Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 5, 2025
Date Issued – 5th February 2025
Preview
Toyota is expanding its EV operations in China with a new Shanghai unit set to produce 100,000 Lexus vehicles annually by 2027 while raising its profit forecast to ¥4.7 trillion ($30.7 billion) despite a quarterly earnings dip. Meanwhile, Trump’s revocation of the de minimis rule and new 10% tariffs on Chinese imports are raising costs for e-commerce giants like Shein and Temu, spurring legal challenges and market shifts. Asian stocks slid after weak Chinese manufacturing data and escalating US-China trade tensions, with gold hitting a record high. The USPS also suspended parcels from China and Hong Kong, further straining supply chains. Lastly, California’s wildfires underscore the state’s insurance crisis, as reliance on the underfunded FAIR Plan grows amid private insurer pullbacks. Elevated risks persist across trade, insurance, and commodity markets.
Toyota Expands in China and Raises Profit Forecast
Toyota Motor is establishing a wholly owned unit in Shanghai to develop and produce electric vehicles and batteries for its Lexus brand, with production beginning in 2027. The unit aims to produce 100,000 vehicles annually and create 1,000 jobs in its initial phase. Toyota will also partner with the Shanghai municipal government on carbon-neutral initiatives, aligning with China’s 2060 carbon neutrality goal.
Meanwhile, Toyota raised its full-year operating profit forecast by 9% to 4.7 trillion yen ($30.7 billion), driven by strong hybrid vehicle demand and improved product competitiveness. Despite a 28% decline in third-quarter profit, Toyota remains the world’s top-selling automaker, with 2024 global sales of 10.8 million vehicles.
Investment Insight: Toyota’s strategic investment in China’s EV market and strong financial performance highlight its resilience and foresight in adapting to global trends. Its leadership in hybrid sales and expansion into electrification make it a solid contender for long-term growth.
Market price: Toyota Motor Corp (TYO: 7203): JPY 2,958
Trump’s Tariffs Close Loophole for Shein and Temu
The White House has eliminated the de minimis exemption, which allowed packages under $800 to enter the U.S. duty-free, as part of Trump’s new 10% tariff on Chinese goods. This change targets Chinese e-commerce giants like Shein and Temu, whose rapid growth relied on tax-free shipments of low-cost goods. The exemption, expanded in 2016, fueled a surge from 139 million packages in 2015 to over 1.36 billion in 2024, sparking criticism from U.S. manufacturers and scrutiny over its use in drug trafficking. Ending de minimis for Chinese imports could cost U.S. consumers $11.4 billion in fees and tariffs annually, disproportionately affecting low-income households. Legal challenges to the tariffs are likely, as their legality under existing laws remains uncertain.
Investment Insight: The closure of the de minimis loophole may reshape e-commerce by increasing costs for Chinese retailers and incentivizing domestic alternatives. Investors should monitor shifts in consumer spending and potential litigation outcomes, as they could impact major platforms like Amazon and disrupt the discount retail market.
US Futures Dip, Asian Stocks Lose Momentum Amid Trade Tensions
Asian stocks pared gains as Chinese shares fell upon reopening after Lunar New Year, weighed down by escalating trade tensions between the US and China. Hong Kong equities slid, while US and European futures turned lower, impacted by Alphabet Inc. and AMD’s extended trading losses. The US Postal Service temporarily halted international packages from China and Hong Kong following Trump’s revocation of the de minimis exemption for Chinese imports. Meanwhile, the yuan weakened under mounting trade pressures, and weaker-than-expected Chinese manufacturing data further dampened sentiment. Gold surged to a record high above $2,854 an ounce, while oil declined on concerns over global growth.
Investment Insight: Rising US-China trade tensions and weak Chinese economic data are driving market volatility. Investors should remain cautious of near-term risks to equities, particularly in Asian markets, while gold and other safe-haven assets may continue to gain appeal amid uncertainty.
US Postal Service Halts Parcels From China and Hong Kong
The US Postal Service (USPS) has temporarily suspended inbound international packages from China and Hong Kong, disrupting shipments from e-commerce giants like Shein and Temu. The move follows President Trump’s revocation of the de minimis rule, which previously allowed packages under $800 to enter the US duty-free, and the implementation of a new 10% tariff on Chinese goods. Critics argue the loophole enabled a flood of untracked parcels, some linked to illicit goods like fentanyl. While the USPS restriction rattled Asian markets, analysts believe its impact may be limited as private carriers like UPS and FedEx now handle most cross-border shipments.
Investment Insight: The USPS suspension signals heightened US-China trade tensions, adding pressure on Chinese e-commerce players and their supply chains. Investors should watch for potential tariff pauses or negotiations, but near-term risks to Chinese retail stocks and global shipping remain elevated.

LA Wildfires Expose California’s Insurance Crisis
The devastating Eaton and Palisades wildfires have highlighted California’s growing home insurance crisis. Homeowners like Chris Wilson, forced onto the state’s FAIR Plan after private insurers declined coverage, are receiving far less support to rebuild than neighbors with private insurance. The FAIR Plan, a last-resort option for high-risk properties, often comes with higher premiums and limited coverage, leaving many underinsured. With FAIR policies doubling to 452,000 since 2020, the state is grappling with how to balance rising wildfire risks and the retreat of private insurers. Proposed solutions include allowing insurers to raise premiums for high-risk areas and directing $25 million toward fire mitigation efforts.
Investment Insight: The shrinking private insurance market in wildfire-prone areas underscores risks for insurers and homeowners alike. Investors should monitor regulatory developments and climate-driven pricing changes, which could reshape the insurance industry and influence real estate values in high-risk zones.
Conclusion
Global markets are grappling with uncertainty as US-China trade tensions escalate, impacting Asian equities, e-commerce giants, and supply chains. Toyota’s strategic EV expansion in China highlights opportunities amid shifting industry dynamics, while California’s wildfire insurance crisis underscores the growing financial risks of climate change. Gold’s record surge reflects investor caution, while oil’s decline signals concerns over global growth.
As regulatory changes reshape industries from retail to insurance, investors should remain vigilant, focusing on safe-haven assets and sectors with long-term growth potential. The week ahead promises further volatility as geopolitical and economic developments continue to drive markets. Stay prepared.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 5th, 2025: Eurozone HCOB Services PMI, PPI
- February 6th, 2025: UK rate decision, Amazon earnings
- February 7th, 2025: US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment; Canada unemployment
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 4, 2025
Date Issued – 4th February 2025
Preview
Palantir shares surged over 23% on strong 2025 revenue forecasts, fueled by rising AI demand and US defense contracts. Meanwhile, a strong US dollar has spurred $54 billion in outflows from emerging Asian markets, pressuring currencies and equities, though supply chain shifts may benefit nations like Vietnam and Malaysia. Copper and zinc prices climbed as Trump delayed tariffs on Canada and Mexico, easing trade tensions temporarily. OpenAI and Kakao announced a partnership to develop AI products for South Korea, with OpenAI considering investment in the nation’s $1.4 billion AI computing center. Salesforce, under pressure to maintain profit margins, is cutting 1,000 jobs while hiring for its AI sales team, signaling a focus on high-growth tech innovation.
