track for its largest monthly loss since September, overshadowing potential price lifts from tighter Iran sanctions and OPEC+ production delays.
On the supply front, Trump’s plan to revoke Chevron’s Venezuelan oil license threatens the nation’s recovery, while Iraq announced an agreement to restart Kurdistan crude exports without specifying timing. Additionally, prospects of a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia raise the possibility of increased Russian oil supplies, further weighing on prices.
Investment Insight:
Oil markets face persistent headwinds from geopolitical uncertainty and weakening demand signals. Investors should remain cautious, as potential Russian supply increases and global trade tensions could keep prices under pressure in the near term.
Nomura Downgrades Taiwanese Stocks Amid AI Scrutiny and Tariff Concerns
Nomura Holdings downgraded Taiwanese equities from “tactical overweight” to “neutral,” citing rising scrutiny of the AI sector, US tariff threats, and elevated valuations. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), the island’s largest stock, has fallen over 3% this year, underperforming the broader MSCI Asia Pacific Index, which gained 3.6%.
The move comes as cost-efficient AI models from Chinese startup DeepSeek raise questions about the need for massive capital expenditure, potentially impacting TSMC, a key supplier to Apple and Nvidia. Meanwhile, tensions between China and Taiwan and President Trump’s tariffs on Chinese goods continue to weigh on sentiment.
Investment Insight:
Taiwan’s equity outlook faces pressure from geopolitical risks and valuation concerns. Investors may consider shifting focus to Chinese equities, which Nomura highlighted for their innovation-driven recovery and reduced discount to global peers.

Gold Declines as Stronger Dollar and Rising Yields Weigh
Gold prices fell 0.8% to $2,893 an ounce as the US dollar strengthened and Treasury yields climbed, eroding demand for the non-yielding metal. This comes after gold set a record high earlier in the week, driven by haven demand amid uncertainty over President Trump’s sweeping tariff plans, including a 25% levy on EU goods and unclear deadlines for tariffs on Canada and Mexico. The stronger dollar makes gold less attractive to investors holding other currencies, while rising yields further pressure bullion.
Investors are now closely watching the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge on Friday for clues on monetary policy shifts, which could influence gold’s outlook.
Investment Insight:
Gold’s pullback highlights its sensitivity to rising yields and currency strength. Investors may consider gold as a long-term hedge but should remain cautious of near-term volatility tied to geopolitical and economic developments.
Conclusion
Markets remain on edge as geopolitical tensions, trade tariffs, and shifting monetary policy dominate investor sentiment. Nvidia’s earnings highlight ongoing strength in AI but fail to offset concerns over supply chain risks and rising competition. Meanwhile, oil prices hover near yearly lows as trade uncertainty and potential increases in Russian supply weigh on the outlook.
The collapse of Seven & I’s buyout bid signals opportunities for foreign investors targeting undervalued Japanese assets. With gold slipping from record highs and Taiwanese equities facing headwinds, investors should brace for continued volatility while keeping an eye on key economic and policy developments.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 27th, 2025: US GDP, Eurozone consumer confidence
- February 28th, 2025: US PCE inflation, Germany CPI, Tokyo CPI
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 26, 2025
Date Issued – 26th February 2025
Preview
Global markets steadied Wednesday after weak U.S. consumer data shook sentiment, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index rallying on optimism over China’s tech advancements and AI growth. U.S. oil stabilized near $69 a barrel amid demand concerns, while copper surged 4.9% after President Trump launched a tariff probe to protect U.S. producers. Tesla shares plunged 8%, falling below a $1 trillion market cap, as European sales dropped 45% in January, highlighting intensifying competition. Meanwhile, the FAA tapped SpaceX’s Starlink for airspace IT upgrades, raising conflict-of-interest concerns around Elon Musk’s dual roles. Investors remain focused on Nvidia’s earnings and OPEC+ production controls as key market drivers.
Global Markets Stabilize, Hang Seng Soars Amid Optimism
Global assets steadied Wednesday after weak U.S. economic data spurred investor caution. Asian markets outperformed, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index continuing its rally, driven by optimism over China’s tech advancements and renewed AI development. U.S. and European futures pointed to gains, while 10-year Treasury yields rebounded slightly after sharp declines. Key focus remains on Nvidia’s earnings, seen as pivotal for market sentiment. Meanwhile, copper rose on news of potential U.S. tariffs, and oil prices stabilized after slipping into the $60 range.