Palantir Surges Over 23% on Explosive AI Demand
Palantir Technologies saw its shares skyrocket by over 23% after releasing a bullish 2025 revenue forecast of $3.75 billion, exceeding Wall Street’s $3.54 billion expectation. The Denver-based company attributed this growth to “untamed organic demand” for its AI software. In 2024, Palantir’s stock surged 340%, fueled by growing commercial and government adoption of its data analysis tools.
Fourth-quarter revenue climbed 36% to $827.5 million, surpassing forecasts of $775.9 million, with US government sales up 45% and US commercial revenue up 64%. CEO Alex Karp highlighted Palantir’s deepening role in US defense, including partnerships with military branches, Ukraine, and Israel. The company also strengthened alliances with tech firms like Anduril and Anthropic, signaling a shift toward a software-led defense ecosystem.
Investment Insight: Palantir’s robust performance and expanding ties with US defense underscore its growing dominance in the AI space. Investors should monitor its ability to sustain growth amid political and budgetary shifts.
Market price: Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR): USD 83.74
Strong US Dollar Fuels $54 Billion Outflow From Emerging Asia
A surging US dollar, driven by Donald Trump’s new tariffs, is amplifying pressure on emerging Asian markets, which have already seen $54 billion in stock outflows over the past seven months. The stronger dollar limits room for interest-rate cuts in the region, while trade tensions and inflation concerns further strain economies like Indonesia, China, and India.
Currencies, including the Australian dollar and Indian rupee, plunged as US tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada were announced. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 4.4% since Trump’s election, while the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index hit its highest level since November 2022. Analysts warn that a stronger dollar often drives investors toward safer US assets, exacerbating capital flight from emerging markets.
Singapore, Malaysia, and Vietnam may stand to gain as companies diversify supply chains away from China.
Investment Insight: The strong US dollar poses ongoing risks to emerging Asian equities. Investors should tread cautiously, focusing on resilient markets and sectors benefiting from supply chain shifts.
Copper and Zinc Rise as Trump Delays Tariffs on Canada, Mexico
Copper and zinc prices climbed after President Donald Trump postponed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico by a month, easing trade tensions and weakening the US dollar. Copper, a key industrial indicator, gained 0.7% to $9,159 a ton on the London Metal Exchange, while zinc and aluminum also saw modest increases.
The tariff delay follows agreements by Canada and Mexico to bolster border control measures, temporarily averting a continental trade war. Meanwhile, uncertainty persists as the US considers implementing tariffs on China, with talks between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping potentially on the horizon.
Investment Insight: Base metals show resilience amid easing trade tensions, but volatility will persist as US-China tariff decisions loom. Investors should monitor commodity-driven sectors and currency shifts closely.

OpenAI and Kakao Partner to Develop AI Products for South Korea
OpenAI and South Korea’s Kakao announced a strategic partnership to create AI products tailored for the Korean market. Kakao plans to integrate OpenAI technology into its offerings, while OpenAI CEO Sam Altman emphasized South Korea’s critical role in global AI development during a press conference in Seoul.
Altman also met with executives from SK Group and Samsung, highlighting the importance of South Korean companies like SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, which produce key memory chips for AI processors. OpenAI is “actively considering” joining South Korea’s $1.4 billion national AI computing center initiative, aligning with the country’s ambition to lead in AI infrastructure.
Investment Insight: OpenAI’s expansion into South Korea underscores the region’s strategic importance in AI hardware and software innovation. Investors should monitor South Korean tech firms poised to benefit from growing AI partnerships and infrastructure investments.
Market price: Kakao Corp (KRX: 035720): KRW 40,450
Salesforce Cuts 1,000 Jobs While Expanding AI Sales Team
Salesforce is laying off over 1,000 employees as it begins its new fiscal year, even as it ramps up hiring for sales roles tied to its AI product line. Displaced workers will have the opportunity to apply for other roles within the company. This move follows broader workforce reductions across the tech sector, including Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta, as firms balance innovation with profitability.
Salesforce, with nearly 73,000 employees as of January 2024, is under pressure to maintain profit margins after scrutiny from activist investors. The company remains focused on scaling its AI-powered tools like Agentforce while improving operational efficiency.
Investment Insight: Salesforce’s dual strategy—cutting costs while investing in AI—highlights its pivot to growth in high-demand tech sectors. Investors should watch its upcoming earnings and AI product performance as key indicators of success.
Market price: Salesforce Inc (CRM): USD 339.24
Conclusion
The global landscape is shifting as AI innovation drives growth, trade tensions reshape markets, and companies balance efficiency with expansion. Palantir’s explosive growth underscores the rising demand for AI, while OpenAI’s partnership with Kakao highlights South Korea’s pivotal role in the AI ecosystem. At the same time, Salesforce’s dual strategy of layoffs and AI-focused hiring reflects the balancing act across tech industries.
However, challenges persist, with a strong US dollar pressuring emerging markets and trade uncertainties fueling volatility in commodities. Investors should stay vigilant, focusing on sectors poised for growth amid these evolving dynamics.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 4th, 2025: Alphabet, UBS, BNP Paribas earnings
- February 5th, 2025: Eurozone HCOB Services PMI, PPI
- February 6th, 2025: UK rate decision, Amazon earnings
- February 7th, 2025: US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment; Canada unemployment
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Feb 3, 2025
Date Issued – 3rd February 2025
Preview
DeepSeek’s low-cost AI model is empowering European startups to compete with U.S. tech giants but raising regulatory concerns. The yen shows haven appeal as trade tensions escalate, though Japan faces tariff risks. Meanwhile, China proposes reviving the 2020 “Phase 1” trade deal to ease U.S. tariffs, signaling openness to dialogue. In Hong Kong, Chinese tech stocks rebounded despite weak manufacturing data, with Alibaba leading gains. France faces political turmoil as Prime Minister Bayrou’s budget push risks a no-confidence vote, threatening market stability. Investors should watch for developments in trade, AI, and fiscal reforms.
DeepSeek Offers European Tech a Shot in the Global AI Race
DeepSeek, a Chinese AI model, is disrupting the artificial intelligence landscape by offering services at a fraction of the cost of competitors like OpenAI. With pricing up to 40 times cheaper, it allows European startups to compete more effectively, bridging the gap with U.S. rivals that dominate the AI market. Early adopters, such as Novo AI and NetMind.AI, report seamless integration with DeepSeek’s technology and significant savings. However, concerns linger over regulatory scrutiny, data sources, and potential censorship. Analysts see DeepSeek’s low-cost approach as a catalyst for innovation, but larger companies remain cautious, prioritizing security and transparency.
Investment Insight: DeepSeek’s affordability could spark a pricing war in AI, challenging dominant players like OpenAI. Investors may want to monitor how regulatory hurdles and concerns over data practices evolve, as these could influence adoption and long-term profitability.
Yen Shows Flickers of Haven Strength Amid Dollar Dominance
The yen demonstrated resilience on Monday, weathering the dollar’s strength after President Trump imposed new tariffs. While most major currencies tumbled against the greenback, the yen stood out as the only G-10 currency to advance against the dollar this year. Analysts attribute the yen’s newfound haven appeal to the Bank of Japan’s rate hikes and high U.S. Treasury yields, which dip during risk-off periods. However, the yen’s safe-haven status faces uncertainty, as Japan might become a target for U.S. tariffs. Prime Minister Ishiba’s upcoming meeting with Trump could provide more clarity on this front.