Investment Insight: The Hang Seng’s rally highlights opportunities in Chinese equities, particularly in AI-driven sectors. However, geopolitical risks and U.S.-China decoupling efforts remain significant headwinds for investors.
FAA Taps SpaceX’s Starlink for Airspace Modernization, Sparking Conflict Concerns
The FAA has awarded a contract to SpaceX’s Starlink to upgrade its IT network managing U.S. airspace, marking a step toward modernizing outdated systems. The deal, involving 4,000 terminals over 12-18 months, comes as CEO Elon Musk advocates federal budget cuts, including FAA staff reductions, raising concerns about conflicts of interest. Musk’s dual roles—as head of SpaceX and leader of the Department of Government Efficiency under President Trump—have drawn scrutiny over regulatory oversight of his businesses. Critics argue Musk’s financial interests, including the potential for lucrative space mining ventures, demand greater transparency.
Investment Insight: SpaceX’s increasing reliance on federal contracts highlights the company’s critical role in infrastructure upgrades. Investors should monitor regulatory risks and Musk’s political entanglements, which could impact market perception and government partnerships.
US Oil Stabilizes in the $60s Amid Demand Concerns
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude steadied near $69 a barrel after dropping to its lowest level since mid-December. Weak U.S. consumer confidence data and escalating trade tensions under President Trump have fueled anxiety about energy demand. Oil prices have fallen nearly 5% this month, pressured by sluggish Chinese consumption and the potential resumption of Iraqi pipeline flows. While sanctions on Iran and expected OPEC+ production limits offer some support, market sentiment remains clouded by uncertainty over global economic growth.
Investment Insight: Oil’s decline reflects broader economic fears, but OPEC+ production controls may stabilize prices. Investors should watch for geopolitical developments and further signals on global demand trends.

Tesla Drops 8%, Market Cap Falls Below $1 Trillion on Weak European Sales
Tesla shares plunged 8% Tuesday after reporting a 45% drop in January European car sales, a stark contrast to the region’s 37.3% EV market growth. Tesla’s market share in Europe slid to just 1%, while competitors like China’s SAIC Motor surged ahead. This marks continued struggles for Tesla in Europe, with German sales down 41% in 2024. Rising competition, Elon Musk’s political controversies, and slower adoption of Tesla’s self-driving technology are fueling investor concerns. Tesla’s market cap now stands at $974 billion, below the $1 trillion threshold.
Investment Insight: Tesla faces intensifying competition in key markets. Investors should monitor its ability to regain momentum in Europe and defend its position against rising Chinese EV manufacturers like BYD.
Copper Prices Surge as Trump Orders Tariff Probe
Copper futures soared 4.9% in New York after President Trump directed the Commerce Department to investigate tariffs on imported copper under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act. The move aims to protect U.S. producers and reshape supply chains, with Trump arguing global actors have weakened the domestic copper industry. Shares of U.S. copper miners, including Freeport-McMoRan, rallied over 6% in after-hours trading. Meanwhile, Chile’s Codelco resumed mining operations following the country’s largest power outage in 15 years.
Investment Insight: Tariff actions could create a price gap between U.S. and global copper markets, benefiting domestic producers. Investors should watch for further policy developments and potential supply disruptions.
Conclusion
Markets showed signs of stabilization midweek, but investor sentiment remains fragile amid weak U.S. data and ongoing geopolitical tensions. Tesla’s struggles in Europe, coupled with intensifying competition, highlight challenges in the EV sector, while copper’s surge reflects shifting trade policies under President Trump. Oil markets face uncertainty as demand concerns weigh against OPEC+ production controls. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng’s rally underscores opportunities in China’s tech-driven growth. As Nvidia’s earnings loom, investors should remain vigilant for signals of broader market direction, while keeping an eye on policy developments and global economic indicators shaping the next wave of market movements.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 26th, 2025: Nvidia Earnings
- February 27th, 2025: US GDP, Eurozone consumer confidence
- February 28th, 2025: US PCE inflation, Germany CPI, Tokyo CPI
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 25, 2025
Date Issued – 25th February 2025
Preview
Asian stocks tumbled as U.S. tariffs and curbs on Chinese investments heightened market uncertainty, while gold hit near-record highs. Tata Capital announced plans for a blockbuster IPO, signaling strong investor appetite in India’s financial sector. Chinese cobalt stocks surged after Congo’s unexpected export ban, which could tighten global supply and benefit Indonesia. Meanwhile, Japanese trading houses rallied on Warren Buffett’s increased stakes, seen as a vote of confidence in the sector. On the downside, Palantir shares plunged 25% amid U.S. defense budget cuts and valuation concerns, ending a streak of record gains.