Investment Insight: The yen’s relative strength could bolster its appeal as a defensive asset, particularly amid global trade tensions. However, investors should remain cautious, as potential tariff threats on Japan could undermine its haven status.
China Seeks to Revive 2020 ‘Phase 1’ Trade Deal Amid Tariff Tensions
China is reportedly proposing to restore the 2020 “Phase 1” trade deal with the U.S. as a starting point to resolve escalating trade tensions, according to the Wall Street Journal. The proposal includes pledges to avoid yuan devaluation, increase U.S. investments, and curb fentanyl precursor exports. This comes after President Trump imposed new tariffs on Chinese, Canadian, and Mexican imports over fentanyl and immigration concerns. While China condemned the tariffs, it signaled openness to dialogue, contrasting with Canada’s retaliatory measures. The original 2020 deal, which aimed to boost U.S. exports to China, fell short of targets due to the pandemic.
Investment Insight: The potential revival of the Phase 1 deal could ease trade tensions, creating opportunities for U.S. exporters and stabilizing markets. However, investors should remain wary of heightened geopolitical risks, particularly around China’s broader economic commitments and U.S. tariff strategies.

Chinese Stocks in Hong Kong Outperform as Tech Gains Offset Tariff Concerns
Chinese equities in Hong Kong outperformed regional peers, with tech giants Alibaba and SMIC driving a partial recovery in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index after an early decline. Optimism around China’s advancements in AI, including DeepSeek’s low-cost model, supported sentiment, even as new U.S. tariffs loomed. Alibaba surged 6.1%, boasting its AI model’s performance surpasses Meta’s Llama. However, broader concerns persist as China’s manufacturing activity shrinks for a second consecutive month, fueling expectations of further stimulus measures ahead of March’s legislative meeting.
Investment Insight: Tech resilience in Hong Kong’s Chinese stocks highlights growth potential in AI, but U.S. tariffs and weak domestic consumption remain headwinds. Investors should watch for Beijing’s stimulus actions, which could stabilize markets and the yuan in the near term.
France Faces Political Crisis as Prime Minister Risks No-Confidence Vote Over Budget
French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou is set to push through the 2025 budget using Article 49.3, a constitutional provision that bypasses a parliamentary vote but allows for a no-confidence motion. Far-left lawmakers have already vowed to challenge Bayrou, whose minority government faces the threat of collapse, making it the third administration to fall in under a year. The move comes amid political gridlock in a fractured National Assembly and investor unease over France’s growing deficits. Bayrou’s budget aims to cut the deficit to 5.4% of GDP in 2025, focusing on €50 billion in savings.
Investment Insight: France’s political instability continues to weigh on markets, with sovereign debt underperforming in the region. Investors should monitor the no-confidence vote and its impact on fiscal reforms, as further gridlock could trigger renewed asset sell-offs.
Conclusion
From DeepSeek’s disruptive AI breakthroughs to China’s trade overtures and the yen’s resilience amid tariffs, global markets are navigating a complex landscape of innovation and geopolitical tension. Hong Kong’s tech rally underscores the potential of Chinese advancements, even as economic headwinds persist. Meanwhile, France’s political uncertainty highlights the challenges of fiscal reform in fragmented governments. As markets react to these developments, investors should remain vigilant, focusing on regulatory risks, trade dynamics, and stimulus measures. With shifting economic and political tides, staying informed on these key stories will be crucial in identifying opportunities and managing risks.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- February 4th, 2025: Alphabet, UBS, BNP Paribas earnings
- February 5th, 2025: Eurozone HCOB Services PMI, PPI
- February 6th, 2025: UK rate decision, Amazon earnings
- February 7th, 2025: US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment; Canada unemployment
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Jan 31, 2025
Date Issued – 31th January 2025
Preview
Chinese AI lab DeepSeek has unveiled cost-efficient AI models that rival industry giants by automating labor-intensive tasks with reinforcement learning. Its R1 model demonstrates strong reasoning skills while using fewer resources, even running on mobile devices. The breakthrough has shaken semiconductor markets, with SK Hynix shares plunging 11% as the innovation questions demand for costly AI chips. Meanwhile, Apple beat earnings expectations but fell short on iPhone and China sales, highlighting risks tied to its core markets. In Australia, severe storms threaten life and key industries like sugarcane, fueling climate resilience debates. Lastly, Japan is exploring a $44 billion Alaska LNG pipeline to ease U.S. trade tensions, though economic viability remains uncertain.
DeepSeek’s AI Breakthrough: Powerful Models Built for Less
Chinese AI lab DeepSeek has unveiled a groundbreaking approach to building AI models at a fraction of the cost of industry leaders like OpenAI and Meta. By leveraging reinforcement learning (RL) to automate labor-intensive tasks and refining existing large language models, DeepSeek’s R1 model showcases strong reasoning capabilities despite using fewer resources. The company’s “aha moment” came when the model began solving problems autonomously, challenging the traditional reliance on human data labeling. Smaller models created through this process can even run on mobile devices, offering a cost-effective solution for developers. However, DeepSeek faces controversy as OpenAI accuses it of using its outputs to train its systems.
Investment Insight
DeepSeek’s innovation highlights the growing trend of smaller, more efficient AI models disrupting the industry. Investors may find opportunities in startups focusing on cost-effective AI solutions, as they pose a competitive threat to billion-dollar AI giants while expanding accessibility to smaller developers.
SK Hynix Shares Slide After DeepSeek AI Disruption
SK Hynix shares plunged over 11% as trading resumed in South Korea, following DeepSeek’s cost-efficient AI breakthrough that rattled global chipmakers. The news, which questions the reliance on expensive chips for AI development, triggered a selloff in semiconductor stocks, with Samsung Electronics also falling 3.7%. Korean internet firms like Kakao and Naver gained over 7% as investors speculated on potential cost-saving benefits. Despite SK Hynix reporting a 20-fold profit surge last quarter, the DeepSeek disruption has cast doubt on the long-term demand for costly AI hardware.
Investment Insight
The semiconductor sector faces heightened volatility as DeepSeek’s innovation reshapes AI development costs. Investors should monitor Korean tech stocks, which may gain from AI’s wider adoption, while remaining cautious about chipmakers exposed to shifting AI hardware demand.
Market price: SK Hynix Inc (KRX: 000660): KRW 199,200

Apple Earnings Beat Expectations Despite iPhone, China Sales Miss
Apple topped Wall Street forecasts with Q1 earnings per share of $2.40 on $124.3 billion in revenue, but iPhone sales and Greater China revenue fell short. iPhone revenue hit $69.1 billion, missing the $71 billion estimate, as market share dipped despite broader smartphone growth. Sales in China reached $18.5 billion, well below the $21.5 billion expected, continuing a multi-year decline. Apple’s AI-powered “Apple Intelligence” updates, part of its iPhone 16 push, have underwhelmed analysts as a growth driver. Shares remain up 24% over the last year, trailing Nvidia’s 102% surge and Meta’s 69% rise.