Trump’s Tariffs and Curbs on China Rattle Asian Markets
Asian stocks experienced their sharpest drop in three weeks after U.S. President Donald Trump announced tariffs on Canada and Mexico while ordering restrictions on Chinese investments in key sectors like tech and energy. The uncertainty weighed heavily on markets in Japan, Taiwan, and Hong Kong, with 10-year Treasury yields dropping three basis points to 4.4% and gold holding near record highs. Trump’s deepening rift with U.S. allies over Ukraine and potential restrictions on semiconductor exports to China added to investor unease. Meanwhile, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies continued their slide amidst broader risk-off sentiment. In Japan, trading houses rallied after Berkshire Hathaway signaled plans to increase stakes in key firms. The Bank of Korea lowered its key interest rate to 2.75%, while oil prices edged higher following new U.S. sanctions on Iran.
Investment Insight: Escalating U.S. trade tensions and geopolitical shifts are driving volatility in Asian markets. Investors should monitor sectors sensitive to tariffs and geopolitical risk while considering diversification into safe-haven assets like gold.
Tata Capital Prepares for One of India’s Biggest IPOs of 2025
Tata Capital Ltd., the financial arm of the $165 billion Tata Group, is set to go public in what could be India’s largest IPO this year, aiming to raise at least ₹150 billion ($1.7 billion). The company plans to sell 230 million new shares and offer ₹15 billion worth of stock to existing shareholders through a rights issue. This IPO could surpass the $1.5 billion offering planned by LG Electronics’ Indian unit and follows Tata Technologies’ successful IPO in 2023. The announcement boosted Tata Investment Corp.’s shares by as much as 10%, reflecting market enthusiasm. India’s IPO market continues to thrive, with $20 billion raised last year and over 60 IPOs currently in the pipeline. Tata Capital serves diverse customer segments through 900 branches, offering products ranging from consumer finance to private equity.
Investment Insight: Tata Capital’s IPO reflects strong investor appetite for India’s financial services sector. Investors should capitalize on the momentum in India’s thriving IPO market but remain selective, focusing on companies with robust fundamentals and long-term growth potential.
China’s Cobalt Stocks Soar After Congo’s Surprise Export Ban
Chinese cobalt stocks surged after the Democratic Republic of Congo, which produces about 75% of the world’s cobalt, announced a four-month export ban to address global oversupply. Shares in Nanjing Hanrui Cobalt Co. jumped 17%, while Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co. rose 7.8%. However, CMOC Group Ltd., which operates major mines in Congo, dipped 2% in Hong Kong. The export halt, expected to cut global cobalt supply by 20,000 tons, could ease oversupply and buoy prices, which have fallen to multi-decade lows. Analysts note that the ban may benefit Indonesia, the second-largest cobalt producer, as it gains market share with increased Chinese investment.
Investment Insight: Cobalt market disruptions present opportunities for investors in Chinese and Indonesian producers. Monitor supply chain adjustments and price recovery trends, as well as the strategic moves of key producers like CMOC.
Buffett’s Bet Boosts Japanese Trading House Shares
Shares of Japanese trading houses surged after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway revealed plans to increase its stakes in key firms, including Mitsubishi Corp. and Marubeni Corp. Mitsubishi rose 9.2%, its largest gain in a year, while Marubeni and others posted similar advances. Berkshire’s long-term commitment was praised as a vote of confidence in the sector, which benefits from diversified operations across commodities, energy, and consumer goods.
Buffett highlighted the firms’ shareholder-friendly practices, such as dividends and share buybacks, and their conservative executive pay compared to U.S. companies. Analysts see the move as a signal of stability amid global market uncertainty, with trading houses trading at relatively low valuations.
Investment Insight: Buffett’s endorsement reinforces the appeal of Japanese trading houses as value plays with diversified revenue streams. Investors may find opportunities in this sector, particularly in firms with strong fundamentals and shareholder-friendly policies.

Palantir Plunges 25% Amid Defense Cuts and Valuation Worries
Palantir shares, a retail trader favorite, have dropped over 25% in the past week, pressured by U.S. plans to cut defense spending by 8% ($50 billion). The Department of Defense, Palantir’s largest client, accounted for 41% of its Q4 revenue, raising concerns about growth prospects.
Adding to the sell-off, CEO Alex Karp amended a stock-trading plan to sell up to 10 million shares worth $1.2 billion, unsettling investors. Analysts remain cautious, citing Palantir’s high valuation, with Deutsche Bank calling it “nearly impossible to grow into.” Despite strong recent earnings, the stock’s plunge ends a streak of record-high gains earlier this month.
Investment Insight: Palantir’s heavy reliance on defense contracts highlights its vulnerability to policy changes. Long-term investors should weigh its valuation challenges against potential opportunities in a restructured Pentagon budget.
Market price: Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR): USD 90.68
Conclusion
Global markets remain volatile as geopolitical tensions, trade policies, and shifting supply chains drive investor sentiment. While Warren Buffett’s bullish stance on Japanese trading houses and Tata Capital’s IPO highlight opportunities in value stocks and emerging markets, challenges persist. Palantir’s steep decline underscores the risks of over-reliance on government contracts, while Congo’s cobalt export ban shakes up critical supply chains. Investors should stay cautious, focusing on diversification and sectors with strong fundamentals. Amid uncertainty, safe-haven assets like gold and resilient markets like India and Japan offer compelling opportunities for those looking to navigate an evolving global investment landscape.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 25th, 2025: US consumer confidence, South Korea rate decision
- February 26th, 2025: Nvidia Earnings
- February 28th, 2025: US PCE inflation, Germany CPI, Tokyo CPI
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 24, 2025
Date Issued – 24th February 2025
Preview
European markets are poised for gains after Germany’s conservatives secured an election victory, boosting optimism for fiscal spending to address economic challenges. Alibaba announced a $53 billion investment in AI infrastructure, aiming to compete globally despite U.S. sanctions. Meanwhile, lithium and nickel miners face cost-cutting pressures as oversupply and price crashes continue, with potential for M&A activity in 2025. Microsoft is scaling back U.S. data center leases, raising questions about AI demand sustainability amid rising competition from cheaper models like China’s DeepSeek. In trade, President Trump escalated tensions with China through sweeping restrictions on investment and shipping, signaling further strain between the world’s largest economies.
European Shares Set to Gain Following German Election Result
European markets are set for a positive start as Germany’s conservatives, led by Friedrich Merz, secured a federal election victory. Futures for Germany’s DAX Index and the Euro STOXX 50 rallied, while the euro posted its largest monthly gain against the dollar, reflecting optimism over Merz’s promise to swiftly form a government. Investors expect increased fiscal spending from Germany to tackle economic challenges, including the impact of Russia’s war in Ukraine. Meanwhile, Asian markets saw a pause in Chinese tech rallies after President Trump restricted Chinese investment in key U.S. sectors.
Investment Insight: Germany’s election outcome signals a market-friendly environment, with potential for increased fiscal stimulus. Investors should monitor policy developments closely, as these will shape Europe’s near-term economic outlook.
Alibaba to Invest $53 Billion in AI Pivot
Alibaba Group announced plans to invest 380 billion yuan ($53 billion) in AI infrastructure, including data centers, over the next three years. This marks a dramatic pivot as the company doubles down on artificial intelligence, with a focus on developing Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and expanding its cloud computing capabilities. The investment trails spending by U.S. peers like Microsoft and Meta but reflects Alibaba’s renewed determination to compete globally in AI after years of regulatory challenges. The move is part of a broader strategy to integrate AI into its core businesses and regain its market leadership in China.
Investment Insight: Alibaba’s bold AI investment underscores its commitment to long-term growth in a competitive sector. Investors should monitor its ability to execute in an AI landscape constrained by U.S. sanctions and rising competition from domestic and global peers.
Market price: Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (HKG: 9988): HKD 137.2
Battery Metal Price Crash Forces Miners to Cut Costs
Lithium and nickel miners are bracing for cost cuts and potential consolidation as the sector struggles with plummeting prices and weak earnings. Key Australian lithium producers, including PLS Ltd. and IGO Ltd., reported significant losses, while nickel miners like Nickel Industries Ltd. saw impairments due to multi-year low prices. Lithium prices have dropped over 80% since 2022, and nickel has halved since 2023, fueled by oversupply and softer EV demand. Analysts expect the oversupply to persist through the decade, prompting miners to curtail spending and pause expansions, while depressed valuations may drive M&A activity in 2025.