Investment Insight
Apple’s growth challenges highlight risks tied to its reliance on iPhone sales and the Chinese market. Investors may look to Apple’s Services segment and upcoming product launches for stability while monitoring broader AI-driven industry dynamics.
Market price: Apple Inc (AAPL): USD 237.59
Australia Faces Life-Threatening Floods as Storms Intensify
Australia is bracing for severe weather, with six storms brewing across its territories. One system in Queensland is expected to bring gale-force winds and potentially life-threatening flooding, with up to half a meter of rain forecast in 24 hours. Three other tropical lows have moderate chances of developing into cyclones by Monday, though they are not expected to cause onshore damage. The storm could disrupt Queensland’s sugarcane industry, a key export sector, while warmer ocean temperatures continue to fuel extreme weather. Australia’s cyclone season, ending in April, is expected to intensify amid climate-driven changes.
Investment Insight
Agriculture, mining, and energy sectors face heightened risks from Australia’s worsening weather. Investors should monitor sugarcane supply disruptions and potential hits to mining infrastructure, especially in cyclone-prone regions. Climate resilience strategies may present long-term opportunities.
Japan Considers $44 Billion Alaska LNG Pipeline to Ease US Trade Tensions
Japan is weighing support for a $44 billion Alaska LNG pipeline to court U.S. President Donald Trump and reduce trade friction. The project, which would transport gas 800 miles for liquefaction and export to Asia, aligns with Trump’s push for U.S. energy dominance. While Japan doubts the project’s economic viability, it may pledge exploratory support alongside increased U.S. gas purchases and defense investments to stave off potential tariffs. The pipeline could help Japan diversify energy supplies away from Russia and the Middle East, but any commitments will hinge on pricing and flexibility.
Investment Insight
Energy infrastructure players like Mitsubishi and Mitsui may benefit from Japan’s potential involvement in the Alaska LNG project, though risks remain tied to project feasibility. Investors should watch for developments in U.S.-Japan trade relations, which could impact broader markets, including energy and LNG shipping.
Conclusion
DeepSeek’s disruptive AI innovation underscores a shift toward cost-efficient models, sparking ripples across tech and semiconductor markets. Apple’s earnings highlight ongoing challenges in its core iPhone and China segments, while severe weather in Australia threatens key industries, emphasizing the growing impact of climate risks. Japan’s potential support for the Alaska LNG pipeline reflects broader geopolitical and energy diversification strategies amid global trade tensions. Together, these stories reveal a dynamic landscape where technological breakthroughs, environmental challenges, and shifting global alliances are reshaping industries and investment opportunities, urging stakeholders to adapt to rapidly evolving market and geopolitical realities.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
January 31, 2025: Tokyo CPI, Japan jobless claims, US PCE inflation
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Jan 30, 2025
Date Issued – 30th January 2025
Tesla Earnings: Spotlight on Self-Driving and Robotaxi Updates
Tesla is set to release Q4 earnings today, with investors closely watching for updates on self-driving initiatives, robotaxis, and affordable EV models. Analysts expect adjusted EPS of $0.75 and revenue of $27.21 billion. While Tesla’s stock is down 1.4% year-to-date, some analysts remain bullish, citing potential growth in AI and autonomous driving. Wedbush Securities predicts Tesla could reach a $2 trillion market cap by 2025, while Morningstar warns of delays in robotaxi rollouts and labels the stock overvalued. Morgan Stanley sees Tesla as an “embodied AI ETF,” benefiting from favorable U.S. policies, with RBC anticipating margin growth from wider FSD adoption.
Investment Insight:
Tesla’s long-term growth hinges on its AI-driven autonomy and affordability strategy. Short-term risks include overvaluation and potential production delays, but favorable policies and AI advancements could drive significant upside.
Market Price: Tesla Inc (TSLA): USD 389.10
Roche Beats 2024 Estimates, Expects Growth in 2025
Swiss pharma giant Roche exceeded 2024 expectations, reporting 7% sales growth at constant currencies, driven by its pharmaceuticals and diagnostics divisions. Core earnings per share rose to 18.80 Swiss francs, above analyst expectations of 18.59 francs. However, net profit fell to 9.19 billion francs from 12.36 billion. For 2025, Roche forecasts mid-single-digit sales growth and high-single-digit EPS growth, with plans to increase its dividend from 9.70 francs per share. The company remains optimistic about steady growth in the year ahead.
Investment Insight:
Roche’s strong core earnings and dividend growth signal resilience, but declining net profit warrants caution. Investors should focus on its performance in high-margin divisions and how currency fluctuations may impact future results.
Market Price: Roche Holding AG Genussscheine (ROG): CHF 280.80
Conclusion
Markets remain focused on central bank actions, with the BOJ and BoE setting the tone for currency and equity movements. Corporate updates highlight confidence, as Sanofi’s buyback and Roche’s steady growth outlook signal resilience in healthcare, while Tesla’s earnings could reveal key advancements in AI and autonomy. Investors should stay alert to policy shifts, fiscal pressures, and evolving sector dynamics. With mixed signals across regions and industries, near-term caution is warranted, but opportunities in innovation-driven sectors like AI and pharma remain compelling for long-term growth. Keep an eye on company strategies and macroeconomic developments shaping the investment landscape.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- January 30, 2025: US GDP, Jobless claims; Apple, Deutsche Bank, Shell earnings
- January 31, 2025: Tokyo CPI, Japan jobless claims, US PCE inflation

ASML Shares Soar on Strong Q4 Bookings
ASML shares jumped 8.7% in Frankfurt trading Wednesday after reporting better-than-expected Q4 bookings of €7.08 billion, driven by strong demand for its advanced chip-making tools. The results helped ease investor concerns following recent losses tied to the DeepSeek AI model’s market impact. Analysts at Jefferies noted the robust backlog alleviates 2025 growth worries, though uncertainties around 2026 remain.
Investment Insight:
ASML’s strong bookings highlight enduring demand for advanced semiconductor equipment. However, investors should remain cautious about long-term growth projections amid broader industry uncertainties.
Volkswagen Weighs US Production for Audi, Porsche Amid Tariff Threats
Volkswagen is exploring US production sites for its Audi and Porsche brands to mitigate potential tariffs threatened by President Donald Trump, according to Handelsblatt. Unlike VW’s core brand, Audi and Porsche currently lack US-based production, leaving them vulnerable to trade barriers. The move could safeguard the luxury brands from heightened costs and maintain their competitiveness in the US market. Volkswagen has not commented on the report.
Investment Insight:
Tariff threats underscore the importance of localized production for global automakers. Investors should monitor VW’s expansion plans, which could reduce trade risks and strengthen its foothold in the US premium car market.