Investment Insight: The prolonged downturn in battery metals highlights risks for investors in the sector. However, low valuations may present strategic buying opportunities, especially for major players eyeing consolidation.

Microsoft Cancels AI Data Center Leases Amid Oversupply Concerns
Microsoft is canceling leases for significant data center capacity in the U.S., including agreements totaling hundreds of megawatts, according to TD Cowen. The move has raised questions about whether Microsoft is growing cautious about long-term AI demand despite maintaining its $80 billion fiscal year spending target for AI infrastructure. Analysts speculate this reflects potential oversupply, as rivals like Meta have similarly slowed capital outlays. Wall Street scrutiny of AI spending has increased following the emergence of lower-cost AI models, such as those from Chinese upstart DeepSeek, which challenge the economics of massive investments.
Investment Insight: Microsoft’s lease cancellations suggest a reevaluation of AI infrastructure growth. Investors should monitor how this impacts the broader AI race and whether spending adjustments signal a potential plateau in AI demand.
Market price: Microsoft Corp (MSFT): USD 408.21
Trump Escalates Trade Tensions With China in Sweeping New Moves
President Trump has taken his most aggressive steps yet against China, targeting investment, trade, and shipping industries. A new memorandum directs the Committee on Foreign Investment to restrict Chinese investments in U.S. strategic sectors, including tech, energy, and farmland. Additional measures include proposed fees on Chinese-built ships, scrutiny of a 1984 tax treaty, and curbs on U.S. pension fund investments in Chinese high-tech firms. These actions, paired with ongoing tariffs and security restrictions, signal a deepening rift between the two economic powers. Beijing has criticized the moves, warning they could erode investor confidence and further strain U.S.-China trade relations.
Investment Insight: Rising tensions between the U.S. and China may weigh on global trade and increase market volatility. Investors should assess exposure to affected sectors like shipping, AI, and tech supply chains, while watching for potential retaliatory actions from Beijing.
Conclusion
Markets are navigating a complex landscape shaped by geopolitical tensions, technological pivots, and shifting commodity dynamics. Germany’s election outcome brings hope for fiscal stimulus in Europe, while Alibaba’s bold AI investment underscores the intensifying competition in the tech sector. Battery metal miners face consolidation pressures as oversupply weighs on prices, and Microsoft’s reevaluation of AI infrastructure highlights growing scrutiny over long-term demand. Meanwhile, escalating U.S.-China trade tensions could disrupt global markets further. As investors seek clarity, monitoring policy shifts, corporate strategies, and economic indicators will be key to identifying opportunities in an increasingly uncertain environment.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 24th, 2025: Eurozone CPI
- February 25th, 2025: US consumer confidence, South Korea rate decision
- February 26th, 2025: Nvidia Earnings
- February 28th, 2025: US PCE inflation, Germany CPI, Tokyo CPI
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 21, 2025
Date Issued – 21th February 2025
Preview
Global markets are navigating a mix of opportunities and uncertainties. Taiwan’s potential ETF rule changes and surging Chinese tech stocks highlight regional growth prospects, while gold’s rally underscores investor caution amid geopolitical tensions. Nissan’s challenges, from Moody’s downgrade to Tesla partnership talks, reflect broader struggles in the auto sector, while Trump’s push for U.S. LNG exports signals a strategic shift in Asia’s energy landscape. As economic and geopolitical dynamics evolve, investors should remain vigilant and assess opportunities in technology, energy, and safe-haven assets while balancing risks tied to restructuring and global trade uncertainties.
Taiwan Considers Lifting ETF Weighting Cap as TSMC’s Influence Grows
Taiwan’s Financial Supervisory Commission is weighing a proposal to lift the 30% cap on single-stock weightings in local ETFs that track indexes. The move comes as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) now represents 37% of the Taiex benchmark, driven by its 140% stock surge since late 2022 amid the AI investment boom. Current rules complicate adjustments for ETFs tracking such benchmarks. A decision could come in the first half of 2025. This follows similar regulatory changes in South Korea, where ETF caps were eased in 2020 due to Samsung’s growing dominance.
Investment Insight: TSMC’s swelling market share underscores the risks of concentration in passive ETF strategies. Investors should monitor potential rule changes to assess the diversification benefits of Taiwan-based ETFs.
Market price: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TPPE:2330): TWD 1,095.00
Gold Extends Rally as ETF Inflows Surge Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty
Gold is on track for an eighth consecutive weekly gain—its longest streak since 2020—driven by heightened haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and trade concerns. Though bullion dipped below $2,928 an ounce on Friday, it remains over 1% higher this week. Global ETF holdings in gold surged by 16 tons, marking the largest weekly inflow since 2023. Contributing factors include fears over U.S. diplomacy with Russia on Ukraine, a weakening dollar, and central-bank buying. Goldman Sachs raised its year-end target for gold to $3,100 an ounce, citing sustained demand.
Investment Insight: Gold’s prolonged rally reflects its role as a hedge against geopolitical and currency risks. Investors should weigh exposure to bullion-backed ETFs as central-bank buying and dollar weakness persist.
Nissan Faces Uncertainty Amid Tesla Partnership Hopes and Moody’s Downgrade
A Japanese group, including former Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga, is courting Tesla to invest in Nissan following the collapse of its $60 billion merger talks with Honda. The group hopes Tesla will become a strategic partner, potentially acquiring Nissan’s U.S. plants. Elon Musk’s recent comments about Tesla’s steering-wheel-free “Cybercab” highlight the automaker’s ambitions to transform the EV industry. Nissan shares jumped 9.6% after the report.
At the same time, Moody’s downgraded Nissan’s credit rating to junk status (Ba1), citing challenges with its restructuring plan, aging product lineup, and global trade risks, including potential U.S. tariffs. While Nissan’s turnaround includes workforce cuts and capacity reductions, free cash flow remains negative, raising concerns about its financial health despite adequate short-term liquidity.
Investment Insight: Tesla’s potential partnership with Nissan could provide a competitive edge in scaling EV production, but Moody’s downgrade underscores significant risks for Nissan. Investors should remain cautious, particularly with automakers facing restructuring and trade uncertainties.

Trump Pushes U.S. LNG to Reshape Asia’s Energy Landscape
President Donald Trump is advancing a plan to expand U.S. LNG exports to Asia, spotlighting the $44 billion Alaska LNG project in talks with Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba. Trump pitched the initiative as a way for Japan to reduce reliance on Middle Eastern and Russian energy while addressing trade imbalances with the U.S. Though Japan expressed tentative support, logistical and cost hurdles remain for the Alaska pipeline. The broader strategy seeks to bind Asian allies like Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan to U.S. energy supplies, enhancing their energy security and reducing China’s and Russia’s influence in the region.
Investment Insight: The push for U.S. LNG in Asia highlights opportunities in energy infrastructure and export terminals. Investors should watch for developments in Alaskan LNG projects and partnerships with Asian allies, which could drive demand for U.S. natural gas.
Chinese Tech Stocks Surge on Strong Earnings and Renewed Optimism
The Hang Seng Tech Index jumped over 5% on Friday, reaching its highest level since early 2022, as upbeat earnings from top Chinese tech firms fueled investor sentiment. Alibaba surged nearly 14% after reporting stronger-than-expected sales, while Bilibili and Lenovo also rallied on positive results. Investor enthusiasm has been bolstered by breakthroughs from AI startup DeepSeek and President Xi Jinping’s recent conciliatory meeting with tech executives, signaling potential government support for the sector. The broader Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose over 3%.
Investment Insight: Chinese tech stocks are regaining momentum, supported by strong earnings and improved regulatory sentiment. Investors may find opportunities in leading firms like Alibaba, especially as foreign funds reconsider exposure to Chinese equities.
Conclusion
Global markets are navigating a mix of opportunities and uncertainties. Taiwan’s potential ETF rule changes and surging Chinese tech stocks highlight regional growth prospects, while gold’s rally underscores investor caution amid geopolitical tensions. Nissan’s challenges, from Moody’s downgrade to Tesla partnership talks, reflect broader struggles in the auto sector, while Trump’s push for U.S. LNG exports signals a strategic shift in Asia’s energy landscape. As economic and geopolitical dynamics evolve, investors should remain vigilant and assess opportunities in technology, energy, and safe-haven assets while balancing risks tied to restructuring and global trade uncertainties.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
February 21st, 2025: Eurozone HCOB manufacturing & services PMI, US S&P Global manufacturing & services PMI
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.