Conclusion
Markets remain in flux as investors balance optimism in tech and energy sectors with looming uncertainties. Strong Q4 results from ASML and Nvidia’s rebound highlight resilience in semiconductor and AI-driven industries, while bitcoin’s rise reflects growing institutional interest. The Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision adds another layer of anticipation, with potential signals on future rate cuts. Meanwhile, Volkswagen’s US production plans underscore the importance of mitigating geopolitical risks. As volatility persists, investors should focus on sectors demonstrating both adaptability and long-term growth potential while staying alert to shifting macroeconomic and regulatory dynamics.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- January 30, 2025: US GDP, Jobless claims; Apple, Deutsche Bank, Shell earnings
- January 31, 2025: Tokyo CPI, Japan jobless claims, US PCE inflation
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Jan 29, 2025
Date Issued – 29th January 2025
Preview
Markets rallied as tech stocks rebounded, with the Nasdaq 100 up 1.6%, led by Nvidia’s 8.9% surge. Asian and European equities followed suit, as investors shifted focus to the Federal Reserve’s rate decision and US mega-cap earnings. ASML shares soared 8.7% on strong Q4 bookings, easing near-term growth concerns. Bitcoin climbed to record highs as the Czech central bank considered holding 5% of its reserves in the cryptocurrency, signaling rising institutional adoption. US power stocks recovered after Monday’s AI-driven selloff, though long-term energy demand remains uncertain. Meanwhile, Volkswagen is exploring US production sites for Audi and Porsche to mitigate tariff risks, reflecting the growing importance of localized manufacturing.
Tech Stocks Rebound as Markets Brace for Fed Decision
Asian stocks and European futures climbed, following a tech-led rebound on Wall Street. The Nasdaq 100 gained 1.6%, driven by Nvidia’s 8.9% rally after its historic single-day loss. Investors shrugged off concerns about Chinese AI startup DeepSeek, shifting focus to the Federal Reserve’s rate decision and US mega-cap earnings. Analysts expect the Fed to hold rates steady, with bond traders eyeing signs of potential rate cuts in March. Meanwhile, ASML’s strong order bookings and easing Australian inflation captured markets’ attention. Sony also announced Hiroki Totoki as its new CEO, boosting its stock to record highs.
Investment Insight:
Tech remains a key driver, but discerning stock selection is critical as AI-driven gains become less straightforward. Monitor Fed signals for rate-cut cues and focus on resilient sectors as volatility persists.
Czech Central Bank Eyes Bitcoin Reserves Amid Rate Cut Outlook
Czech National Bank Governor Ales Michl plans to propose holding up to 5% of the bank’s €140 billion reserves in bitcoin, citing its potential for asset diversification. The plan, if approved, could make the Czech central bank one of the first to invest significantly in the cryptocurrency. Michl also indicated a likely 25-basis-point rate cut next week. Bitcoin has surged to record highs recently, fueled by regulatory approval of spot-price ETFs and optimism over crypto-friendly policies under U.S. President Donald Trump.
Investment Insight:
Bitcoin’s growing institutional adoption signals its rising credibility as an alternative asset. However, central bank moves into crypto carry risks—investors should weigh long-term volatility against diversification benefits.
Power Stocks Rebound After DeepSeek AI Model Sparks Industry Uncertainty
US power stocks tied to AI demand rebounded Tuesday after sharp losses triggered by the release of DeepSeek’s cheaper, competitive AI model. Constellation Energy gained 1%, Vistra Corp surged 9%, and GE Vernova rose 7%, recovering from steep declines the day before. The selloff followed concerns over whether AI-driven energy demand growth would sustain its earlier momentum. While analysts see medium-term stability in data center deployments, long-term energy usage forecasts remain speculative as AI technologies evolve and become more efficient.
Investment Insight:
AI-driven energy demand remains a key growth driver for power stocks, but uncertainties about longer-term trends call for cautious optimism. Focus on companies with diversified energy portfolios and infrastructure investments.

ASML Shares Soar on Strong Q4 Bookings
ASML shares jumped 8.7% in Frankfurt trading Wednesday after reporting better-than-expected Q4 bookings of €7.08 billion, driven by strong demand for its advanced chip-making tools. The results helped ease investor concerns following recent losses tied to the DeepSeek AI model’s market impact. Analysts at Jefferies noted the robust backlog alleviates 2025 growth worries, though uncertainties around 2026 remain.
Investment Insight:
ASML’s strong bookings highlight enduring demand for advanced semiconductor equipment. However, investors should remain cautious about long-term growth projections amid broader industry uncertainties.
Volkswagen Weighs US Production for Audi, Porsche Amid Tariff Threats
Volkswagen is exploring US production sites for its Audi and Porsche brands to mitigate potential tariffs threatened by President Donald Trump, according to Handelsblatt. Unlike VW’s core brand, Audi and Porsche currently lack US-based production, leaving them vulnerable to trade barriers. The move could safeguard the luxury brands from heightened costs and maintain their competitiveness in the US market. Volkswagen has not commented on the report.
Investment Insight:
Tariff threats underscore the importance of localized production for global automakers. Investors should monitor VW’s expansion plans, which could reduce trade risks and strengthen its foothold in the US premium car market.
Conclusion
Markets remain in flux as investors balance optimism in tech and energy sectors with looming uncertainties. Strong Q4 results from ASML and Nvidia’s rebound highlight resilience in semiconductor and AI-driven industries, while bitcoin’s rise reflects growing institutional interest. The Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision adds another layer of anticipation, with potential signals on future rate cuts. Meanwhile, Volkswagen’s US production plans underscore the importance of mitigating geopolitical risks. As volatility persists, investors should focus on sectors demonstrating both adaptability and long-term growth potential while staying alert to shifting macroeconomic and regulatory dynamics.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- January 29, 2025: US rate decision, Australia CPI; Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, ASML earnings
- January 30, 2025: US GDP, Jobless claims; Apple, Deutsche Bank, Shell earnings
- January 31, 2025: Tokyo CPI, Japan jobless claims, US PCE inflation
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Jan 28, 2025
Date Issued – 28th January 2025
Preview
Markets were rattled by Chinese AI startup DeepSeek’s breakthrough, sparking a sell-off in AI-linked stocks like Nvidia (-17%) and Constellation Energy (-21%). Analysts see fears as overblown, with AI infrastructure demand expected to stay strong. Meanwhile, President Trump’s proposed tariffs on copper and aluminum could raise consumer costs and disrupt trade, though they might accelerate U.S. domestic projects long-term. In Japan, MUFG shares hit a record high as rising interest rates boosted bank earnings, with further rate hikes expected. In energy, U.S. LNG exporters are poised to gain market share in Asia, driven by Trump-era trade shifts, though low prices may cap short-term gains. Gold held steady at $2,740.19 per ounce as a stronger dollar weighed on metals, while markets await clarity from the Fed’s upcoming rate decision.
DeepSeek Sends Shockwaves Through AI-Exposed Stocks
Chinese AI startup DeepSeek’s release of a cost-efficient AI model triggered a widespread sell-off Monday, rattling both tech and power stocks linked to AI infrastructure. Nvidia (-17%) led the Nasdaq’s 3% decline, erasing $589 billion in market cap, while chipmakers like Broadcom (-17%) and Lam Research (-5%) followed suit. AI-exposed power stocks felt the heat too, with Constellation Energy (-21%) and Vistra Corp (-28%) plunging as investors questioned US dominance in AI and the sustainability of spending.
Despite the market panic, analysts argue the fears are overblown. DeepSeek’s advancements, while significant, are seen as unlikely to disrupt the long-term demand for AI infrastructure. More efficient models could even expand AI adoption, supported by concepts like the Jevons Paradox. Microsoft and Meta, both major AI spenders, are expected to provide clarity on future spending in their upcoming earnings reports.
Investment Insight: Volatility can create opportunities. Power stocks remain critical to AI infrastructure, underpinned by rising energy demand forecasts. Meanwhile, efficient technology providers like Nvidia and chipmakers may benefit from long-term AI adoption trends despite short-term headwinds.
Trump’s Copper, Aluminum Tariffs May Raise Consumer Costs
President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on U.S. copper and aluminum imports are stirring concerns about higher costs for American consumers. While the tariffs aim to revitalize domestic production of critical metals for military hardware, analysts warn the U.S. lacks sufficient production capacity, and rebuilding infrastructure will take years. Canadian suppliers like Rio Tinto and Alcoa are unlikely to absorb the costs, which may instead be passed downstream to automakers and, ultimately, consumers.
The tariffs could also disrupt global trade flows. India, a key aluminum exporter to the U.S., is lobbying against the measures, while industry leaders suggest tariffs could accelerate domestic projects like Rio Tinto’s Resolution copper mine. However, near-term impacts would likely hurt local manufacturers facing inflated material costs.
Investment Insight: Tariffs may drive short-term inflation in key industries like automotive and manufacturing. Investors should monitor domestic producers poised to benefit from reshoring efforts, although these gains may take years to materialize.
MUFG Shares Hit Record High as BOJ Rate Hike Lifts Japanese Banks
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) shares reached a record ¥1,969.5 ($12.7) on Tuesday, their highest since listing in 2001, as investors bet on rising interest rates boosting lending income. The Bank of Japan recently raised its key policy rate to a 17-year high, with further increases likely. Other Japanese lenders, including Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (+2.2%) and Mizuho Financial Group (+2.8%), also rallied, pushing the Topix Bank Index up 2.2%.
Higher rates have been a windfall for Japanese banks, which have endured decades of ultra-low borrowing costs. MUFG has announced ¥300 billion in share buybacks, adding to investor optimism. Additionally, profits from overseas operations and unwinding cross-shareholdings are further bolstering earnings ahead of upcoming financial results.
Investment Insight: Rising rates and buybacks make Japanese banks attractive in the near term. MUFG and its peers are well-positioned for continued gains as BOJ policy shifts and global operations support growth.

US LNG Producers Poised to Gain Asian Market Share
US gas producers are set to capture a larger share of the Asian LNG market as countries like Japan and South Korea shift purchases to American suppliers to avoid Trump’s tariffs, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. Chinese buyers have already committed to 14 million tons of US LNG from 2026, a 50% increase from the 2021 record. Trump’s reversal of the US LNG export ban is expected to accelerate new gas projects, fueling export growth.
However, Asian LNG prices remain capped at $10/mmbtu due to surplus supply, China’s slow recovery, and Japan’s nuclear restart. These factors could limit short-term price gains, even as US exporters strengthen their foothold.
Investment Insight: US LNG exporters stand to benefit from Trump-era trade dynamics and growing Asian demand. Long-term investors should focus on companies positioned to capitalize on increased global export capacity and shifting trade flows.
Gold Steady as Dollar Rises Ahead of Fed Decision
Gold prices held steady at $2,740.19 per ounce Tuesday after a 1% drop on Monday, driven by margin calls during a tech stock sell-off sparked by Chinese AI startup DeepSeek’s success. The U.S. dollar surged 0.5%, bolstered by safe-haven demand, as investors turned cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting. While the Fed is expected to hold rates steady, its inflation outlook will guide markets.
A stronger dollar, fueled further by U.S. tariff uncertainty, weighed on other metals as well. Platinum fell 0.7%, silver dipped 0.1%, and copper retreated on weak Chinese factory data and trade concerns.
Investment Insight: Gold’s long-term outlook remains bullish amid trade frictions and geopolitical concerns, but dollar strength could pressure prices short-term. Investors should watch Fed commentary closely for signals on future rate changes.
Conclusion
Markets remain volatile amid shifting global dynamics. DeepSeek’s AI breakthrough has disrupted U.S. tech and power stocks, but analysts expect long-term demand to hold. Trump’s tariff proposals could boost domestic production but risk near-term inflation and trade friction. Japanese banks are thriving on rising rates, while U.S. LNG exporters eye Asian market gains despite price caps. Gold steadies as investors await the Fed’s rate decision, with the dollar’s strength pressuring metals. As uncertainties persist, opportunities abound for investors focused on long-term trends across AI, energy, and financial sectors. Patience and adaptability are key in navigating these evolving market conditions.
Upcoming Dates to Watch:
- January 28, 2025: US Consumer confidence
- January 29, 2025: US rate decision, Australia CPI; Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, ASML earnings
- January 30, 2025: US GDP, Jobless claims; Apple, Deutsche Bank, Shell earnings
- January 31, 2025: Tokyo CPI, Japan jobless claims, US PCE inflation
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Jan 27, 2025
Date Issued – 27th January 2025
Preview
Asian stocks rallied Monday as optimism around Chinese AI startup DeepSeek boosted tech shares, though U.S. futures dipped on concerns over its challenge to U.S. tech leadership. Meanwhile, China’s industrial profits fell 3.3% in 2024, marking a third consecutive annual decline, highlighting persistent domestic challenges despite stimulus measures. Bond markets steadied ahead of the Fed’s rate decision, with traders adjusting to inflation data and Trump’s unpredictable tariff threats. The yen outperformed G-10 currencies as haven demand grew, driven by geopolitical uncertainties and the BOJ’s rate hike. In Germany, an export-reliant economy faces mounting risks from slowing Chinese demand, rising energy costs, and protectionist policies, underscoring the need for structural reforms.
Asian Stocks Gain as DeepSeek Fuels China AI Rally
Asian markets climbed on Monday, led by gains in Japan, Hong Kong, and mainland China, as optimism surrounding Chinese AI startup DeepSeek boosted tech shares. The company’s cost-efficient AI models are seen as a potential disruptor to global AI investment dynamics. Meanwhile, U.S. futures slipped amid concerns over DeepSeek’s challenge to U.S. technological leadership. Broader market sentiment remained cautious following Donald Trump’s last-minute decision to reverse tariffs on Colombia, which raised fears of further trade-related unpredictability.
Oil prices fluctuated as investors adjusted to rapid U.S. trade developments, while gold edged lower but stayed near record highs. As the Lunar New Year holiday approaches, China’s slowing factory and services activity signals a need for stronger fiscal stimulus.
Investment Insight: The rally in Chinese tech stocks reflects growing confidence in AI as a long-term growth driver, but geopolitical risks tied to U.S.-China tensions remain a critical factor. Investors should monitor AI sector valuations and broader trade policy shifts carefully.
China’s Industrial Profits Decline for Third Consecutive Year
China’s industrial profits fell 3.3% in 2024, marking the third straight year of declines. The ongoing contraction highlights the challenges facing the industrial sector, including weak domestic demand and geopolitical risks. Stimulus measures have thus far failed to offset the downward trend, with private enterprises showing more resilience compared to state-owned firms. Analysts caution that the sector may require stronger government intervention to stabilize growth, particularly as external demand softens.
Investment Insight: China’s industrial sector faces sustained headwinds, with geopolitical risks and weak domestic conditions weighing on profitability. Investors should factor in potential stimulus policies and sector-specific resilience, especially in private enterprises, when assessing opportunities.
Bond Traders Shift Focus to Fed as Trump Muddies Tariff Outlook
Bond traders are bracing for the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday decision to pause its rate-cutting cycle, as speculation over inflation and economic resilience under Donald Trump’s presidency influences the market. Treasury yields, which surged late last year, have eased amid slower-than-expected inflation data and Trump’s restrained tariff actions during his first week in office. However, market uncertainty remains as Trump’s unpredictable policies—such as a now-resolved emergency tariff on Colombian goods—continue to stir inflationary and trade risks.
Investment Insight: Bond markets face a volatile 2025, tied closely to Trump’s economic policies and inflation trends. Investors should monitor yield curve shifts and Fed signals, balancing duration exposure amid heightened uncertainty.

Yen Outperforms G-10 Peers as Haven Demand Rises
The Japanese yen strengthened against the dollar on Monday, outperforming its G-10 peers as investors sought its haven appeal amidst concerns over Donald Trump’s tariff threats against Colombia. The yen rose as much as 0.5% to 155.29 per dollar, buoyed by a risk-off sentiment and lingering support from the Bank of Japan’s recent interest rate hike, its highest since 2008.
While Japan’s financial exposure to Colombia is minimal, strategists suggest the yen’s strength reflects broader market caution as well as narrowing yield gaps following the BOJ’s policy shift. Some analysts expect further yen gains, with a 12-month target of 145 against the dollar.
Investment Insight: The yen’s haven status is reaffirmed amid geopolitical and economic risks. Investors should watch Japan’s monetary policy trajectory and global risk sentiment as key drivers for the currency’s performance.
Germany’s Economic Model Faces Crisis Amid Export Dependence
Germany’s export-driven economy is faltering under slowing Chinese demand, rising energy costs, and growing competition from Chinese manufacturers. Automotive giants like Audi, once pillars of German manufacturing, are cutting profits and jobs as the nation grapples with its second consecutive year of economic contraction—its worst stagnation since World War II. The lack of a diversified “Plan B” leaves Germany vulnerable, with politicians and businesses largely clinging to the status quo. Rising protectionism under Trump and global trade disruptions further compound the challenges, while high energy costs and underinvestment in infrastructure deter innovation and growth.
Investment Insight: Germany’s economic woes highlight risks for investors in export-reliant industries. Diversification into sectors like technology or renewable energy may offer long-term opportunities, but near-term risks remain elevated amid trade uncertainties and structural stagnation.
Conclusion
Global markets are navigating a complex environment shaped by geopolitical risks, monetary policy shifts, and structural economic challenges. Asian tech stocks surged on AI optimism, but China’s industrial struggles and U.S. tariff threats weigh on sentiment. Bond markets await clarity from the Fed, while the yen’s haven appeal underscores heightened uncertainty. Germany’s export-dependent model faces mounting pressure, with diversification efforts lagging behind. As 2025 unfolds, investors should remain vigilant, balancing opportunities in emerging sectors like AI and renewables with caution around geopolitical risks and policy shifts that could redefine global trade and growth trajectories.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- January 28, 2025: US Consumer confidence
- January 29, 2025: US rate decision, Australia CPI; Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, ASML earnings
- January 30, 2025: US GDP, Jobless claims; Apple, Deutsche Bank, Shell earnings
- January 31, 2025: Tokyo CPI, Japan jobless claims, US PCE inflation
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Jan 24, 2025
Date Issued – 24th January 2025
Preview
Global markets rallied for a ninth straight day as President Trump signaled flexibility on China tariffs, boosting emerging-market currencies and equities. Meanwhile, Trump’s executive order banning central bank digital currencies and establishing crypto regulations was welcomed by industry leaders, though near-term volatility is expected. Boeing warned of a $3.5 billion Q4 cash flow loss due to labor strikes and layoffs, further pressuring its financials. Oil prices are poised for their first weekly drop of 2025 as Trump urged OPEC to lower prices, adding volatility to energy markets. In Japan, the BOJ raised rates to 0.5%, its highest in 17 years, strengthening the yen and signaling confidence in sustained inflation growth. Markets remain cautious as geopolitical uncertainties and policy shifts continue to unfold.
Global Stocks Surge as Trump Signals Tariff Flexibility
Global markets rallied for a ninth consecutive day, with the MSCI All-Country Index approaching a record high. US President Donald Trump hinted at a softer stance on China tariffs during a Fox News interview, fueling gains in Chinese equities and emerging-market currencies. The Australian dollar climbed 0.7%, while the yen strengthened after the Bank of Japan raised rates for the first time since July. Despite optimism, analysts remain cautious, citing Trump’s unpredictable nature and ongoing trade challenges. Meanwhile, US futures held steady, and Europe’s markets advanced.
Investment Insight: Markets are buoyed by optimism over US-China trade, but volatility remains likely as negotiations unfold. Investors should tread carefully, balancing short-term gains against uncertainty in policy shifts and geopolitical risks.
Trump Signs Executive Order Supporting Crypto Industry
President Donald Trump signed an executive order fulfilling two campaign promises to the cryptocurrency world: banning central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and creating a presidential working group to establish clear regulations for digital assets. While the order stops short of creating a “strategic national bitcoin stockpile,” it instructs the group to evaluate the feasibility of a broader national crypto reserve, potentially including assets seized by law enforcement. Trump also revoked a 2022 Biden-era directive that sought to reduce risks from digital assets. Bitcoin briefly rose on the news before stabilizing, with industry leaders lauding the president’s pro-crypto stance as a pivotal step for regulatory clarity.
Investment Insight: Trump’s crypto-friendly policies signal long-term opportunities for the industry, but near-term volatility remains as markets digest regulatory developments. Investors should monitor the working group’s outcomes and shifts in federal crypto oversight.
Boeing Warns of $3.5 Billion Cash Flow Loss Amid Labor Strikes and Layoffs
Boeing (BA) expects a $3.5 billion operating cash flow loss in Q4 due to an eight-week IAM labor strike, layoffs, and challenges in its defense business. Preliminary results project $15.2 billion in revenue, falling short of $16.76 billion consensus estimates, with a GAAP loss per share of $5.46 versus a projected $1.32 loss. Pre-tax charges of $1.7 billion in the defense and space segment and higher labor costs from a new four-year IAM contract are adding to financial pressures. Boeing delivered 348 commercial jets in 2024, a third fewer than the prior year, but executives remain focused on stabilizing operations and rebuilding production.
Investment Insight: Boeing faces near-term headwinds from labor disruptions and cost overruns, pressuring profitability. Long-term investors should assess recovery potential as production normalizes and cash reserves improve through capital raises.
Market price: Boeing Co (NYSE: BA): USD 178.50
Oil on Track for First Weekly Drop in 2025 as Trump Pressures Prices
Oil prices are set for their first weekly decline this year, with Brent near $78 per barrel and WTI below $75, down around 3%. Market unease follows President Donald Trump’s calls for Saudi Arabia and OPEC to lower oil prices and his tariff threats on Canada, Mexico, and China. While a weaker dollar pared some crude losses, futures are still headed for their largest weekly drop since November. US crude stockpiles fell for a ninth consecutive week, but lower inventories and strong sanctions on Russian oil continue to disrupt global flows and pressure prices.
Investment Insight: Trump’s push to lower oil prices may heighten volatility in energy markets. Investors should monitor OPEC’s response and global supply dynamics as sanctions and production adjustments create opportunities and risks.

Bank of Japan Raises Rates, Signals End to Ultra-Low Borrowing Costs
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its key policy rate by 0.25 percentage points to 0.5%, the highest level in 17 years, signaling confidence in inflation surpassing its 2% target. This marks the BOJ’s third hike under Governor Kazuo Ueda. The yen strengthened 0.7% against the dollar, while 10-year Japanese bond yields rose to 1.23%. Analysts expect gradual rate hikes every six months, with inflation momentum and wage growth closely monitored. The hike aligns Japan’s rates closer to global levels and offers flexibility for future economic shifts.
Investment Insight: The BOJ’s hawkish stance supports the yen but could pressure Japanese equities. Investors should watch for inflation trends and currency impacts as Japan pivots away from ultra-loose monetary policy.
Conclusion
Markets are navigating a mix of optimism and caution as geopolitical shifts and policy changes take center stage. Trump’s softer tone on China tariffs and crypto-friendly moves have spurred market momentum, while his push on oil prices adds volatility to energy markets. Boeing faces significant near-term challenges with labor disruptions weighing on its financials. Meanwhile, Japan’s rate hike signals a turning point in its monetary policy, supporting the yen but pressuring equities. As global markets rally, investors should remain vigilant, balancing short-term opportunities with the risks posed by unpredictable policies, trade uncertainties, and evolving economic conditions worldwide.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- January 24, 2025: Japan CPI, rate decision
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.
Daily Synopsis of the New York market close – Jan 23, 2025
Date Issued – 23rd January 2025
Preview
President Trump’s $300 billion freeze on green infrastructure funding threatens U.S. renewable energy projects, while his tariff threats loom over China despite market-boosting measures by Beijing. In Japan, a surge in foreign stock investments via the expanded NISA system is weakening the yen, adding pressure to import-heavy industries. Meanwhile, Russia’s economy faces rising inflation and high interest rates, with Putin signaling concerns as Trump considers more sanctions. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 nears record highs, fueled by strong earnings and optimism around a $500 billion AI initiative. Investors should watch for policy risks, geopolitical tensions, and valuation challenges.
Donald Trump Freezes $300bn in Green Infrastructure Funding
President Donald Trump has paused over $300 billion in federal green infrastructure funding, targeting key components of Joe Biden’s climate agenda. The executive order halts disbursements tied to Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and infrastructure law, including $50 billion in Department of Energy loans already approved and $280 billion in pending requests. This move has sent shockwaves through the clean energy sector, raising fears of stranded capital, stalled renewable projects, and reduced federal support for electric vehicle (EV) and battery manufacturing. Key renewable projects, such as offshore wind farms, are now at risk, with some investors already scaling back U.S. plans.
Investment Insight: The freeze signals heightened regulatory risk for renewable energy and EV sectors in the U.S., with potential long-term impacts on investment stability. Investors should monitor policy shifts closely and consider diversifying geographically to mitigate exposure.
Asian Stocks Rise on China’s Market-Boosting Measures
Asian stocks climbed as Chinese regulators pledged government-wide support to boost share prices, with the CSI 300 Index advancing up to 1.8%. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index extended its rally, marking its longest winning streak in nearly a month. During a high-profile briefing, officials urged insurers and mutual funds to increase equity holdings, signaling Beijing’s commitment to stabilizing markets. However, analysts warn that while this move is positive, it won’t resolve deeper economic challenges. Meanwhile, U.S.-China trade tensions remain a looming concern for global investors, following tariff threats from President Trump earlier this week.
Investment Insight: China’s efforts to stabilize its stock market may offer short-term opportunities, but investors should remain cautious given lingering economic headwinds and geopolitical risks. Focus on selective, value-driven investments rather than speculative plays.
Japan’s Foreign Stock Appetite Adds Pressure on the Yen
Japanese retail investors are pouring record amounts into overseas equities, with ¥10.4 trillion ($66 billion) invested last year via the expanded Nippon Individual Savings Account (NISA) system. This surge, driven by tax-free incentives and higher returns abroad, is further weakening the yen, which already faces pressure from the U.S.-Japan interest rate gap and trade uncertainties under Donald Trump. With NISA accounts growing by 60% since 2020, analysts expect continued yen-selling pressure in the near term, though increased yields or stronger domestic stock performance could shift flows back to Japan.
Investment Insight: The yen’s prolonged weakness benefits Japanese exporters but poses risks for import-heavy industries. Investors should monitor NISA-driven outflows and consider currency hedging for exposure to Japanese equities.
Putin Eyes Economy as Trump Signals More Sanctions
Vladimir Putin is increasingly concerned about Russia’s strained wartime economy, which faces inflation near double digits, high interest rates at 21%, and labor shortages driven by record defense spending. While Russia’s economy showed resilience during the war, growth is now slowing, with forecasts below 1.5% in 2025. These pressures have led some in the Kremlin to favor a negotiated end to the Ukraine conflict. Meanwhile, newly inaugurated U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened more sanctions and tariffs unless progress is made, heightening economic risks for Russia.
Investment Insight: Russia’s economic fragility and potential sanctions create a challenging environment for global investors. Focus on sectors resilient to geopolitical pressures, such as energy, while avoiding areas vulnerable to sanctions and high domestic interest rates.

S&P 500 Near Record Highs on Strong Earnings and AI Optimism
The S&P 500 surged past 6,100 intraday on Wednesday, fueled by strong corporate earnings and optimism around Donald Trump’s pro-business agenda. While the index closed just shy of its all-time high, 79% of reporting firms have beaten earnings estimates, with Netflix leading the charge after adding record subscribers. Investor sentiment also soared following Trump’s announcement of a $500 billion AI infrastructure partnership between Oracle, SoftBank, and OpenAI. Oracle shares rose 7%, SoftBank jumped 11%, and semiconductor stocks rallied, underscoring confidence in the AI sector’s growth potential.
Investment Insight: Strong earnings and AI-driven initiatives are bolstering U.S. equities, but risks from high interest rates and stretched valuations remain. Focus on AI and tech leaders driving innovation while keeping an eye on macroeconomic headwinds.
Conclusion
Global markets are navigating a complex mix of opportunities and risks. While strong earnings and AI-driven initiatives push U.S. equities near record highs, policy shifts under President Trump are creating uncertainty, from green energy funding freezes to potential sanctions on Russia. In Asia, China’s efforts to stabilize markets offer short-term optimism, but long-term challenges persist, and Japan’s appetite for foreign stocks is pressuring the yen. Investors should remain cautious, balancing growth opportunities in sectors like AI and renewables with the need to hedge against geopolitical risks, regulatory changes, and macroeconomic headwinds shaping the global economic landscape.
Upcoming Dates to Watch
- January 23, 2025: South Korea GDP, Eurozone Consumer Confidence
- January 24, 2025: Japan CPI, rate decision
Find below some of our Buy/Sell Recommendations. Balfour Capital Group is a distinguished global boutique investment management firm with $350 million AUM and over 1000 Clients.

Disclaimer: This post provides financial insights for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations for investment decisions.